저자: JohnHowell · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 달러와 금은 일별·주별로 직접 상관관계가 없으니, 매크로 전망에 기대 매매하지 말고 차트로 매매하라는 영상이다. 핵심 주장: 달러가 약하면 금이 오른다는 통념은 단기에 틀릴 수 있어 매매 근거로 쓰면 안 된다. 근거: 2020년 10월 이후 달러지수(DXY)와 금이 함께 하락 추세였다는 차트 관찰. 매매 원칙: 피터 시프 같은 장기 매크로 투자자의 조언을 단기 트레이딩에 적용하면 안 된다. 단기 매매는 기술적 분석(추세, 모멘텀, 추세 전환)으로 해야 한다. 금 전망: 장기적으로는 인플레이션 등을 이유로 금 매수 시기로 본다고 언급했지만, 단기 방향은 제시하지 않았다. 리스크·조건: 단기 방향성 예측이나 수익 보장은 없다고 명시. 헤드라인(뉴스)보다 차트를 보라고 강조. 광고: 자신의 트레이딩 코스(90분 강의, 90% 성공률 시스템, 10K/월 공식 등)를 무료 제공한다고 홍보했다. 과장 가능성이 있는 홍보다.
다듬은 글
so so many people out there to this day they look at the US dollar and they say if the US dollar is weak that's going to be bullish for gold and if the US dollar is strong and why it's going to be uh bearish for gold and why that why if you are thinking that you need to stop it right now because they're not directly correlated day by day even week by week let me show what I'm let me show you what I'm seeing right now don't place a trade based on what you see in this video because there is no guarantee of making a profit in the market it takes you a long time to become a good Trader so this video here is just to educate you to become a much better Trader all righty guys so let me just show you what I'm seeing here right now when it comes to that I want to bring up just the chart we're seeing right now and I see so many people do this and it's a big mistake for you I'm doing this guys CU I don't want you be I see a lot of people saying oh the US dollar is going to crash so therefore I'm going to buy gold and they go buy gold and gold continues to go down like hang on a minute I've seen this over the last few weeks I'm like that doesn't make sense hang on a minute what's going on please if you want to buy gold go buy gold based on its merits not based based on based on what gold is doing make sense you want to buy gold based on what gold is doing not based on well I think something else is going to happen so therefore gold is going to be doing this well too now yes long-term inflation so on so forth but don't think oh the US dollar is going to crash so therefore that's going to be bullish for gold and I've seen a lot of people do that big mistake um uh uh I've seen a lot over the last few months and I've seen that and they're like scratching like heang on a minute I thought this because they've been listening to Peter Schiff and they've been listening to all these other people out there saying that now there's nothing against Peter shift by the way but um that's but if you're trading these markets if you're an active Trader then you should not be taking this advice um from from anyone again I know I know pet shift is very very big on this but I'm a totally I'm totally the opposite like no they're not always correlated they may be overall correlated but if you actually look at what if you actually look at what uh the US Dollar's been doing ever since October now I'm looking at the U here the um US dollar Index Fund but you can see from the start of October to now we've been in a big downward Trend the start of October to now if I go to Gold if I go to Gold if I look at the start of October to now we've been in a downward Trend so they're both going down at the same time they both can go down at the the same time so if you are watching and looking at that if you're listening to these people like if you're listening to something someone like Peter Schiff right he's a very big long-term guy he's going to buy gold buy this buy that and hold and watch these swings happens and so on so forth and he's more of a macr scale investor but if you have a trading mentality right if you have a trading mentality of of you know you're looking to get in at a good time and look at the scale out and so on so forth Maybe be in it for a few days maybe for a few weeks maybe for a few months then don't be listening to pet to shift and stuff like that if you if you are if you have that connection there it's total disconnect cuz you're listening to someone who's going to give you advice what's like to happen over the next 5 years not right now or this year right and if he and if he starts to say well US dollar is going to go down and gold and so on so forth they're not they are not correlated again this is not a bashing bashing session on Peter shift and it's not but what this is all about is this is all about just helping he like if you want to become a good Trader learn how to trade these markets well and and and don't don't have a disconnect between what you're doing and and what you're doing and what you're listening to because if you want to become a good Trader but you keep listening to macroscale guys who say what's going to happen over the next 5 years it's like okay it's it's so disconnect what you want to do is you want to learn how to read the charts you want a good at getting gauging momentum gauging Trend gauging you know is a trend reversal all these things Lear how to read the charts better because if you want to trade the markets actively um then you need to learn the skills to actively learn that but if you go to trade gold right now cuz pet shift says gold is a great time to buy and it goes down tomorrow he wasn't wrong you were right sorry he wasn't wrong um you were wrong you were wrong for buying a position based on what pet shift said so right now which is a big mistake but then also but then also um but then also uh um p if there's more long-term viewers so what he was saying was right well I truly believe right now longterm gold is a great time to buy and if you go to if you go to trade if you TR if you actively trade based on that which I say so many people do they'll buy it based on someone else's video and then a week later it goes against them they're freaking out but hang on a minute you're listening to a guy who's got this big macro view so anyway guys the US dollar and gold are not directly correlated so please stop thinking that big mistake and please stop integrating your what what if you're listening to a macro view guy please don't go trade based on that trade based if you look into active income if you're looking to trade the markets use the charts that's the only thing you can do when you're trading these markets you cannot use a fundamental to trade the market and someone recently said John have you been reading the headlines are you serious read the headlines headlines are old news and who said the headlines are actually real anyway it's like don't be listen to headlines listen to the charts so what I mean by that is get really really really good at reading the charts hey Traders John Hal here thanks for watching my video for a limited time only I am giving away free access to my brand new trading course I put all my most powerful systems strategies and trading techniques that I've learned over the last 15 years and put it in this course and I'm giving away for free for a limited time see in this brand new gr the markets by the B trading course and you can get it when you go to johnf free.com you're going to learn first you're going to get access to a brand new training GES for 90 minutes minutes and you got to learn all the details step by step to my number one trading system with over a 90% success rate that works on any market and any time frame you're also going to learn three powerful chart reading and trading techniques you're also going to learn at two more powerful trading systems and also you're going to learn seven figure trading Secrets 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