저자: ChickenGeniusSingapore · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 주가 급등은 뉴스보다 공매도 세력의 숏커버링(숏스퀴즈) 때문이며, 장기 상승 추세는 유지된다는 주장. 뉴스 점검: 세금공제 확대(20만→60만 대), 슈퍼차저 인센티브, 중국 생산·출고 소식은 새로운 재료가 아니며 블룸버그의 가격 인하 기사는 가짜뉴스로 평가. 주가 흐름: 과거 1년치 캔들 중 실적 발표 외에 이만큼 급등한 적이 없고, 주가가 자신의 녹색 예측 박스(예측 범위)를 처음 상향 돌파했다고 설명. 뉴스 없는 급등의 원인은 숏 포지션 청산으로 봄. 공매도 분석: 테슬라 공매도 비중이 매우 높아 숏커버링 여력이 크다고 보며, 연말 장부 정리와 손실 한도 때문에 청산이 이어질 수 있다고 함. 장기 기술적 관점: 5년 차트상 보라색 장기 추세선(약 260달러 부근)이 지지선이며, 이 선을 돌파해 상방 이탈했으므로 큰 상승 가능성 제시. 중·단기 지지선도 이탈했으나 추세는 상승 유지로 봄. 전략: 신규 진입자는 조정(리트레이스먼트)을 기다리고, 330달러 부근 진입을 권장했던 과거 발언을 재확인. 현 가격대는 다소 높다고 평가. 4분기 실적 전까지 횡보 가능성 언급. 결론: 테슬라 주식 상승 추세는 여전히 유효하며 숏스퀴즈가 진행 중이라는 판단.
다듬은 글
hi /i Hodor calm great relations again so i'll cover the news first this week to set the context on my chats on how i analyzed the technical charts no tesla broken all-time highs broke previous resistance of $280 and shot above $400 for a moment you must be thinking what massive good news hotter stop the search so much higher than the review of modern why Cybertron quarterly earnings China gigafactory blah blah blah blah blah No the news man must have been so massive that the stops pipe will be more than all these possible news so let's go through the news of last week the prolongation of the tax credit from 200,000 cars to 600,000 cars filled no Congress decided it was more important to fund Boeing's project to prevent more stupid mistakes made by the 77 I'll go on a little rent you know born screwed up massively and got the money from Congress in the recent bowing style I know the rocket launch I did recently they screwed up again but you just gotta understand the NASA people so much more when when requested additional funds and yet NASA reduce SpaceX budget species got a job done Boeing didn't sometimes I think the world really takes Iran mask for granted and that's the biggest reason why I do my videos so moving on sorry for the rain by the way Thomas master like button yeah the tax credits was extended for charges so there was one quarter of the good news those building superchargers will get extra incentives we see China has been produced and sent to delivery centers but the news is not really new we all knew that was happening however there was one article on Bloomberg is fake news crater by fastest again so don't believe everything you see even if it's on Bloomberg dimension on Bloomberg that cutting the price coming out Tesla factory the news is made so people whole our cheese and we so don't believe everything you see use some no common sense well the final news is the news I believe is the real cause of Tesla shares flying by now you understand that for the past week there wasn't any news that was really bigger than the review of the model y cyber truck water leak through earnings and china gigafactory by the german gigafactory so what really cost him no I covered this news quite quickly on the two-minute video I did on Monday so I'll put the link up here I believe now is the short squeeze no test like the most shot at stock in the history of the stock market I actually did a video on design months ago and I link it up here so I believe the short squeeze Elon mentioned is here shortly to cover it's coming to the end of the year some need to close their books while others short sellers covering as much enriched your profit and loss pin and risk limits so this is a test large choice if you realize this is the first time the stock has such past my prediction box this green box I used to draw this every week for my Tesla weekly video to let you know the roughly where the share price will be and this is the first time is such passed by green box which is a good news because all of us are Tesla shareholders and you're all I think a lot of money now so anyway I'm happy there I'm wrong this part here but I want you to like think about it how did this happen you see this is the very green green hand over here and you look at the entire years worth of green candles and rigged candles there is not a single time over here where the green candle and the stock price moved that much only time we moved that much while doing the quantity tree earnings which there was already healthy retracement here it was really good because we as I said you cannot have one time surging up those the fastest job in this healthy retracements to go upwards exactly you do not see a stock that goes like this and that never comes down it doesn't happen in a stock market okay you believe it happens like probably is one in a 7,000 stocks least on the stock market anyways moving forward so if you look at the movement here is a bit unreasonable with so little news so if it's not the news that is causing all this what could be a better probable cause so the probable cause is probably the short sellers closing the position they realize hey look I may be wrong you know I as I mentioned early in the video I did a video on short sellers and they have a really high percentage of Tesla's shorter so again I'll put the link up there and this short sellers are like okay I'm wrong and I need to stock hungry so probably this is the biggest reason in my opinion where the share price is just surging upwards now when I drew this green box earlier I expected the stock price will I don't come down and go up so it didn't and without much massive news the stock price did this so this really could be the shot squeeze I've been waiting for I mean trying to tell you guys that this will happen okay now let's look at the long-term view on the test line charts I'm going to click five years here and if you remember these purple lines that I drawn I joined this on I think the first December I did a weekly analysis on 1st December energy mention to you why I did this purple line so let's come back to these lines on the long-term view the stock chart moves sideways and finally it bursts this purple line is moving sideways and I mentioned it the moment this sideways line this long-term Purple Line is being broken it's going to be a massive move upwards and if it come true you see a bust through a boom the thing went up right so I do not see the stop going lower than this long-term pop on line so this long-term purple line right now is about 260 I actually do not see coming don't you n64 now on the long-term chart there is chann 60 is your long-term support for the mid term and short term he has the stock has broken past the mid term and short term support so for now all this movement here I where I foresee the movement will be I just gonna rearrange my green box over here rearrange it up let me shift the child a bit lower where I foresee the stop going again overall still couldn't be on a long-term uptrend where 40 go instead it may actually bounce off the pass resistance to form the new support area where me bounce here and probably you're sideways for a little while until the quantity earnings come up for q4 so the trajectory still uptrend is still good to go just that those who wants to go into a new position you may need to wait for retracement and for those that took action over here I tell you guys you know 330 is a very good place you could look at my past videos I say 330 you have to go in ready and I recommend people to go in over here those who did Congrats to you those who didn't I suggest waiting for the next retracement right now it's a little bit high so probably you are looking for new positions could you guys wait for little retracement because again I see all stocks don't go up in one direction he will probably this exact up in conclusion Tesla shares shot that have not did below 20 million shares since me 2013 but ssstop pride keeps hitting historical highs we can expect shot covering to SL read a shot market to losses mount valadis weekly analysis we have give me a life for the YouTube algorithm I highly appreciate it thank you and invest see
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