SOXX Stock Analysis - Semiconductor ETFs and what will happen next with SOXX stock

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반도체 ETF SOXX와 SMH를 비교. 두 ETF 수익률과 구성이 거의 같고 비용비율 차이는 없음. 개별 종목(AMD, AVGO, NVDA, INTC, TXN)의 2024 예상 EPS 기준 수익률이 10년물 금리(약 4.28%)와 비교해 경쟁력 있다고 평가. SMH는 엔비디아·TSMC 비중이 커서 SOXX를 선호. 단기적으로 경기 둔화 리스크와 고금리 장기화를 언급하며, 금리 인하 전까지 개별 종목은 다소 하락 가능성을 시사. 반도체 섹터는 AI 수혜로 장기 상승 전망.

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01. I wanted to take a look at the semiconductor sector specifically I want to look at socks stock s soxx stock versus SMH stock this is these are both ETFs the s soxx x stock is the semiconductor ETF from I shares and then van e does SMH stock now which one's better is s soxx stock better than SMH stock actually they're really rough ly about the same when you overlay the um the two ETFs over top of each other it's not much of a difference the cost ratio zero difference whatsoever broadly speaking however you may want to add the semiconductor sector into your portfolio because it significantly outperforms the S&P 500 so let's take a look at s soxx stock the semiconductor ETF as well as the uh SMH stock the other semic conductor uh ETF let's jump in I'll show you the charts and show you what you could get involved in if you are just finding my channel for the very first time thanks so much for stopping by make sure to hit the like and follow button what I do here is a breakdown stock market analysis I looked at all the little sectors of the stock market itself I look at stocks themselves so if that's the kind of content you're looking for and Analysis on individual stocks using value investing principles make sure to hit that like and follow button here we are looking at the ey shares s soxx stock versus vanck SMH stock again these are both ETFs for the semiconductor sector the semiconductor sector has been on fire as you can see going backwards from 2016 to 2024 that period of time up about 466 and 48% uh respectively so the bar chart on this is ey shares s soxx stock and then uh vanck SMH stock is the orangish yellowish line there they are almost direct parallels to each other there are slight differences and it's really the Holdings um SMH stock really goes in heavy with two stocks and then kind of evens out on all the others whereas ISO kind of spreads things out quite evenly nonetheless semiconductors the semiconductor inter sector when you look at this chart hopefully you can sit there and see that there's a lot opportunity here now we've got ai ai of course is going to blow things up but when you take a look at the individual stocks themselves when you ask the question are the individual stocks worth uh getting involved in when you break those things down which we'll do here right here you see that there's uh it's pretty close to solid Investments across the board now what I did was I took a look at 2024 earnings for all these companies input them there and you can see the yield versus today's stock price um I didn't do the next four quarters because it's it's a little difficult getting some of the information right now on some of these companies so I just went with 2024 earnings and this gives you a pretty good Baseline understanding of what these semiconductor sector stocks would do Advanced Micro broadcom Nvidia Intel Texas Instruments or TI these stocks AMD stock avgo stock nvda stock INTC stock and txn stock are uh in the ice shares some of them are of course in SMH uh but sxx stock is the one that's kind of really even paced you're looking at like four and a half five five and a half 6% asset allocation for these stocks it's pretty even and uh cost ratio is like.

02. 35 for both so there's really no I mean you're literally asking the question which better a pink lady or you apples and apples versus oranges oranges a pink lady versus a honey crisp it's all preference but when you break down the yield which is the fir uh furthest column on the right there 3.12% 4.77% 4.1% 4.30 4.41% those yields which is the uh earnings per share projected earnings per share divided over top of current share price those are pretty decent now your benchmark 10year treasury is trading about 4.28 right now all right it's slid down a little bit today will it go higher well when you look at these top Holdings the five top Holdings in the I shares s soxx stock that pretty competitive this factors in of course future Revenue gains these are future earnings per share so it's very competitive with the current investment environment now each individual stock may not be sort of awesome but then another stock might be really well off comparatively taking a look at vanck the SMH stock the uh vanex semiconductor ETF again if you look over to the um right hand column you can see the yields there for each of these the big holders Nvidia and Taiwan semiconductor they're really heavy into these these represent a much bigger chunk and it's not necessarily evened out as much so for me which would I prefer I don't really like to put all my eggs in one basket if I'm going to get involved in a uh semiconductor ETF it might as well be representative of the entire industry so I wouldn't personally wouldn't necessarily want to jump on vanck SMH so much they are heavily weighted with Nvidia and Taiwan seing conductor which of course they are those two stocks are really kind of taking off right now uh given 2024 earnings per share projections and your current price you see some upside there some solid upside as an investment these outperform the 10-year treasury yield but and as you move down lower there's other stocks in there of course which are not performing as well that's why I kind of like the balance between s soxx stock versus say SMH stock a little more so but the semiconductor industry of course is going to continue to move higher and higher simply because AI is going to Revolution so much revolutionize so much and so many companies are going to be shifting gears and really getting involved in Ai and it's it's only going to get more and more but all those factors are already factored into these future earning per share projections so you know when people say oh they're going to the Moon they're going to the Moon H not not necessarily we may see the economy contract which means there is risk to the downside on each of these stocks individually because the consumer themselves is probably going to contract somewhat we're seeing unemployment trickle higher how much higher we'll find out a lot more information over the course of the next 2 to 3 months as we get more and more information from how inflation is being affected by the higher interest rates what the money supply is doing is it Contracting enough for the Federal Reserve to go ahead and start lowering interest rates or did they go too far and they really need to drop interest rates fast if they need to do that a lot of people would probably be hitting the buy button but that seems a bit immature or premature excuse me because if they're rushing to lower interest rates stocks would be plummeting because the economy is doing exactly that I expect interest rates to remain higher for longer I expect a lot of these stocks to trickle a little bit lower because of that if they start moving too low they become buys strong buys these companies would perform well in a solid economy we may be entering a period where the economy isn't as solid that's the time to step in and buy the semiconductor industry itself I'm going to uh continue to put this information up there uh as I said this is a brand new channel it's been going for about two months it's growing quite nicely but I'll put information out on the semiconductor industry and I break down each of these stocks individually so you have a good idea as to what uh how well say s soxx stock would perform perform uh versus the broader stock market it does outperform the broader stock market it is a solid uh sector to get involved in especially if you want to bet on the future of electronic devices and things like that these are the biggest players in there with all the semiconductors make sure to hit that like and follow button we'll see you in the next video