저자: JohnHowell · 외국인
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결론: 비트코인 숏 트레이드는 약 150% 리스크 대비 수익으로 청산했고, 장기 관점에서는 감정 통제와 원칙 기반 매매(셋업·일관성·인내)가 성공의 핵심이라는 메시지. 비트코인: 브레이크아웃 진입 후 수주간 하락을 타고 리스크 대비 약 150% 수익으로 스탑아웃했으며, 하락 모멘텀이 둔화되고 있다고 봄. 향후 방향에 대한 구체적 예측은 없고, 4000달러 부근 바닥 가능성과 횡보·반등 가능성을 모두 열어둠. 현재 포지션: 단기 트레이드(오일)로 수시간 내 수익을 냈고, 현재 복수의 숏 포지션을 보유 중이며 3개월·6개월 시간프레임의 옵션 트레이드로 운용 중. 하락 추세가 유지된다고 보며 짧은 되돌림은 추세 전환으로 보지 않음. 시장 흐름: 시장은 직선으로 오르거나 내리지 않으므로 조정·횡보를 전제로 대응해야 한다고 강조. 리스크: 추세 전환 시 손실 규모와 무관하게 포지션을 정리해야 한다고 언급. 다음 주식시장 폭락을 기대하는 사람들이 실제 감정적으로 버틸 수 있는지 의문 제기. 매매 원칙: 완벽한 셋업의 스크린샷을 기준으로 삼고, 매매 규칙·일관성·규율·인내(셋업 대기)를 성공의 핵심으로 제시. 많은 거래 중 대부분이 손실이라고 주장. 감정 통제: 많은 돈을 벌려 하면 감정적 결정을 내리게 되므로 자본 보존과 훈련에 집중하라고 조언. 포지션 확대: 소액에서 시작해 일관된 원칙 준수로 자신감을 쌓은 뒤 포지션 크기를 점진적으로 늘리라고 제안. 유튜브 방송 중 여러 개인적 사항(보충제 섭취, 운동 등)은 요약에서 제외.
다듬은 글
hey trailers first welcome to a post workout video right now if you guys don't like these types of videos then then your turn off this video here it's just a bit of us it's going to talk about what's happening with my trading right now what's going on right now and what I see happening in the markets right now and so on so forth as I make my post-workout drink today to tell you today got up get some stretching bit of meditating got my trading down as well too with my private clients being answering my private clients every single day so you guys know that here with my private clients I'm there all the time helping them helping them helping them and also when and did some weight more controlled contracting instead of free and trying to go heavy and also just did Stairmaster for half an hour now I'm coming back for a post-workout drink just grab some fish oil which I don't have and also a green greens powder but I keep that keep just the alkalinity in it in the liquid supply so let me talk to you guys about what's going on so as I'm preparing my drink here I think I shall be doing is firstly about my Bitcoin trade so right now I was stopped out for a profit as you guys if you've been watching my videos if you have it that's cool but if you have you mean watch my videos then you would know that I've been bringing my stop down locking in profit as this Bitcoin has been going down down down and yesterday's bar as its scooped up it it scooped up it's slowing momentum on the downside now so this down move the momentum is now is now slowing it's actually changed based on some things that I know and also I've got stopped out I've got stopped out for roughly a hundred and fifty percent return on risk so whatever I was risking on that trade I made roughly a hundred and fifty percent return on that risk so beautiful-beautiful trade on Bitcoin got it on the breakout rode this down for last few weeks and made it really really nice profit on that too so that's more that's what's happening with Bitcoin right now two scoops of green powder by the way guys as you can see this here skip the green powder one skip and into two scoops gotta keep that greens up guys keep the greens up in your body your body just loves that that greens are really done so so that's what that's what happened my Bitcoin right now let me go into let's add a bit of BC double ace this is BC double A's Plus also got a potassium magnesium what else is in there I wouldn't say and also sodium as well to a bit of post-workout there so and it's going to put one one whole scoop one whole scoop of that into the water so what's also been happening in with with my training right now having taken some really took a really really nice trade recently on oil for a short-term trade I was on a short term chart on the short term trades I was in doubt of that thing within a couple of hours and I said that was a beautiful beautiful trade for myself I also am right now into short signals into short setups long term when it comes to the market and what I mean by a long term is I mean when I mean long term I mean that bit of creatine by the way guys for the creatine meaning like I'm in these things for a minimum three one trade is three months a timeframe meaning that's what I've got for this time Pro because it is an option trade and then I also have a six month try going on as well too so they're more of a longer-term style of play in what's going on through there so also a bit of another me know energy just one scoop of this you've been feeling a bit of bit of cafe and stuff for that give me a bit of a kick so lots and lots of stuff in this drink today guys so say yes I'm in that right now and one thing is interesting right now is today we actually had a bit of a bit of a rally in the markets right and this is one thing that you might want oh crap how about that that better had just dropped the whole thing just dropped down so you guys don't realize but the way I've set this talking on my phone right now okay so doctor my phone and I've got like I've got like salt and pepper shakers holding this camera and I got like a little Oh actually I'll just show you so see this here that's actually what's holding the camera right now so anyway whoa so I got to try and stabilize it a little bit and and then also I've got big salt salt pepper shakers happening behind the scenes there we go so I can't touch it anyway so it's so important that if you want to be in this market for long term that you keep your emotions calm so many people and it's so important to understand that when you're Fischer when you're is a triple-strength so I'm going to take three of these guys mercury test it as well - we're getting the markets guys it's so important to keep an emotional calm people like I'm in a short position today the winner guess we draw all those are you can't be like that okay you've got to flow with the market don't be don't be so tight about that if you are like that in the markets you're going to make bad decisions and you're gonna end up you know getting out of trades that you should've stayed in and all this all this stuff as well - okay so if you are like that in the markets that means you're trading way way way too much for your emotional boundary to make good decisions remember when you focus on making when you track when you focus on making a lot of money you put a lot of money on to a trader try to make a lot of money you are not making a lot of emotional decisions which is always the wrong decision you're not going backwards right when you focus on training well capital preservation you put you put a good amount of money on a trade but with good risk management and you're focusing on training well guess when that happens you make good decisions you focus on training while instead of making money focus on training more and you end up starting to move forward I didn't check that up and up it was a green powder I didn't shake the drink up enough and so the great battles like anyway so that's what's so important guys okay well I cruise there but I'm in a few short positions right now one of the trends I've been in a short position and it's been going down for a week or so but guess what happens if you want to be in the market for a long term you must understand how to read the flow of the market so for example with my Bitcoin trade that was more of a longer term starlit right meaning I know it's gonna be in that for at least a few weeks and I was but you're my son you must also understand the time and momentum shifting even on even on the short term I knew my mentor right now on Bitcoin is shifting so that's obviously reason why I stopped out for a nice profit but if you if you trade in the markets right if you train the markets one you must understand how the markets work they never go straight down a straight up we must accept that upfront when you train the markets okay so right now oh one of my short positions I'm short right now I went short and a drop and drop and drop and drop and dumped him for about a whole week beautiful right beautiful now what's happening the hallmark is getting a bit about Zoey's mic so in my market and I'm not like oh no you kick her right and then the other short tray I've got in it went down went sideways for all and tell it had a little pullback against the train but the thing is I'm not worried about that because the overall picture is telling me when shifting into a dense and I'm going with the trend I'm going with the stream I'm not fighting against it now if the stream ends up changing direction I have to change direction I have to get out of those trades and so on so forth makes sense doesn't matter how big or how small the loss is I have to get out of that but until that changes but you got to understand most people say they want to be part of the time of this next stock market crash that's going to happen but can you emotionally handle that you don't have stock market crashes it's not straight down it's down for a week and then a pull back for a week it's down for two or three weeks then let's pull back for a couple of weeks and sometimes I pull backs are very like they look like dead cow bounces right they run down nice big 50 60 percent retracement then boom they hit it again that's how the markets work so if you want to be in this long term you must keep your emotions calm to endure the swings in the markets not be trying to pick every single day in the markets that's not how trading is done if you're trying to do that good luck because you're better than me at doing that I cannot pee I cannot get in and get out every single day in these markets now what I mean by that is if I'm if I'm like I can't do that when I'm training this what I mean I can do that if I'm training if I'm training a short term chart such as a 2 or 5 or 15 or even an alley which I do on in the Forex the futures markets then yeah yeah I'm in and out pretty quickly with those things make sense but if I'm looking at right now I've got two short positions on it and I already know in the back of my mind that these are more about three - one two three months trade I mean about three months with the time for this thing to work out and then another one's a six months whether that's got six months for this workout and I'm looking at the charts and I'm telling and the market is telling me it's actually I'm I'm trading with the trend the stream is still going down just because I'm getting a pullback right now doesn't mean the stream has actually changed then there's nothing that I can do then but stay calm and let the mark and do what it's going to do make sense I need to expect that because the markets not gonna go straight down and straight up just like Bitcoin what did they coin do Bitcoin as soon as I got into Bitcoin it went sideways for three days and then we had a big drop and then we had an up candle then we had another drop and then we had another drop and then then we had three sideways candles and then we had a big up candle you know I mean like they don't go straight down now if I mean if I'm training if I'm training the chart and then it's going down down down um depending what type of trade it is I'm going to manage the trade that way so for example with Bitcoin I was I got in on a green tree but I was managing my stop as it was going down because it wasn't that style I was gonna hold on for a couple months because I don't know where it's going to go I don't have any long-term picture with that you know with Bitcoin it may bottom out here at 4000 and hold here 4000 and then go for rally it may hold here and then go for another go sideways for right I don't know but I do know one thing about bitcoins we've done so much price meaning the markets been going down for quite some time that we now need wheat withdrew for some sort of a pullback or a sideways move for a little while maybe a wiggle to make sense and then it's gonna do what it's going to do make it make sense so please please please if you when trading these markets it's so important to you know it all comes back down to you know it all comes back down to four different things the first thing is exactly what are you exactly looking for the charts that's what I say to always my private clients take a screenshot of the perfect setup that you know that works almost 100% of the time yes I did say that almost 100% of the time take a screenshot of that trade and say right I'm looking for trades that meet this and now you know you and now that's that's 5% of your success right there you're looking for a screen you're looking for a trade that looks like this screenshot this setup and also you're looking for these rules to be wrapped around that as well too now once you've got that consistency showing up every single day discipline to only taken that setup not try to get in and every day and try to jump on the next big move trying to jump on the next big big big coin on Maulana stocks or then you know all that sort of stuff no why did I try to Bitcoin because it was part of my trading system no because I just thought it's got a crash as per my training system consistency disciplined widely taken that and patience that's 95 percent of your success right there take a screenshot we looking for we wrap it around with some training rules consistencies showing up every single day at the same time every single day to trade the markets disappoint to only taken that setup and patience wait as long as you have to I don't care if you have to wait a whole day if you're trading the short-term timeframe charts or even if you are trained the short term time crap even if you have to wait short term daily monthly whatever charge of looking for I don't care how long it takes one day one week one month for a really good training self Toby that's your job to only take that setups that's how success is down in the markets makes sense so you can become successful but you've got to get out of your own way and stop trying to get in on everything because you don't know no one knows what that next big boom is going to be now by the way there are things that I know about the market that can give me a precursor to when the markets likely to have a big big move and there's a lot of things that I can said that I can share with a bit later on on the chart but do you understand what I'm saying here you know like you really cannot tell you know like no one could have predicted my Winer or no a new Bitcoin was going to go to 20,000 so that's hindsight what can you trade if you want to be in this markets for a long long long long long time find your setup whatever it is with your trading rules consistency showing up every day discipline to only taking that setup and patience waiting for as long as you have to to get that set up because I guarantee if you only did that I guarantee if you only did that and let's just say for example for a whole month you took ten trades but you only realize one of them was actually that met the Ross I guarantee you that other nine trades that you took literally 80% of them are losses because you're getting in because your thought is a good idea because your hope is good idea and all this sort of and it's just it's not a good way to go so welcome to this morning's our bit of a ran heel and what's happening in the markets right now or what I'm sorry what's going on with my trading right now and I hope this gives you some things to think about with your own trading as you go through these markets you can be successful but you've got to calm down you got to relax and think long term with your trading all right you don't have to don't trade a lot tre good quality setups that way you can get the confidence to just start to increase your position sizes you know from without from $100 trades to $1000 trades to $5000 trades to $10,000 trades you know and start to really increase it to a hundred grand trades or more how do you actually get the confidence we even get to that point and it all starts with your habit of being consistent discipline and patience
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