저자: JimRogers · 외국인
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미국 달러는 세계 최대 채무국이라 구조적으로 결함이 있으며, 미중 관계 악화 시 위안화·금 등 대체 통화 전환 가능성이 있다. 은은 역사적 기준으로 금보다 싸서(고점 대비 약 60% 하락) 금보다 매력적이나 본인은 현재 매수하지 않는다고 함. 미국 국가부채 약 34조 달러 및 최근 금 매입·위안화 약세 등을 근거로 제시.
다듬은 글
the US dollar is a terribly flawed currency I mean the US is the largest debtor in the history of the world I'm not the only person who knows that I'm not the only person who knows that that's going to cause problems someday but today silver is cheaper on a historic basis silver is down 60% from its all-time high or something gold is at an all-time high so obviously on a historic basis Silver's cheaper I'm not buying either today if I were buying one today I would buy silver China's economy is in a funk and people are rushing out to buy gold as a safe haven asset to hedge against economic uncertainties sending precious metal prices to record highs the country's Central Bank has also gotten into the ACT official data released on Tuesday revealed that the Central Bank added a substantial 60,000 troy ounces of gold to its stash in April alone marking the 18th consecutive month of such Acquisitions meanwhile amidst China as economic challenges the value of the Chinese Yuan has been subject to fluctuations against the US dollar year-to date the Yuan has experienced a 1.6% decline relative to the dollar with a more significant 4% drop observed over the past 12 months this downward trajectory extends even further with the UN depreciating by approximately 12% against the Greenback since the beginning of 2022 renowned investor Jim Rogers underscores the potential impact of deteriorating us China relations on the economic landscape the possibility of heightened diplomatic tensions prompting China to re-evaluate its Reliance on the US dollar in international trade transactions is a significant concern in a hypothetical scenario where tensions escalate China May pivot towards alternative payment currencies such as the renm Euros gold or other viable options this potential shift could have far ing implications for Global Currency Dynamics exerting profound influences on Global Financial markets and geopolitical relations worldwide Jim Rogers observes that gold and silver are emerging as compelling alternatives to traditional currencies attracting attention from investors including fervent gold enthusiasts often referred to as gold bugs both precious metals boast Rich historical legacies as International currencies with silver in particular playing a prominent role throughout ancient times while silver may present an appealing investment proposition due to its comparatively lower price on a historical basis Jim suggests that the decision to invest in gold or silver should be guided by individual financial goals and a thorough understanding of market dynamics we will present clips from Jim rogers's interview with silver bullion TV but before we do if you want more videos like this please hit the Subscribe button and turn on the notification Bell for more updates thank you and enjoy the video logical competitor to the US dollar should be the Chinese Ren men be but then my next sentence was but there are many controls in China and that makes it impossible for the ren bin B to be the world's competing currency you can't have a competing currency where you have to go through a 100 different things just to use it uh people who are out there in the world world if they want to buy a loaf of bread they don't want a problem they just want to go buy a loaf of bread so I haven't found that currency yet I don't know what it's going to be but I am looking that has always happened throughout history with a country and a currency that probably will happen with the US dollar because US dollar is a terribly flawed currency I mean the US is the largest deor in the history of the world I'm not the only person who knows that I'm not the only person who knows that that's going to cause problems someday um but also yes China's a huge economy a huge everything but it's not so simple to make the Chinese Ren Min be the world's competing currency yet I don't see something else logically it should be the ren menbe but there are many reasons that it cannot be yet maybe someday probably will be someday but someday is not next week there are many people lots of gold bugs who think it will be gold but gold has always had problems too throughout history silver you know silver has been the international currency more than gold had you remember Jesus Christ he was sold for 30 pieces of silver he was not sold for 30 pieces of gold because silver was the money in that part of the world there the us when the US was established it was based on a silver standard the first American Currency Act 1792 whatever it was silver was the basis for the US dollar now that changed but I'm just saying throughout history silver has been an extremely important medium of exchange might be again but neither silver nor gold can solve our problem now because there are too many problems with silver and gold though I don't know the answer I'm looking I think gold and silver might not be Sansome but it might be part of Sansome well because if we have a gigantic catastrophy next month people might grab gold and silver but they don't know what else then I don't know either there's nothing else but throughout history silver and gold standards have ultimately led to problems too that's why they they've obviously lasted a long time at times in history but the reason they have it lasted forever is because gold and silver have their own problems but today silver is cheaper on a historic basis silver is down 60% from its all-time high or something gold is at an alltime high so obviously on a historic basis silver is cheaper I'm not buying either today but if I were buying one today I would buy silver the US national debt is reaching alarming Heights soaring relentlessly despite criticism of excessive government spending as of Tuesday afternoon it stood at a staggering $34 trillion a figure that continues to escalate this exponential increase contrasts starkly with the debt levels of just four decades ago when it hovered around a mere 9 $7 billion Jim points out the trend of the US debts continuous rise prompting apprehension among nations regarding the Reliance on the US dollar this growing unease underscores the need for an alternative currency however history has shown that transitioning from one dominant currency to another can trigger significant disruptions in Global Financial systems as witnessed when the pound sterling lost its prominence years ago as countries explore potential alternatives uncertainty looms over what currency might emerge as the next International standard while speculation abounds regarding the Chinese yuan's potential role its lack of convertibility or the ease with which it can be exchanged for other currencies poses a significant hurdle any shift from the US dollar is anticipated to bring about substantial turmoil reminiscent of past instances when dominant currencies underwent transitions let's get back to the interview no current has remained as the number one currency more than 100 150 years ever in history the US has been there it's been there a long time uh and the US is now the largest deor nation in the history of the world I don't particularly like saying that I'm an American citizen I own a lot of US Dollars by the way so but I can see that eventually there's a big problem going to develop I can remember when the pound sterling few decades ago lost its status it caused big problems for the world and especially for Britain and the British Empire the British Commonwealth in those days and it caused problems for the world because if you trans have a transition from the number from one currency to something else the transition causes problems and as I said I own a lot of US dollars but I know that with the transition when it becomes serious it's going to cause a lot of turmoil just as every other currency has caused turmoil when it changed the US debt continues to go up every day every day and eventually the people already in fact there are many countries now looking for something to rep to compete with the US dollar I don't know what it's going to be yet if you know please don't announce it I want to buy I want to buy a lot of them because I don't know what it's going to be yet well as I said before whenever there's a transition from the world's Reserve currency to something else there's always turmoil there was when the pound sterling lost its status there was a lot of turmoil in the world you you may not well you were you were a child but you may but many people knew about the turmoil it caused lots of problems in the world and that's going to happen again when the US dollar starts losing its status it's going to cause a lot of turmoil for a lot of people a lot of economies and a lot of companies has to and as I say the easy thing would be if we know where to go you know know when the Sterling started losing its status people knew ah the US dollar we can move to the US dollar and they get but when the US dollar starts losing its status and it's starting now but I don't know where to go I don't know a new competing International currency yes could be should be China but the Chinese currency is not convertible I mean you can't buy and sell it like you can buy and sell the Euro or the Australian dollar or something so the Euro the ren MBE cannot be the world's currency as long as it's a blocked currency right so I don't know what it I don't know what it's going to be amidst economic challenges and growing demand for Safe Haven assets like gold attention is Shifting towards silver as it shows signs of a bullish reversal analysts anticipate silver to breach the $30 Mark unseen since the pandemic Peak signaling promising prospects for investors Silver's resilience amidst geopolitical tensions and Market uncertainties makes it an attractive investment amid fluctuating currencies and deteriorating us China relations with its essential industrial role and upward trajectory silver offers a promising outlook for investors and stakeholders share your thoughts on Jim's prediction in the comment section below also ensure you like this video subscribe to the channel and turn on post notifications for more videos like this until next time
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