저자: PatrickWieland · 외국인
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결론: 나스닥 기술주 급락은 매수 기회일 수도 있으나 하락 추세 전환(약세장) 위험도 있어 분할 접근이 필요하다는 입장. 시장 개요: 아마존·페이스북·엔비디아 등 기술주가 동반 하락했고, 강세 이후 조정인지 약세장 시작인지 차트로 판단해야 한다고 설명. 확실한 예측은 불가하다고 명시. 아마존: 당일 약 3~3.4% 하락, 일봉상 하락 흐름. 11,22달러 부근 지지 이탈 시 1,000달러 및 979.6달러 부근까지 추가 하락 가능성 제시. 발언자는 아마존 저점매수에는 소극적. 페이스북: 당일 약 4.2% 하락, 실적 호조 후 상승했다가 50일 이동평균선 하회. 170달러 부근이 핵심 지지선이며 저점 높이기 확인 시 매수 기회로 언급. 엔비디아: 당일 약 7.6% 하락. 190~192달러 부근 지지 확인 시 연말 저점매수 기회로 제시. 최근 고점 218달러 부근. 발언자가 가장 좋아하는 종목으로 언급. TQQQ: 나스닥 3배 레버리지 ETF로, 나스닥 1~1.5% 하락 시 약 5% 하락 등 변동성 큼. 130달러 부근 지지 주시, 공격적 투자자에게 저점매수 기회 가능성 언급. 하락 시 추가 매도세 가능성도 경고. 스냅챗: 상장 이후 차트 부진, 매수 비추천, 상승 여력 낮다고 평가. 스퀘어: 당일 하락, 35달러 부근 지지 확인 시 저점매수 기회 가능, 장기 상승 여력 긍정적(비트코인·암호화폐 사업 언급). 애플: 당일 약 2% 하락, 큰 조정은 아님. 168달러 부근 조정 가능성 언급, 장기 보유 관점 긍정. 투자 전략: 장기 보유 목적이라면 하락장에서 분할 매수가 유리하다고 강조. 한꺼번에 몰빵 매수는 폭락 시작일 수 있어 위험하며, 1~2주 관찰 후 반등 확인 뒤 추가 매수 권고. 리스크: 2~3일 추가 폭락 가능성, 레버리지 ETF의 높은 변동성, 확실한 예측 불가능.
다듬은 글
is this the dot-com bubble 2.0 the Nasdaq is crashing tech stocks are all going down right now what's going on I'm gonna break it down in this video so stay tuned what's going on guys today I wanted to make a little bit of a different video talking about the overall market in terms of the NASDAQ stocks like Amazon Facebook Nvidia AMD all these fun stocks what's going on with the tech role right now and what can we expect going into the future obviously I don't have a crystal ball I really really wish I had a crystal ball because if I did I'd be a billionaire trillionaire or whatever it is I would have any lot of money but I don't have a crystal ball so I had to look at the charts I had to figure out what's going on is this a dip by opportunity is the overall Nasdaq just pulling back after making a crazy run or is this the beginning of a bear market so looking here at Amazon what's going on with Amazon it's down 3.4% today and if you look here at Amazon it's pretty clear that we're going down it's going down on the daily so you know looking at the daily where is the support at where should we look to buy in if I was looking to buy the dip here but I'm just kind of looking at where the support is where we are going from and where we're going out so right now Amazon I think that you know I think that 11:22 area Amazon nice support there 11:40 area you can see how this is pulling back kind of down into there overall in the day you know we're down 3% on the day a little bit of a pullback nice little pullback but you see this thing got pretty extended it got pretty extended on the daily so is this just a beginning of the crash or just a dip buying opportunity if you're gonna be looking to dip by that 1140 1122 area key area to watch here we get below 1122 you can see where the support is next you know I got that that was in 98 I think we get below that 1122 this could easily start trending lower and lower and get back down to that thousand dollar area below $1,000 and you can see where that next support is down there at the 979 60 area so that's the goal right here with Amazon I'm not a huge fan of buying this dip I'm not trying to buy Amazon dip right now but if you guys are interested in maybe this will help you another stock that might be a good dip by Facebook so Facebook actually down 4.2 percent today you can see Facebook having really good earnings recently make it a nice run up there to 184 pull it back down there to 174 so we're actually getting below the 50-day moving average you can see this trend here on the daily chart it's pulling back down there down there to 174 we're with the next be the next support you got the support there at the 170 area so boom 170 area key area to watch it this is gonna pull back it's gonna pull back down with us next support area there so we're looking to see some you know higher lows here if this does start to balance find support there this could be a good opportunity to dip by Facebook right now my favorite stock overall in the market right now at Nvidia yes it's down 7.6 percent today a lot bigger then a lot of other socks that are down in the tech world but this could be an amazing dip by opportunity here if we can find some support so you can see the support area I'd say we got support right there at the 190 190 area 192 that area we're gonna have that support area you can see that was a previous high back there in September we bounced off it we got through that we turned it into support and then we made that move up there to 218 so Nvidia pulling back here this could be a magazine dip by opportunity here going into the end of the year but like I said we want to make sure that we're gonna get some nice consolidation some nice support they're building up buyer stepping in before jumping in crazy on this so you can see here five minutes chart here today Nvidia from 211 down there to 194 just pulling back not making any moves hired not finding support it's just pulling down there right now we're kind of balance of 194 area will see this wants to start to trend higher you can see the nine that's one EMA holding it down as resistance right now kind of just following that trend down lower another stock that I talked about sometimes if you're looking to play some of these overall tech moves is tqq one of the reasons tqq works so well is it's a three times ECF that's made up of Apple Facebook Amazon Google all those big tech companies it's an ETF it has those stocks and it basically tracks the Nasdaq three times so if the Nasdaq moves three or four or five percent you're gonna get a fifteen percent move qqs so right now the Nasdaq is down about 1.5 percent and you can see the tqq is also showing that about you know 5% down right on the day this could be an amazing opportunity to buy in here on tqq looking at the daily chart this thing has just been making moves it actually did a forward split recently kind of split in half so that people could keep buying it remember this is ETF so it's not trading the same as stocks it's trading like the overall market in the Nasdaq and following what's going on in the tech world tqq if you're looking for something that's aggressive I think we're something to jump into on a dip like this this could be a good opportunity to buy the dip here on tqq we had 140 as the high going into the end of the month here people could just be adjusting their bounces kind of you know taking profit for the end of the month moving things around this could just be people pulling taking profit after this crazy move here or like I said this could possibly be the move to the lower side what this could trigger a sell-off heading lower so tqq same thing we're kind of holding that 130 area as support right now we'll see what happens there later on but those are the things I'm watching snapchat this morning people are talking about it I am NOT a big fan of snapchat you can see how this chart is looking since the IPO it has not been pretty I would not suggest people going and buying the dip right now on snapchat I don't see upside here on snapchat you know people was like oh but it's that's what everyone uses the Millennials are all using snapchat I'm a millennial maybe I'm too old to be a millennial anymore but I'm not using snapchat regularly I'm using Instagram I'm using Facebook so I had not that bullish about snapchat right now so those are some of the stocks I'm looking at some of the tech stocks so I keeping an eye on right now square also getting killed today I'm a fan of square I think Square has potential I'm not saying you should go buy it right now but it could be a good dip buy opportunity here if it can find some support you can see that $35 area support there on square maybe we get a nice run it was up there $50 recently I swear it could be a good dip buy here and if you're holding this long term I think Square does have big upside Square talking about Bitcoin talking about getting into the cryptocurrency world with Bitcoin so I think there is upside here on square if you're looking for something that's aggressive if you're looking for something for you know some decent returns here heading into the end of the year so square could be one to watch it's apples down 2% on the day it's fairing a lot better than some of the other stocks in the tech world you can see a pull down there it's 2% down not that big of a pullback this as a possible dip by a possible pullback here to be able to get in on some stocks cheaper then you would have yesterday paying a premium when everything was up big and that's what I like to see when you're looking long-term if you're looking to buy stocks for the long-term hold you're looking for these kind of days looking for days we're stuff selling off looking for read days you want to be buying what other people are selling when you're a little bit of fear in the market you know you don't get rich by buying the top you get rich by buying the bottoms by buying the middle pullbacks and obviously you can't always time the pullback you can't always time the tops but if you're looking to hold these talks if you're looking to buy stocks right now today could be a good day to buy some of these tech stocks and hold for the next year to three years overall you know looking at Apple got a pretty good daily chart you can see it has a nice pull backs there this could be the start of another pullback right here the 168 area it's all really gonna depend it's only 11 48 today so we'll see what happens tqq like I said this could be a beautiful pullback here this thing does move fast but starts moving you can see it pulled back there beginning of November back down there 1:28 Erie and then made a move up there to 141 heading into the end of the year here what are we expecting are we expecting a big pullback what's gonna happen here it's hard to tell I don't have a crystal ball but these are some of the stocks that I'm keeping an eye on right now for possible long-term holds jumping in there on the pullback looking for that move back up to the highs going into the end of the year and then seeing what happens going into January February next year so if you're looking for some long-term opportunities look at the tech stocks today look at some opportunity look to buy on these red candles buying on the red candles buying the dip here and looking for that move higher going into the end of the year one thing you don't want to do is go and buy buy buy everything up while stuffs crashing because this could be the pullback that served into a crash you know this could be a two or three day crash this could end up you know really selling off here so you got to be careful you don't want to go and buy put everything into it right away so this could be a data you want to know buy a couple chairs hold it see what happens tomorrow maybe buy some more what's that trend starts to form once you get a confirmation that we're kind of just getting a dip and looking for that bounce back up higher I'll talk to you guys later on
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