저자: mrorange · 외국인
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Nasdaq 약세장 진입 우려 속 게임주 점검 영상 결론: 나스닥·S&P500은 고점 대비 하락 중이며 추가 하락 가능성을 열어두되, 장기 투자 관점에서는 분할 매수를 고려할 만하다는 입장. 시장 상황: 나스닥 종가 기준 약 0.66% 하락 흐름, 고점 대비 약 23% 하락으로 약세장 영역이라고 진단. S&P500은 약 20% 하락 상태. 변동성: VIX(2주)는 약 33.6으로 높은 수준. 2008년 금융위기 때 79, 닷컴버블 때 42와 비교하며 아직 극단적 공포 수준은 아니라고 봄. 하락 가능성: 나스닥이 5,000 수준까지 추가 하락할 수 있다고 예상. S&P500은 지지선 기준 약 40% 하락 가능성도 언급. 거시 리스크: 연준 금리 정책, 미중 무역 갈등, 이탈리아·프랑스 문제 등을 하락 요인으로 나열. 유비소프트: 지지선(30~40유로) 붕괴 시 매수 고려, 현재 돌파 여부에 따라 판단. 신작 라인업 긍정 평가. 닌텐도: 2015년 이후 3배 상승 후 현재 고점 대비 약 45% 하락. 30·24달러 지지선 확인 중, 12달러 수준이면 매수 고려 시사. 일렉트로닉 아츠: 선호하지 않는다고 밝히며 매수 의사 없음. 18달러 부근에서 단기 트레이드 가능성만 언급. 텐센트: 보유 중이며 최대 포지션 중 하나. 변동성 크지만 긍정적으로 보며 현 시점을 진입 기회로 언급. 중국 게임 라이선스 이슈와 중국 주식 특유의 권리 리스크 경고. 액티비전 블리자드: 보유 중이나 약 20%+ 하락. 36달러 부근에서 추가 매수 고려, 28달러 추가 지지선 언급. 엔비디아: 가상화폐 채굴 수요 붕괴로 타격을 받았으나, 암호화폐 회복 시 함께 회복될 것으로 기대. 100달러 부근에서 추가 매수 의향 표명. AMD: 16달러 부근 반등 후 23~24달러까지 회복. 반등 이후 재하락 가능성 언급하며 변동성 강조. 암호화폐: 비트코인은 3,000에서 4,000달러로 반등, 리플도 상승 언급. 암호화폐 회복이 엔비디아 등 게임·그래픽 관련주에 긍정적일 것으로 봄. 투자 태도: 장기(4~10년) 관점 강조, 단기 매매 비판. 공포 속 매도하지 말 것을 권고. 본인 의견이며 투자 권유가 아니라고 면책 고지.
다듬은 글
let's have a little stock market update on our favorite tech gaming stocks out there welcome to streaming the licks my name is mister and welcome my friends and yeah what you can see now here on this on the screen is the Nasdaq Composite and we're still the market is still open we're still trading its 1134 so the markets are still open for 30 minutes before Christmas it's the last trading day before Christmas is the 24th of December so it's only half a day but overall not a lot has changed so we are we still a 0.66% you haven't so does this look there let's look let's have a little look at the intraday yeah it started even worse though but we were fighting back the NASA got fighting back up but in the end I would say we might be we might be lucky if we if we achieved you to get a zero now before let's be safe before Christmas and then the ID and of year rarely before before a semester before new year I wonder if this is going to happen party of course of course if you it's always important to look the long term trends or the long-term charts so and you shouldn't invest just for like one month I mean that's like the trading or for or we always expect to invest like four five ten years otherwise your money might get stuck and you might lose money at this point a little disclaimer I know the financial twice er everything I say and present you here is my personal opinion I don't want to sell you anything I'm just giving you some in first and it's more important that you read up everything yourself that you make your own decisions and that you Indian not listen to me so this set aside my friend so yeah that's the Nasdaq overall we can see here on Yahoo we can look for example the average line if we are drawing it here so it's a 23% down from the all-time high at the moment so overall you would say we are in bear market territory and this does not even Alton doesn't look so much better if we look at the SP the S&P 500 so here this so here also we can draw a trendline so it's yeah it's around 20% down at the moment so maybe maybe here's a support so it's maybe here's the support so we're going to see what we have in 2015 or 2017 I don't know it's very difficult to say if we get to the support here let's say let's be generous support then yeah then we would have lost like around 40% from the old time high that's very much possible so that's of course always a question whether or not to buy now or or just wait until we reach the bottom and then you can go in with all your money and you get super super successful so which is my maybe also interesting is the volatility index two weeks which is now at thirty three point six so it's actually very high and even today again it's 11 per set up so the volatility index shows the sentiment the volatility of the stock trading and shows how how much how much volatility is in the market but you see how much fear and how much selling go is goes on so and this was like for example in 2008 we were at 79 at the financial crisis and then but if you compared for example we've calm bubble so it was also only 42 we're not yet there we're not that yeah my friends say so there's still some hope that it goes down and then we might see again the all-time high of 8,000 even in the Nasdaq it's who knows who knows but of course at the moment a lot is going on we have the discussion around the Fed we have weaved the trade skirmish trade war issues of China and the US we have we have problems in Italy we have the Praxis we have problems in France oh well we have a lot of problems but you always have problems and that's how it goes on the stock market so I mean before we also had problems we had like a nuclear war with North Korea probability in 2009 2008 let's be honest though but what's going out of 50% actually in 2008 2009 was not that bad actually for for the Nasdaq so I'm expecting I'm expecting that it's that we going what are we going to lose more we now we're really in a downtrend so and I expect even to see the 5,000 I'm I'm buying some times some some stocks that I'm interested in but maybe then they fall again like 20% and then I buy again and then they fall again so yeah that sometimes you just have the impression that you lose money and you buy but in the end in the end my friends I expect if you have the really long term approach look 450 300 in the 80s so if you have the real long term approach and you believe in the economy the world economy then you should not be so reluctant and you should just continue to invest in the end in the long run you will win I guess so let's have a quick look on Ubisoft entertainment and my favorites gaming stock since I make a video here not about the Nasdaq in general I make a video about the gaming stocks and where we stand at the moment so Ubisoft so let's see if the support can be hold up here if the support can be hold up so of course because everything I say now is related to the overall market situation but I would say now I mean for example if you're interested in Ubisoft if this breakthrough then I would for example not by until we really really fall on back to the 30 or the 40 40 euros but if this keeps up then actually a really good good moment you to buy into Ubisoft which Ubisoft will definitely continue to stay one of the major gaming producers gain let's say Triple A games also beyond do it an Evo car - coming out in the future the division - coming out so a lot of a lot of great games so Ubisoft is is a company to stay Ubisoft is not like a tiny company I mean that's one of the biggest major companies and I expect a lot of great cool brand new games coming from them so definitely a stock you you can and you and yeah we it makes sense if you want to invest into into gaming stocks in general so but it's it's traded in Paris so but also for our US friends you you can buy them share also in in the in you in on in New York on the market Nintendo oh my god what was happening with Nintendo I mean I'm very skeptical when it comes to in tennis since thing I mean I'm an older person now so was they lost a little bit they lost me with the video of some does the switch no not the switch to be you TV you where you see I'm getting completely confused with there are different consoles with the viewer they kind of lost me so the view was was definitely a bad console but and since 2015 they made a nice thing like tripling tripling so that's pretty cool and now they lost 45 percent so I mean you see it just just should have invested 2015 and you would have made three times your money and now you would only have fun you would have the loss from the all-time high for the 5% so it made over a hundred percent you would still have found a 30 percent if you would have invested in 2013 to 2015 but all thought that Nintendo goes bankrupt or something like this therefore yeah therefore let's let's check let's see here how to support lines at 30 and $24 keep up I mean is that if it's going to do $12 I'm very much considering to duty to look to get my my foot in the door of the entender of course because overall they have strong brands they have sometimes problems with their of the consoles but the brands and the characters they have extremely strong take to Red Dead Redemption - hmm what what to say I would say they're keeping up a pretty nice now here they at the support of in March 2018 of course the all-time high they know that they're not reaching to this to the all-time high so quickly again but you can see overall it's their site sideways they go sideways I would call it now it's not that bad it's not that bad for a company that only has like a handful of active games at the moment Electronic Arts I like throwing a little our little favorite so if you ask people what is your favorite company no one would say Electronic Arts I make the joke always so here yeah we had some support line here and you can see it also slowly dropping 6.8 together with the overall market sentiment at the moment and it was even in the plus earlier this day I would say electronic of got beaten down a lot here 49% down so 27 since - since yes since the year so it starts gaining a bit more interesting but on the other hand I would actually buy I would pay a by Electronic Arts only at 18 18 Totalus no I'm just kidding I'm not buying I like to myself since I do not really like this company and I do not really believe in them maybe they might be interesting for a little trade at some point here if we get to the support line Tencent a little disclaimer as always I own tensor and I'm a bit annoyed also with the epic store so $0.10 has a big big pile of epic so I think 40% epic epic is doing for tonight epic it has been very successful recently so they start to create their own store the community was not really happy about this since a lot of games that were where announced to be published on Steam have been moved exclusively to the epic store that sucks yeah let's be honest it sucks or mag Amos point of view if I'm a shareholder point of view intense and I say yeah that's that's great so of course they happy they make money yeah especially also they since they have some problems in China with the licences for new games so it's all a bit tricky it's all about tricky but on the other hand I see a little recovery and recovery here as you can if you look at this a bit closer so it's not it's not getting beaten down so much so we also have a lot of volatility sometimes goes up like 6% that goes down like 6% so this might be awesome maybe a traitor but on the other hand it's a bit it's a bit tricky it's a bit tricky I would say unnecessarily now all right here and the - so it's it's one of my biggest positions in my in my in my portfolio I'm confident I'm confident to see even better times for Tencent so if you like tensor maybe this it's a good moment now to to gather foot into the door but of course really a little bit more about tense and it's investing in an 8 year American deposit regime I think idea called and it's it's China so it's a bit special sir so you're not going to have the same rights maybe like like in an American stock so BBB beware of this on the other hand it's a nice interesting it's a nice interesting stock and who knows I I don't really believe in the epic store I don't really like that they're exclusives but maybe it works out maybe it works out for them Activision Blizzard's a little disclaimer I bought Activision Blizzard but I'm already I think now 20% down already so they're not stopping to fall they're like crazy so we had oh my gosh person like such a short time we even leave lost even 1% more so now they are like 2.5 percent down which is pretty a lot so I think they'd start getting more interesting at 36 there seems to be some some sort of a support line here well under the next support line at 28 but then honestly my friends don't really really really really really much down so 67% 60% yeah activision Call of Duty and all the other activities Blizzard games I would say it's a steep fall at the moment I'm not buying back in since there were a market situation is it's not that good so I'm waiting a little bit more I think but I think here I'm going to put maybe a little bit more money to you to average down my my position so at 30 30 I would think them I put a little bit more insight and veneer and video is the same picture like with Activision but I would say here at hundred there there might be some stops at hundred comp can't go even more than that how it must be stopping so otherwise at 17 but who who knows it's very difficult today we're at the moment the protein RTX GPUs it's it's I would say people still buy GPUs to play games but the whole cryptocurrency mining sector completely got destroyed so but on the other hand if you see now for example here it's the coin market cap say Bitcoin is the percent up and was fighting back from $3,000 to $4,000 and then you have ripple also fought back massively on a theorem so those are there's a cryptocurrencies you can mine so in this in the stands I would say yeah maybe also Nvidia comes back when the cryptocurrencies coming back so I hope the cryptocurrencies come back because like cryptocurrencies are also holding some but of course I lost at the moment here only money if the cryptocurrencies like most people I would say even if you are if you have would if you would have joined in this in 2017 in generally of course you still up and you're happy and you have a lot of and you're counting your money yes in video hmm maybe here I'm going to to put something more inside yeah a little loose camera also own and video so at $100 I'm going to buy some more chairs I think and then if you talk about in video we should also talk about AMD that are already back from the bounce they had a bounce at 16 so I'll refresh if you see even more so they had a bounce so here's a here seems to be some sort of a support line I would say so at sixteen seventy there was a bounce back to 23 24 so that's pretty that's pretty good so let's let's see how much does this in percentages sorry guys this is not working trendline its trampling sorry 40% bounce back and then it was a again falling 30% after you see the bounce back is not always the same as it is falling so therefore stocks are in general pretty cool because actually you you can make you can only lose hundred percent but you can make that was imprisoned or even more and yeah that's it that's the most important stocks I had - yeah we also had a little check on the cryptocurrencies and now we're refreshing the Nasdaq so we're still falling and falling so the session is closing in eight minutes and eight minutes the session is closing as we can see a 12 in Eastern Standard Time now I would say my friends that's it so I hope that next year we're going to see again some other some other well years in the Nasdaq and then in the stock market in general that it makes again a little bit more fond and than it does at the moment so at the moment if you have cash on the side you have just to decide when is the right when when's the right moment you to get back in and then you can maybe when it bumps when it bounces back to you you can make it pretty a lot of money but there's also on the other hand a lot of fear and people people are really easy now they just waiting they wait you see that you lose money on the books so don't sell don't sell if you have your stocks now I would say they don't sell because I don't sell well you do what you want of course but if you sell now and you're on the - you're losing money and you don't you don't want to lose money we're not making this videos that anyone you lose this money so okay thank you very much for watching have a wonderful Christmas have a wonderful time and enjoy your life and don't be too sad with the stock markets I'm sure we're going to see at times again and then we're all happy and and life is has a sense again and look for example here at the at the ripple if you if you look here for example ripple see in the last month it was 29 and now it's over 40 so it's already 50 percent up hmm may I should stop training some cryptocurrencies I don't know heavy water fool they see you guys buy wine
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