저자: JuniorTrader · 외국인
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마이크론·샌디스크·SK하이닉스·엔비디아·AMD 등 메모리/반도체주가 현재 하락 추세가 이어지고 있다고 진단. 주요 지지선 이탈 후 추가 하락 가능성을 강조하며, 단기 반등은 나오더라도 추세 전환 확인은 아니라고 봄. 세부 가격대 레벨을 제시하고 장기 투자 교육 과정 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
All righty guys, let's take a look at in this video the bloodbath going on. Not just in memory and chip stocks. However, led by memory and chip stocks most of it is the continuation of the collapse that we are seeing. Let's take a look at in this video Micron, SanDisk. Overnight or I should say post-market session is not looking any good as well, but we'll take a look at everything SK Hynix, Seagate, Nvidia, AMD, Marvell.
Along the ways I'll show you Intel, ARM, all that good stuff. With that, want to let you know none of this is any financial advice, only for education purposes, just sharing my opinion. Please do your own thing. All righty guys, so let's start with Micron. Now, what did I tell you on Micron that this zone was the zone.
Right? 1,026 we lose it, kaboom. Right? And we have been continuing lower, right? And I did the video yesterday for my members, all right, on Patreon. And if you are a member on the YouTube membership as well, you would have seen that video and I told my members this green candle, don't think it's a buying opportunity.
We are still weakening. We are still in the weakness. Market is still Well, at least the memory and chip stocks are still negative and the expectation is continuation to the downside most likely. Along the way some rebounds can come, but that will just mostly be a rebounds, but and overall we still are negative, so we can still continue lower and we are still continuing lower.
Look at the overnight session is not slowing down or post-market session is not slowing down. We are still selling off. Oh, no, right? So, where how far can Micron go? Now, here's the part that you may like. That rebound is around the corner most likely. Now, it's not going to be a strong buying rebound or buying opportunity right away.
It will be mostly just a bounces along the ways. Okay, so what are the zones to watch on Micron? Just for the bounce. Well, before actually I tell you that, let's talk about how far will how far we have a room to go. We will most likely test this zone 838. I don't think we will hold it this time. This was actually not This was not a like a bounce zone previously.
This was a buying extra confirmation zone back then, so it has its purpose back then different. Now, the purpose here is different. Okay? So, here definitely we will most likely test 853 at this point, but we can also test 737. Yes, Micron can come that low. So, anyhow, tomorrow, like as you know, we technically we can still still continue to slip lower like levels like 854.
Uh technically, we are still going to be like it's within reach. And the thing is that there is no strength build up from where we are right now as we continue to stay even below 945. Kaboom. Okay, kaboom kaboom. That's Micron. Let's take a look at SanDisk. Now, SanDisk is at 1360 in the post market.
Let's take a look at its collapse as well. Right? In the post market continuing in the sell-off there. Okay? Yes, we had other data come out in the morning. Also, but market is like every stock is not down, guys. Netflix is not down. Apple is not crashing. Okay? It's just not that data came out in the morning.
Definitely this more led by right now the chips and the memory stocks. All right. SanDisk will remain even bounce good bounce is not going to come on this as we stay below 14 15 14 17. Okay? Below that, it's just going to remain in the weakness. Uh there is some, you know, we are approaching a zone 13 16, very close.
Uh you may see actually a bounce here tomorrow itself, but please note that it just possibly be a bounce, but I do think SanDisk is about to complete its downfall. I do think, which I told you, at least my members, I told them 17 16 below it's going to break. Right? And we broke. And but I do think we are approaching the bottom.
It's not a confirmed bottom. We have to let the price action do its thing and then uh you know, identify if it's the bottom, but that's where most likely we will be heading right now. We're almost there actually. Tomorrow we might test that zone very nicely, very nicely. SK Hynix also, guys, this was the zone 182.
Once we lost it, it's kaboom. Kaboom, right? We have approached one of a important zone 150, but right now it's not showing any signs that it want to hold, right? In the post market it's already going down. Okay? Now, this is where uh tomorrow watch this level 134. We may see a bounce at 134, but please note there is no sign of strength on this thing.
151 below, as we stay below it, we will remain weakness. Okay? So, that's the problem. So, uh yeah, right now, yeah, look at the free fall. Like like just the red pool, right? Anyway, Seagate is it's in a very dire situation as well. It's not a it's The thing with Seagate is that it's not a strong short, but it's also not a confirmed bullish trade from here.
You'll have to just let it do its thing. It's the comeback is only possible if it gets above 762. Absolutely in the post market this is also continuing lower. I do think Seagate will bounce tomorrow, but take it just as a bounce, but most likely Seagate will bounce tomorrow. Nvidia. Nvidia also continuing lower.
Told you I told my members, right? 236 below break and then next level was 232 as well break. I even told my members yesterday, guys, don't don't think this is a bullish opportunity now, this green candle. No, I told my members we are still in the bearish price action. And we are continuing lower and definitely absolutely of course in the post market will be down on Nvidia also.
Uh if Nvidia gains this zone tomorrow 222, it has a room to a little bit bounce tomorrow. But otherwise watch this level 213 is high likelihood of getting tested tomorrow. AMD guys is also AMD is actually not that that bearish, okay? AMD is more your with the rest of the market selling off. It's not overall bearish yet, but it's definitely in the multi-day weakness.
Especially losing this yellow zone is you should not be in a position. Uh which was from here. Right? And right now seems like it also want to continue lower and absolutely absolutely post market there's not going to be any exception here and this is also going down. And 545 530 is most likely we may see a bounce somewhere here tomorrow.
Look, uh most likely tomorrow will be a bounce not right away, but uh expect eventually at the significant levels that my tools marks automatically for you. If you need my tools details are in the description of this video. But at those significant level which are just underneath where the price is right now most likely we'll see bounces tomorrow there.
Uh Marvell also unfortunately this was the trailing area 265 we gave up kaboom, right? 265 below we are definitely not in the strength and unfortunately that's right now it's not in the play. Uh you know, post market doesn't really matter, guys. It's It's to be down, right? So, yeah, it's it's down.
Okay, so let's take a look at now Intel. Well, I'll show you DRAM also here real quick. Told you I told my members also $60 below we will be in the weakness and you can see 60 to 50. I mean post market is 48. 48. Kaboom. All right, so let's wrap it up with Intel and we'll take a look at ARM also. Intel also going lower guys.
You know the story 118 I told my members get out or start sizing down and trailing area 109 108 fully out. And right now this is also in the negative structure price action all that good stuff. Let's take a look at ARM. And yep, ARM guys is also continuing lower. Let me actually because this was buy here.
So, that box was there. I don't want to confuse and so was this a breakout confirmation zone. Uh this thing broke the price action at 302 and precisely that's what we are seeing continuing below after that. Um now hourly interval 231 ex- Look, 224 can give a bounce to ARM tomorrow. So, I mean look, yes we have been continuing falling but the bounces not a bullish strength but bounces are around the corner.
Now, bounces could be your opportunity to manage the position if somehow you did not manage it. Depending on what strategy you are implementing some strategies allows you to tolerate these drawdowns. But if you are like heavily trading or you are doing leverage trading if you are doing uh like um like if I mean you get my point, right?
Like um if you are really really playing heavy uh then the risk management is really important. The point is that you have to know where your risk tolerance is. Right? All right, guys. I'm not going to tell you where your risk tolerance is. Only you know where that is. I can tell you actually. You want to know?
I hear yes. I hear yes. Okay, I'll tell you how you can know your risk tolerance. Join my tailor-made course package. Provide us your question. And I'll create a tailor-made course package for you explaining you everything based on the situation that you will provide. Yes, that's the way I can tell you your risk tolerance what it is.
All right, guys. Well, that's pretty much what it is. And with that, well, let's see what market does tomorrow. Let's just before wrapping up, we'll take a like um, you know, Nasdaq 100 also with definitely memory and all in the post market. This is also continuing to sell off. Right? So, yeah. But, it's approaching its zone.
Uh, we may bounce, but not a confirmed bounce. But, uh, look, market I expect a bounce tomorrow. S&P 500 not that bad. It definitely it's sell selling off with the rest of the market, but uh, overall it's not that bad. Again, all these things I talk with my members also in my memberships, right? So, but anyhow, guys, anyhow, okay? That's all. And I'll see you in my next videos. Take care. Bye.
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