Market Guru Raamdeo Agrawal ने large Cap Stock में दी निवेश की सलाह, निवेशकों को बताए इसके फायदे!

요약 보기

인도 시장은 전쟁 등 여러 위기에도 견조하며 기업 실적도 좋다는 진단이다. 단기 충격은 있겠지만 장기 사이클(5~10년)로 보면 좋은 기업을 합리적 가격에 사면 중간 하락(10~20%)은 감내할 수 있다고 강조한다. 지수 수익률을 확보하는 것이 대부분 투자자의 목표여야 하며, 패시브 투자로 고정수익(약 6%)보다 나은 성과를 낼 수 있다고 본다. 예금·채권만으로는 물가 상승을 따라잡기 어려워 부(富) 창출이 안 된다는 주장이다. 중소형주(미드·스몰캡)는 최근 6개월~1년간 급등했으나, 15년 수익률은 대형주와 비슷(약 8%)하다고 설명한다. 이런 급등 구간에서는 대형주로 이동을 고려할 필요가 있으며, 대형주가 다음 20% 상승을 이끌 가능성이 있다고 본다. 중소형 시장은 기회가 크지만 밸류에이션이 높아 더 신중해야 하며, 대형주에 대한 기회가 더 매력적이라는 결론이다. 특정 종목·자산에 대한 구체적 가격 목표나 매수·매도 지시는 없다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. such a pleasure having you on the show thank you so much for taking the time very happy the to you and to all your viewers thank you so much do you feel scared what can spoil the party is there anything that can spoil the party because you know like you said whatever had to go wrong has gone wrong this year also be it inflation on an agree level food inflation that is crude we're in the midst of a war we've in the last two years in fact seen two of them Russia Ukraine and the current ongoing Israel and Hamas but still India is chugging along at a very very nice speed what could spoil the party I think India in a situ situation like that we don't have any major crisis but something or other will keep happening you know here and theree you know and some challenges will also come short term but corporate corporates are doing very well business are businesses in general are doing very well my inflation interest rate they are very stable 50 B Point higher lower you know so I think in in that stable environment you go and do shopping what you like what you understand because businesses see businesses may not do well for 6 months one year or you might have paid over price for one year but if you look at five 10 year cycle and if you see I can't pred where the market will go but probably I can understand where the businesses will go and once we understand this businesses are going to do well this particular company is run by good uh good management and this company has good future on a 10- year basis am I buying reasonably priced because in a growth situation like India when markets are very smart so if you are paying you understand the business and you're buying at reasonable price then don't bother about 10 15% decline after you buy I think the real worry in the market for the most of the people is that the moment I buy will it fall by 20% I'm telling you be ready for that 203% decline you know what you're seeing right now in the market play out is that in index level not much is happening in at large cap level you know the Blue Chips of the mighty blue chips nothing really is happening the Tei as you say it is really in the mid and small caps you know that's where you can feel it in your pulse that that's where big gains have been made do you stick by with that see I mean is the alpha generation in the next one to two years with M Small I most of the people 98 99% people don't get the index return in the long run your objective should be to make sure that in index return at least they get it so if you there getting 4 5% 6% in fixed income by following the index by buying passive and not bothering about the market they'll make 133% 14% plus dividend of half% 1% so compy it is very simple if you keep it simple you'll make 12 13% in six years your money will double if you go to the uh debt route I mean that is alternative if you don't come here then you go to fixed income fixed income will be 6% it will take 12 years to double your money and by the time inflation itself will catch up so you don't get anything you don't create wealth here at least you create wealth so that is for you to make them understand because a lack persons are coming every day it's a actual responsibility of all the social media and particularly this Mass Channel like yours to educate to them Absolut that boss you have an opportunity but do it right yeah but for those who are invested in equities right now is there a tactical call that you need to take you think the mid in small cap T has just started nobody knows I'm telling you sub mid small and large all three will deliver the same number not I'll tell you exact number 15 years return 8% cap and 8% again for small cap this is a 15E number go and check but last 6 months one year it's mind-blowing I mean like index is than 8% median is smaller than 20% so that excitement brings all the crowd into following in fact after 20% return you should run from there and go to the large cap because large cap is going to do that next 20% not this see un can you breath further you have to first release breathe out yes so now midap and small cap are breathing up now they have to breathe down large had done their bre breathing down they have to breathe up Shifting the location there or sitting there is tough so people who have patience they will reap the benefits you know that's a very interesting point that you made you are feeling that froth in the mid and small small caps and I only ask because you know every day there is a new IPO the market is broadening yes you know the small and midcap space itself is getting so bloated there are new opportunities every day so why would you say that this is the peak of mid and small caps you said I didn't say it is PE of Medi small who said that there'll be huge opportunity it's it's a 3,000 companies 4,000 if there are 3,000 companies said only 250 are the large large 150 are large all game M small guy so opportunity is very large sure but when you say uh that the return from the category is 20 25% then you know buying at those level you have to be very you need more care because generally valuations are high in that segment and generally valuations are cheaper here a large gap opportunity is stunning and they'll make tons of money uh and uh maybe it is not popular what I'm saying CH so much to learn from you it always is a learning talking to you thank you so much for taking the time pleas talking to you