저자: CarolineWoods · 외국인
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딥시크(DeepSeek) R1 충격으로 반도체·AI주가 급락했다. 딥시크는 엔비디아 구형 칩으로 약 560만 달러에 학습했다고 주장했으나 진위 논란이 있다. 애널리스트들은 대부분 매수 의견을 유지하며 엔비디아(목표가 175달러, 약 50% 상승 여지), 브로드컴(목표가 250달러, 약 25% 상승 여지)을 저가 매수 기회로 봤다. 다만 불확실성 때문에 투자심리는 흔들리고 있다는 내용이다.
다듬은 글
welcome back to next J investing it's now time for fomo and joining us as always to discuss more on some of the unfortunately deep seek demise of this these massive Tech players is Caroline Woods Senior markets correspondent for the network so Caroline we were focused on broadcom but really it's a lot of these semiconductor names that have seen any degree of like upside over the last several months I mean it's Nvidia it's marel it's a anet it's all these names that have been such strong beneficiaries of the AI hype or what was expected to be that so walk us through the story hey there Jenny yes a new name a new word has entered the chat and that's deep seek I feel like I've said it so many times today and wasn't in my vocabulary until this weekend so yes this Chinese startup and its large language model called R1 certainly wreaking havoc on the overall Market especially the tech sector and really rattling uh some tech stocks more than others with the chip space really getting hit hard you mentioned a few of the names but broadcom uh one of the worst performers today down about 20% marll down 19% Nvidia uh the topic of a lot of conversation among analysts down more than 177% right now but basically on my entire AI watch list uh the only two names that are higher are Texas Instruments and Adobe right now so uh certainly uh taking a hit now deep seek claimed to have trained its models on older Nvidia chips for just 5.6 million so that less than $6 million price tag compares to a $100 million plus that it cost to train the latest um model behind open AI chat GPT now some on X including Elon Musk are speculating about are you know if they're actually using Nvidia old Nvidia chips rather than new ones and others are are questioning if that $5.6 million price tag is actually accurate so there's still a lot of uncertainty around uh deep seek right now but there's clearly some concern about what impact it could have we don't necessarily know if Chip demand is actually at risk but investors seem to uh be a little bit concerned at least based on what we're seeing in terms of the the overall selloff um I do think that it's important to take a look at what the analyst Community is saying as well and they're much more uh bullish they're sticking with their bullish stance especially as it as it relates to some of the bigger names Nvidia is the name that's called out the most but Dan IES over at wedbush was busy tweeting on X this morning saying the Bears are basically trying to scare investors that this is a Black Swan moment it's actually the opposite if inference training accelerates it speeds up the AI Revolution he says and then that's bullish for hyperscalers NVIDIA and use cases saying deep seek impressive llm it ends there he also points out that according to you know in his opinion that no Global uh us Global 2000 is going to use a Chinese startup to launch their AI infrastructure and use cases so it says at the end of the day there's only one chip company in the world launching autonomous Robotics and broader AI use cases and that's Nvidia so saying that this is a golden buying opportunity kept his outperform rating at $175 price Target meanwhile TD Cowen in a note titled less is more deep seek moment not the negative Market is assuming uh the analyst there says we understand the concerns but this could be the entry point in AI stocks Nvidia in particular many have been waiting for and their reasoning is that they see little reason that this specific model um should be seen as a negative for Hardware spending in either the near or the longterm saying let's not forget that just last week entities that have been at the Forefront of AI advancement announced Stargate and meta once again raised capex to power their AI Ambitions so um just in terms of some other analyst commentary that we've been seeing City question question is whether deep seek is actually using those uh old Nvidia chips and not the more advanced one so they kept a buy rating on Nvidia and $175 price Target they they said that the recent AI spending announcements like Stargate are a nod for the need for advanced chips and caner Fitzgerald actually said deep seek is actually very bullish for chip names like Nvidia saying despite great angst around the impact for compute demand and fears of peaking uh Peak spending on gpus um de uh they believe that advances mean gen is closer and that work will continue on pre-training post-training time-based inference reasoning and future investments in large scale clusters H that will accelerate and that will only be bullish for AI so they kept a a buy rating and said buy potential weakness from some of the big names like Nvidia so certainly seeing that weakness today not seeing a whole lot of dip buying at least at this point for some of the names that we've mentioned uh you know Nvidia down about almost 17% right now broadcom down about 20% so a tough day in the chip space but it's certainly an interesting uh you know new development in the AI story that I'm sure we'll be continuing to watch and continuing to talk about what's the feeling uh there on the floor uh is there uneasiness amongst Traders I mean I can hear all these analysts spin this as a good thing but when you're looking at some of the biggest companies in the world down 15 16 17% I have to imagine there's some money being lost today you know it it's I'll tell you that the true uh sentiment on the floor is Shake Shack was here ringing the opening bell and uh they were giving free burgers and fries outside so it's it's a a hungry and upbeat sentiment because of the the free burgers but uh in Al seriousness you know it really depends on the traders that you speak to several are still very bullish on the overall big Tech story so um you know it can very much be looked at as a buying opportunity some still say oh too expensive for me to actually get at these levels so would welcome an even further pullback so it's not like all of a sudden it's uh you know this this huge thing that that all of a sudden is uh you know taking the floor by storm I just think it's really an important reminder that there are still unknowns out there that can rattle the market and uh and we're seeing that play out today and you know you you don't really think about it until it happens right so but if you take a look uh to bring it back to the analyst Community I mean we haven't seen any rtings or any even price Target adjustments based on some of these big names so still 90% of analysts rate Nvidia as a buy the median price Target implies almost 50% upside now because of today's sell off at $175 a share broadcom 90% by median price Target 250 so 25% upside from current levels so Wall Street certainly uh you know looking at this uh as a buying opportunity I think it just depends on you know what will the you can't time the market but how much lower could they go uh we'll have to wait and see yeah and I mean seemingly like Nvidia still has a over $3 trillion market cap we have erased I mean now like 300 billion on the session but all things considered it's still such a massive company that I I feel like you have to kind of zoom out and say like this this kind of thing does happen it's not completely unprecedented not to say that a move as brutal as today has been is not felt by those that are losing but I just feel like sometimes with these valuations maybe we were due for a bit of a pull back there but I appreciate the breakdown as always and appreciate the Insight Caroline Woods C markets correspondent for the network
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