My Shocking Nvidia Stock Price Prediction | NVDA Stock Analysis | NVDA Stock Prediction

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엔비디아의 매출·EPS 고성장(EPS 600%대)을 근거로, 애널리스트 컨센서스 EPS 성장률 46.3%와 forward PE 20~40 시나리오를 적용해 2030년 주가를 약 738~1,477달러로 추정. 가장 유력한 구간은 forward PE 28~31에서 주가 1,000~1,100달러. 실적 성장이 이어지면 현재 대비 최소 3배 상승 가능성이 높다고 주장.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. nvidia's stock is gaining a lot of investor attention because at's more nvidia's revenue is soaring by more than 100% earnings per share is soaring by more than 600% so these stock price predictions if this kind of growth rate continues could be extraordinarily high for Nvidia stock investors in fact I'm going to make my stock price prediction for where I think nvidia's stock price could end up by the year 2030 2030 so let's take a look at my stock price prediction for Nvidia stock I want at Mumu it wi for using my link one of my favorite features of the mumu app is the stock screener let me show you how it works so you all know I like to look for companies with a high operating profit margin so in the mumu app I can search for stocks that have an operating profit margin I'm looking for so in the screener I add a filter and I could type in here operating profit margin and I prefer the trailing 12- Monon operating margin I click add and then it giv gives me a box here to show me what percent I'm looking for let's say I'm looking for companies that have a specifically 20 to 21% operating profit margin I type that in and you can see the list of companies that come up including some popular companies like Caterpillar and AT&T all right to make my stock price prediction for Nvidia stock I'm going to use several estimates and assumptions and try and predict where Nvidia stock price could end up of course and it's especially risky making estimates and assumptions but to counter that risk numbers and instead of just making one stock price prediction I'm going to do a scenario analysis so we can get several estimates for where Nvidia stock price could be that way instead of trying to pinpoint where the price could be we can triangulate a range where the stock price could be and one of the things I'm going to need to make that prediction is nvidia's earnings per share expectations both for next year and the growth rate for the next 5 years so me in at $3.75 next year now I want to highlight something for Yahoo finance they note that next year is 2026 and that's not a typo nvidia's fiscal year is different than the calendar year nvidia's fiscal year is ahead of the calendar year so while the calendar year will be 2025 next year for NVIDIA it will be their fiscal year 2026 I wanted to clear that up right here also you'll notice that recently raised their expectations for way where they think its earnings per share will end up next year from $343 to up $3.75 so in the last week the analyst on Wall Street have become even more optimistic about nvidia's earnings next year so because I'm making a prediction for the year 2030 I need nvidia's earnings per share next year and then I need the growth of those earnings per share that are expected for the next 5 years so that I can forecast earnings between now and 2030 so to do that I'm pulling the growth estimates from those samt 46.3% per year over the next 5 years so using those estimates I can forecast where I think nvidia's earnings per share will be in 2030 and I'll share that with you in just a little bit I also need nvidia's current share price which as of this recording is 100 $1 6.92 Nvidia stock price has followed its upward Trend over the last 5 days after hitting some rough patches over the last month and a half I also need nvidia's forward price to earnings ratio you'll notice I'm using the forward one-ear price to earnings ratio which is 31 now importantly when you're using the forward onee price to earnings ratio you're making a stock price prediction for one year before so for instance I'm making my stock price prediction for the year 2030 so I need the earnings per share expected for the year 2031 because I'm using the forward PE ratio if that makes sense if there's any questions about that feel free to comment down below all right so now that we have all the numbers we need for our estimatevidia stock and you'll notice here I've got the EPS here for 2025 that I got from Yahoo finance I shared that with you this is next year's EPS estimate for Nvidia stock and I got the growth rate for Nvidia stock from that same Wall Street analyst consensus estimate at 46.3% so to get the earnings per share estimate for the year 2031 I take my 2025 earnings per share estimate I apply the 46% growth rate for 6 years years and that brings me to an estimated earnings per share of $36.94 for Nvidia stock in the year 2031 all right so now let me Point your attention to the right hand side of this scenario analysis you'll see the earnings per share of $36.94 if I apply that forward PE multiple of 31 that I got from White charts where the stock price is currently trading for and I apply that to the $36.94 C EPS estimate I get a stock price for NVIDIA in the year 2030 of $1,145 that's right I have Nvidia stock price returning to over $11,000 per share where it was before the company did their stock split recently by the year 2030 but it's not certain that the company's forward PE ratio will stay at 31 it could increase and if it increases to 40 then Nvidia stock price could approach $1,477 per share nearly 14 times higher than where it is today but it's also not always going to be good news for Nvidia stock the forward PE multiple could drop and if it falls to 28 then the stock price would still be over $11,000 per share at $1,034 by 2030 if the forward PE multiple were to fall even more down to 20 then nvidia's stock price would be $738 per share not too shabby a still 7x increase from where it is today now with this scenario analysis I hope you get the importance of earnings per share if its earnings per share grows as is expected by Wall Street it's very very very likely that nvidia's stock price will be at least three times higher than where it is today the key is is earnings per share the key is profits investors like profits and stock prices as much as some investors like to think they don't trade on fundamentals sometimes it seems as some stocks don't trade on fundamentals like profits and cash flow over the long term and over a vast majority stocks trade on their fundamentals on how much profits they generate and so if nvidia's profits do indeed increase by 46% per year over the next 5 years it's going to make Nvidia stock investors very very wealthy to be sure now that's it indeed grow at 46% over the next 5 years if it does then no question Nvidia share price will be much higher than where it is today but going to my specific forecast which one of these four scenarios do I think is most likely where do I think Nvidia stock price is most likely to end up by the year 2030 well I think it's going to be in the range of a forward PE of 28 to 31 and I think the share price ends up somewhere between $1,000 per share and $1,100 per share by the end of 2030