저자: 미상 · 외국인
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AI 반도체 수혜주 중심의 영상. SOXX ETF 구성 종목 중 엔비디아는 PER·기대수익률 기준 고평가로 판단하고, 현재 10년물 금리(약 4.6%)보다 기대수익률이 높은 저평가 종목(상위 종목, 예: STMicro 약 10%)에 주목하라고 주장. 금리가 높은 상태가 지속될 것으로 보며, 이번 주 목요일·금요일 발표 지표와 11월 5일 대선 이후 FOMC(6~7일) 전까지 연준의 금리 인상 없이 말로만 긴축 기조를 유지할 것이라는 전망을 제시. 미국 실업률 약 3.83%를 근거로 완전고용 상태라고 설명. 대만 TSMC는 10% 이상 하락 가능성을 언급.
다듬은 글
AI is going to take over and be a major driver for a lot of Revenue and profits for a lot of companies and I wanted to talk about AI stocks to buy specifically I wanted to look at sxx which is an ETF uh for the semiconductors now when it comes to AI stocks to buy the things that I'm looking for more specifically are the services related the hardware is important we're going to see that ramp up we've seen Nvidia nvda is ticker symbol there taking off nvda stock is from my perspective way overpriced and this is a risk for say s soxx stock which is the ETF it's got uh probably about six or 7% of its Holdings is in Nvidia but those there are some other stocks that are undervalued these are AI stocks to look at AI stocks to buy in in the future one of the big things we've that we'll be seeing starting this week is a Readjustment in price for a lot of stocks interest rates are trending higher they will continue to do so the Federal Reserve might be off the hook and not have to raise interest rates but instead just pound their chest keep in mind this is a presidential election year they don't want to interfere so maybe they'll sit there and just say listen inflation isn't where we want we're going to have have to keep rates higher for longer higher for longer higher for longer with the hope that the economy just sort of Peters out a little bit and that is a probability given that we could see these interest rates pushing stocks lower and that's when you want to pull the trigger on AI stocks to buy let's break down s soxx stock here's a good look at the I share semiconductor ETF sxx stock this is one I prefer over there's three major ones um first off size you can you can get in and out of options pretty easily but I the allocation some of the other ETFs are heavily allocated towards Invidia obviously Nvidia is an important company but I don't necessarily like that that big of a portfolio allocation here I I'm breaking out uh these are the top five Holdings within sxx stock you've got Nvidia in Orange and as you can see it's outperformed just about everything uh of course Nvidia has um launched a lot of uh Ai and their projections are huge but it's overpriced even accounting for all future revenues it's overpriced at these levels fine here's the thing we're probably going to see a lot of stocks selling off and this overpricing for nvda stock there's going to be some Reckoning there will be selling in that and it's the other stocks that I'm looking at on a regular basis that I've been eyeing up more so than say Nvidia uh broadcom's in there avgo AMD INTC and then mu these are the top Holdings they represent five six and 7% of the overall sxx ETF holding and as you can see they're um they've all done very well over the past year since October of course moving up about 50% since the beginning of uh the end of 2022 when we had that initial sell off s soxx stock has basically doubled now here's a quick breakdown this is a single share and if you look at the very right hand corner here these are the 30 stocks inside s soxx ETF and I did uh uh I I have one share looking at the next four quarters asking the question what yield would you get as an investor buying each share today and as you can see St micro Electronics is uh leading the pack there at 10% some of these stocks are significantly underpriced relative to what valuations they could bring in for yield going into the next year go all the way down you see mu Micron Technologies barely barely breaking even for the next x four quarters and it's in there in s soxx as one of the key Holdings um there are only about six stocks I think it's 2 4 six 78 nine stocks that on a relative basis are underpriced relative to the 10-year Benchmark treasury rate which is about 4.6% the other 24 stocks are overpriced and of course Nvidia is leading that pack but none of these companies operate on an island there will be a shift with future uh prices given the fact that interest rates are trending higher and this is such a key important factor for Value investors who are looking to buy stocks that are underpriced and it's the bottom of the list when you start kind of going through you look at them and you say I just did a a a video on RAM wouldn't touch it it's overpriced but it is a pretty solid company overall it's just at that valuation no way there are better stocks and when you start breaking things down and looking at each of these AI stocks to buy that top of that list is the ones you really want to kind of focus on because of future yield and I'm going to go through on my channel here I am going to work through all of these stocks because AI stocks to buy is such a huge huge thing right now but we have inflation right there we're likely to see a major selloff in the stock market given information we're going to get on Thursday and Friday of this week that could really push these AI stocks because of that you might want to step back for a moment what I'm doing I'm looking at certain stocks saying you know what I will get into that as soon as we bought them out here's the best part of uh where we are with Investments right now Federal Reserve is probably going to have to talk up interest rates without actually moving and keep them there for about five months until after the November 5th election they do have a meeting on the 6th and 7th so it should be really an interesting period right then the most they will do is a lot of talk our uh unemployment rate right now is about what 3.83% I think is where it's at we're well beyond full employment how much gains can we possibly get with employment which would drive personal incomes which would drive consumption which would drive uh inflation probably not that much more so the Federal Reserve might actually be off the hook in the future when it comes to having to actually raise interest rates for now they're going to sit there and look at uh inflation numbers and say wow not hitting our 2% Target rate we're definitely not cutting anytime soon and all of a sudden interest rates move up stocks move Mo down then you start looking for AI stocks to buy a lot of these companies are going to continuously perform AI is just sort of icing on the cak that are going to represent a smaller division like Taiwan semiconductor I just did a video on them TSM stock TSM stock of course uh the biggest out there when it comes to chip makers AI will drive Revenue gains but it's a smaller portion so should Taiwan semiconductors see its price decline which I could expect at least a 10% decline it's already kind of topped out and moving lower given that when you look at Taiwan semiconductor you could look at that and say this is an opportunity to get into this stock with at a very low price relative to Future yield and when you break down these AI stocks to buy this is what you're kind of looking at let's take a look at the uh broader index again this is s soxx stock versus these other the five key that are in there uh mu kind of lagging behind actually negative because of its future earnings and when you look at Future earnings over the next four quarters and expectations we uh the market prices in those future earnings but Nvidia this one's a huge one they're only yielding about what 2.25% given the next four quarters at its current valuation going two years out you're still uh the calculations are still showing that uh nvidia's stock is way overpriced and should interest rates move higher starting this week as they have been doing but with more information on Friday Nvidia St could really take it hard because of that there are other stocks in that list you want to start taking a look at and look as to AI stocks to buy look at the top of the list that I had there hopefully it did a screenshot you can re uh rewind just a little bit and break out and find those stocks that have the highest yield all of these stocks are going to move lower and should they actually hit their revenue gains and should they actually hit their uh earnings potential the yield is that much better the Federal Reserve will talk up interest rates eventually they're going to bring them back downward once they do that these AI stocks the one with a higher yield versus future uh earnings per share versus current price those are the ones you want to start taking a look at the top of that list that I just showed you I'm going to continue to break down each of the individual stocks in here because this is such a huge topic right now it's really going to drive a lot of the future of companies across the board because AI is such a a huge thing so make sure to hit the like and follow button down below but also so I'm individually taking a look at all these stocks and writing them up make sure to hit my uh link to my substack I have a newsletter that goes out I've been doing about six uh posts per week so make sure to hit that we'll see you in the next video
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