원문 보기
want to talk about sxx ETF this is the semiconductor ETF I've covered this many times this is one of those ETFs that I like to trade frequently when I think we're going to get a big rush but there's an inverse ETF on the semiconductor industry sxs ETF is the inverse ETF and if you're looking for inverse trading strategies this is one that could be really awesome right right now Monday of course coming in from the weekend we had the market got rocked pretty hard with deep seek and the Ripple effects that that might have throughout the entire AI industry of course the semiconductor industry has been on fire s soxx ETF has been very profitable if you've been holding on to it for some time buying dips selling rallies trading uh an ETF trading strategy where you're in and out quickly this one is definitely one of those opportunities but now we might see some uh more rattling of cages within the semiconductor conductor industry an S Soxs ETF giving you an inverse trading strategy an inverse ETF trading strategy this one could be something you want to take a look at it's a 3X ETF so if we do see movement downward in the semiconductor industry you could see s Soxs ETF shooting up by a factor 3x so if you like a lot of juice in your trades that's something is really important um we're probably going to see a lot more cage rattling so s Soxs ETF if you're looking for an inverse ETF trading strategy this is one that I think is solid I've made money on this uh in and out quick not one you want to hold on to for dear life for a very long time you can get in get out then sit back and look for your next trade let me show you what I've been doing with s Soxs ETF at the same time s soxx ETF although I think those days might be limited going forward let's jump in all right here we're looking at uh what is this the 1hour bar chart goes back uh into November on S soxx ETF uh and as you can see from Monday um dropping from about what actually Friday at close around 231 s soxx ETF close around 231 dropped all the way down to 210 pretty decent Siz drop we've seen a lot of buying coming in on Nvidia I think the scare is out um and that the market is probably going to sort of flip around a little bit and start buying on the dips and you really have to ask the fundamental question will this deep seek really rattle the industry that much that Nvidia sells off here's the thing with Nvidia the chips and deep seek they're using Nvidia chips on the one hand how did they get them apparently there's a embargo on it and they simply aren't using these or however they set things up we don't know those kinds of information just yet Chinese are notorious for lying plain and simple uh as an economist we look at their economic data and just roll our eyeballs we search desperately to find how anything could be possible just to say well I mean there is that that is a possibility but consistently the Chinese try to make themselves look much better than they actually are because of that I wonder on some of the information that we got on this deep seek and how that could uh potentially be what might be called misleading and therefore Nvidia might still do just as well but at the same time taking giving some benefit of the doubt I think the industry is going to be looking at this and saying you know what we can probably get a lot more done with a lot less and this will force the industry to make shifts so maybe growth rates aren't going to be there as consistently for NVIDIA or broadcom or any of the other big players I do own broadcom it's in my long-term main portfolio I've had that for a number of years um and I I I actually believe that broadcom along with a lot of these other uh chip makers are probably going to come down and that's something I'm sort of coming to terms with and trying to figure out how can I make money to protect my high water mark is my goal and so s soxx ETF if you are thinking that this is a Buy on the dip opportunity maybe we see a move from 214 on S soxx ETF all the way up to say 224 sort of hit that middle line there of the selloff I know I did see some early morning buying uh I'm making this video the Market's still on uh and so we'll see where it ends up for today but s soxx ETF could be a pretty solid Buy on the dip opportunity had you picked up at 210 you know we could would have could have should have until the cows come home this is one I think that uh you could see some big run-ups but what if the opposite happens what if we start seeing some big selling in the semiconductor industry an S soxx ETF sells off this is the inverse so if you are looking for the an inverse ETF trading strategy sxs ETF is the inverse to the semiconductor industry and this one is so important because uh as sxx would move down s Soxs ETF would move up now this one is Direction daily uh the semiconductor versus um the other one's proch shares they're not the same holders or creators this is a daily ETF you do not want to hold on to this scene for dear life and I'll show you the chart as to why it continuously mov moves lower they're trading forwards and and there's inflation involved and plus they need to get their scratched so it's continuously deteriorating because they're always uh having to deal with forwards and inflation regardless the move from Friday call it 1750 shooting up to almost 2350 that's a pretty sharp move yeah you can trade options on these so if you believe that you're going to see some downward movements in um the semiconductors take a look at each stock individually maybe there's one uh maybe Nvidia I think February we get their earnings release in February very likely they could say yeah we got good uh forward earnings or good good Revenue this quarter before forward maybe a little less could boom s Soxs ETF the semiconductor inverse ETF would shoot up like a rocket because Nvidia would sell off on its own fundamentals outside of competition so that's something that you really got to kind of keep encompassing within your analysis the other thing is how much further could Nvidia possibly go or broadcom or any of the other bigger players again I believe my broadc call broadcom Holdings have topped out I don't see much even though we just had the big move higher I just put a video out on broadcom if you want to check that on a avgo stock uh that's up there as well so these inverse ETFs another thing primary thing for anybody that's been following me for any period of time I'm an economist first and foremost and my belief is that the Federal Reserve should not have been lowering interest rates back in September October and December like they did uh we've got a meeting right now Tuesday and tomorrow they announc expectations are that this is going to be a very boring announcement that no new news is going to be coming out but that this year is going to be quite exhilarating not exactly environment where the stock market just continually moves Higher and Higher and Higher and Higher and that's such a key thing because you'll see growth rates started into decline the Federal Reserve might have to Pivot and all of a sudden the stock market starts to sell off and these growth rates that we've seen seen hyper overpriced growth rates in some of these stocks that we've seen would start to reverse s Soxs ETF along with all the other inverse ETF trading strategies that I've been putting up I'm getting ready for this because I think this is what's happening next I think the Federal Reserve blew it again lowered interest rates before they should have and that they're going to rock the stock market we've been on a a crazy awesome run since basically all the way back in 20 2020 with the co shutdown we had 22 23 when things got a little bit Rocky but then it just kept on going it won't do that forever and the Federal Reserve might be the ones who Rock the semiconductor industry if not competition International competition that the industry isn't seeing company coming and so therefore an inverse ETF trading strategy might be something you're looking for S Soxs ETF is one of those that I'm going to be very seriously uh employing regularly now here's another thing I want to look at s soxx ETF this is going uh back ways all the way to I think this chart the very very right of that is April 2020 when this ETF was trading roughly about call it 77 A5 Trad trading at 214 and if you look at what s soxx ETF has done in just the past couple days it's been settling out seems 240 uh it has breached it breached 260 but it's starting to have issues and this is basically what I've been saying that this bull run is probably running its course so therefore we could see the semiconductor industry moving downward and therefore semi conductor ETFs would sell off and all of a sudden s Soxs ETF looks real good especially at 3x you can make some money on that do you want to buy s Soxs and just hold on for dear life I would not recommend that this is what it looks like again there's constantly this sort of attrition and it just continuously lowers lower lower lower lower uh I mean the peak of this is what 42 5 it's trading at 21 425 as in 42,500 versus $21 uh and this is you see this often with these kinds of ETFs um where you'll see like an inverse and then uh the inverse ETF and then they just sort of Whittle down to zero basically uh and that's just the nature of how they're designed what they're trading how it plays out so with that in mind when you do trade an inverse ETF if you're looking for that kind of trading strategy make sure take a look at the bigger picture and ask the question uh if you're wrong can you just sit on it for a minute no probably not on this one volatility is one that you can't do it with the regular but the inverse ETF for volatility svol uh that one that one just seems to continually go up up up up that one I think is probably going to start crashing down as we see big moves upward in volatility I'm going to be doing quite a lot of inverse ETFs breaking them down various Industries because again from an economist standpoint this Market's done we've the economy is too strong while we're looking at empty eggshell uh from that perspective we're going to see the Federal Reserve likely having to shift and bring us back to zero somehow price growth uh policy shifts no idea how that's going to play out because we don't know we've not been getting what we've been promised we'll see how that plays out regardless these inverse ETFs could be very powerful so make sure to look for my inverse ETF trading strategies that I'm be putting out I've got a lot of that content coming because I'm preparing I want to make money like I said my broadcom stock I I feel wholeheartedly it's peaked not because of what broadcom can't do but because what the economy where the economy is and so therefore I'm looking at inverse ETF trading strategies very strongly make sure to hit that like and follow button I've got links to my substack newsletter we'll see you in the next video
Comments 0