What's NEXT For Stocks? Warren Buffett SOLD!🤯

요약 보기

S&P500과 QQQ가 전고점 돌파 조짐을 보이며 강세 흐름이라고 진단. 10월 초 조정 가능성을 언급하고 연말 큰 상승을 기대. 버핏의 BYD 지분 전량 매도 소식을 다루며 이익 실현의 교훈을 강조. 도어링(DOL) 돌파 가능성, GME는 30달러 이상 추격 매수 경계, 테슬라는 과열로 3백달러대 중반까지 조정 예상. OKLO는 풋옵션을 고려 중이나 아직 진입 전.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Alrighty guys, happy Monday. It's your boy Stas here. Cheers, by the way. Got the double espresso on deck as always as we're about to break down the stock market, which as of right now, well, we're kind of all over the place. We have some green, we have some red, although the S&P is actually green and it looks like it's breaking out.

02. We have the Dow down. We have the Russell down as well as QQQ is up around a quarter percent. So, I want to break down the indices here, the charts, and we're going to go over some news. Warren Buffett actually just sold out of a stock he he held in Birkshshire Hathaway for about 17 years. He sold out of this stock completely.

03. We have to cover that and some other stocks I'm looking at. But first, guys, hit the like button. Feel free to subscribe. Join the Patreon for my portfolio updates. I actually just posted one today, this morning. Check it out. link down below or go to stasherfest.com/patreon. And with that being said, cheers again.

04. Let's dive into it. So, it's uh it's early, guys. It's only 10:45 a.m. on the East Coast right now. And well, we have the S&P up a little less than a quarter%. Same with QQQ as the Russell is down about a quarter percent. And the Dow is pretty much at break even, barely down about 17 points. So, we are not really doing much.

05. Not not a crazy green day and it's not a crazy red day either at this point. Although, we are noticing SPY is going for the all-time high, which we did cover this yesterday, right? Do you guys remember that SPY I mentioned how we have, you know, a bit of a bullish pattern setting up heading into this week?

06. And here it is playing out. You can see we're we're pushing past the highs actually from Friday and now we're going towards the highs the all-time high from Thursday. In the pre-market we hit 665. So spy man looks like it's going alltime highs. Looks like we have a little kind of a kind of a cup and handle in a way playing out here.

07. My alert set at 665. It looks like this thing is about to break out guys. And QQQL is already breaking out. This is now hitting all-time highs as I'm making this video now. We're pushing over um $600, guys. $60045 is where we're at. And oh, wait, who called that out? Not to toot my own horn. But did we not call out a $600 QQQ about a week ago?

08. Well, here we are. And at this point, guys, the reality is um you can make an argument that we're due for a pullback, but it's it's not we're not seeing any signs of it. We're not getting the pullback yet. So until then, until we get the confirmation, we have to be patient. And I agree. I think we do need a pullback, but but we're just not getting it yet.

09. We might get it later this week. We'll see. Uh but I think into October, heading into October, that's where we're going to get a pullback. I've mentioned that before here on the channel. I'll say it again. uh with the way things have played out now that September was not terrible, you know, uh historically September's a terrible month.

10. Now that it's been a pretty good September, I think we're going to get set up for maybe an early October pullback, midocctober pullback um which is going to set us up for that big move um at the end of the year in my opinion. So, if we go over here to SPY, I just got my alert. 665 just broke. Um, yeah, it's it's about to go to all-time highs, guys.

11. We're there. By the time you're watching this, it might already be at all-time highs. So, before we dive deeper into um other stocks I'm looking at, or stocks in general I'm looking at, let me show you what Buffett did. So, Warren Buffett sold out of BYD. So, if you guys didn't know, Buffett has been in BYD uh for 17 years.

12. I was reading since 200 and it was either 08 or 09. Uh we'll take a look here in a second. But we can see right here Berkshire totally exits its profitable stake in Chinese EV maker BYD. In August of 2022, that's when they actually started selling initially. You know, about 3 years ago, Birkshere began to reduce their 225 million stake position.

13. um they had purchased in 2008 for $230 million. So they put they put a quarter billion dollar guys in ' 08 which in 2008 money that's an I mean it's still I mean come on it's still an unbelievable amount of money but in '08 $230 million was a lot more let's just say that. So that investment grew uh big time and with any investment like any investment you're going to lock in profits you know you're going to slowly start scaling out just like you scale in a position you know you scale out as well and that's what Buffett has been doing for the last three years um and you can see here by June of last year B uh Birkshere had sold almost 76% of its stake um in BYD bringing it just under bringing it to just under 5% of BYD's outstanding shares.

14. Um, so yeah, I mean they and you can see it here on this chart. They started selling like I said in August of 22 and well slowly slowly but surely month after month the uh the stake kept being reduced and now it's at zero. So that that's how it goes guys. And this show uh this shows you here as well uh the value of Birkshar's BYD investment.

15. When you make a successful investment and you're up hundreds of thousands of percent scaling out, it's going to come. It's going to come, you know, you're going to get to that point eventually where you're going to be scaling out, locking profits. Not with every position. You know, Buffett's held Coca-Cola forever.

16. Uh but when it comes to certain stocks, you know, you're going to scale out of them when you're up big time. It's smart. And you're seeing Buffett do that. And he's been doing that for the last couple of years. And I'm pretty sure um look at this. I don't know exactly how much he made percentage-wise um or dollar-wise on this position, but it was actually Charlie Mer's um idea.

17. You know, Buffett was urged by Charlie Munger 17 years ago, the late great Charlie Munger. um you know he urged him 17 years ago at the 2009 meeting to really start going more um into BYD and it was an incredible call. BYD shares increased by roughly 3900% during the years Birkshere owned them. Think about that guys almost 4,000% and I don't know if they captured that entire gain.

18. Obviously they scaled out a little bit. Uh but man I would love to know their actual return on the position. It's got to be thousands of percent if I had to guess. Um, you know, again, it's it's probably not this entire 4,000% gain, but man, it's um depending on when they got in, got out. Either way, thousands of percent, guys.

19. Uh, you know, it's it's remarkable, right? And Mer has called out a lot of good stocks for Buffett. Um, and this is definitely one of them, you know, unbelievable, man. Unbelievable. So yeah, that's that's a lesson in and of itself of locking in profits. You know, not every stock is meant to hold forever.

20. You know, you might you might hear that out there that, oh, you got to buy and hold a stock forever, you know, that's not always the case. Um, sometimes if you notice a crack in management, I'm not saying BYD is seeing a crack in management or the business is suffering, uh, but sometimes it's it's smart to to get out.

21. And honestly, EVs are struggling a bit worldwide. Let's keep it real. Uh, so I'm so I'm sure that is a big reason why Buffett got out of this stock. Uh, but yeah, I mean, he probably started seeing the trend of EVs starting to slow down a couple years ago and he really started aggressively getting out and it kind of makes sense.

22. Uh, but we'll see. It doesn't mean BYD is going to suck as an investment for the next 10 years. Uh, but it is something worth noting when Buffett gets out, which is why um, we're covering it here in this video, guys. So, yeah, let's quickly go over some other stocks. And by the way, what are your thoughts?

23. Let me know in the comments. Hit that like button. Feel free to subscribe. I appreciate you all for tuning in. Um, as always, follow along for more. Cheers. Let me actually get some coffee, by the way, guys. Oh, man. Nothing hits like a like a double espresso, right? So, at this point, we do have a lot of movers.

24. Dolingo is moving. Dol is up about 6.2%. We're back over $300 a share, guys. And it's not breaking the downtrend yet, but it is testing this resistance, major resistance at about $310, $315, right by the 180 SMA. That's a big spot. That's a big spot overall for the uh for the stock which look we do have a double bottom breakout starting to form.

25. We are maintaining we did maintain 250 to 270 which has been support all year. That was support earlier in 2025 guys. The fact that we held it again double bottom breakout starting to form I like it. I like it. But we have to break out of I would say 320. Break out of the highs from couple days ago.

26. break out of this uh moving average. And if we and if we do that, we could see a lot more uh more upside. So that's Dol. Um let's see here. What else, guys? Do I want to go over on the watch list? Uh we do have GameStop moving. I don't know why, but GameStop. Let's see. Uh GME. Oh, wow. GME has been moving.

27. Excuse me, guys. It has been moving for the last couple of um really two weeks if that since uh since earnings came out. And you know, looks like the gap is starting to fill back to about 30. But I'm scared. I don't trust it past 30 bucks, guys. I'm scared to get in here. I feel like this could be a trap.

28. I feel like GME could easily fill the gap to 30, no doubt. But then from there, you know, I think it's going to come back to the low mid20s like it kind of has been doing for the last year. here. I mean, if you guys look at the chart, yeah, it's peaked out to 30, 32 a couple times, but it's fallen down to 20 bucks time and time again.

29. I think that's going to happen here again cuz the reality is, man, uh we're not seeing any huge changes fundamentally in their business. Sure, they're buying Bitcoin, but how far is that going to get them? You know, how far is that going to get the stock price? There are some people out there that think, "Oh, you're going to buy a stock that holds Bitcoin on the reserves uh and then you're going to just automatically 50x your stock." It's not going to happen all the time.

30. Not necessarily how it works. That's too risky. So, for me, guys, I'm staying away from GME, but it is interesting looking at it go up 4%. And honestly, it could see a little more upside, maybe a little more juice to 30. Uh, but I'd be very careful at 30 bucks on GME, guys. I don't think this time's different.

31. I don't think we're going to break out to $50 or 40 or even 38 for that matter, which is where it was a couple months ago. But I could be wrong. Who knows? That's just my opinion. What do you guys think about that? Uh but yeah, that's pretty much it. I mean, we do have a lot of other movers. You know, Tesla, oh, that's another one.

32. Tesla keeps on going, guys. It filled the gap from 425 uh to about 445. That was the high from the uh the middle end of January. So now we're pushing highs on the uh on the 4hour chart on Tesla. And the reality is, guys, th this stock is about 50 bucks from all-time highs, that's a little nutty to me.

33. You know, the fact that this stock is trading near all-time highs is nuts. I think um you know, yeah, the the the future with robots, it's going to be great. FSD. Awesome. But man, I think this price is getting detached from reality right now because the reality is they're not making money from robots.

34. They're not making money from FSD. Automobiles is where they're making a lot of the money, all the money, most of the money. Uh, you know, and that segment is struggling big time. So, I I don't know how Tesla stock has doubled. I mean, of course, I do. I know how it's doubled. The market's up. There's a lot of hype around it.

35. Elon's been out of the spotlight. It makes sense. I know why it's up, but I I don't think it's going to last. I don't think it's going to last. Um, and we'll leave it at that. I think we have a major gap to fill back down to the mid high 300s if I'm being totally honest, guys. Uh, that's where I think we're going to end up.

36. And I'm I'm I'm not ballsy enough to buy puts right now. I'll keep it real. Uh, but it is something I've considered. And speaking of puts, OKLO is still very hot. We actually hit $146 overnight, it seems like. Um, and now the stock's starting to go to the mid130s again. This is one that I'm also looking at for puts, but I haven't pulled the trigger yet.

37. We'll see. We'll see, guys. I'll keep you updated. And with that being said, let me know your thoughts in the comments. Feel free to join the Patreon if you want to keep up with what I'm doing in my portfolio. I post updates every week. I actually posted one um today and we deposit deposit money every week.

38. We buy stocks every week. If you guys want to get insight on that, that's linked down below on Patreon or go to stocksurfest.com/patreon. That's stasf.comreon. Make sure you guys join. And with that being said, cheers. I'll catch you in the next video.