저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
Michael Burry의 팔란티어 공매도 소문과 실적 발표 후 급락을 계기로 AI 반도체 버블 우려를 논의. 출연자들은 팔란티어 펀더멘털(정부 부문 성장, 매출·마진 확대)은 양호하나 밸류에이션 부담과 해외 성장 둔화를 지적하며, 실적 발표 후 반응·시장 심리 악화 가능성을 언급. 반도체는 경기 사이클상 상승 국면이 길게 남았다는 견해와 2027년 양자 관련 기대가 함께 제시됨. 옵션 투자 앱 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
Patee announced the financial results, even though... It was supposed to be the 9th beat, but the stock was sold off. There are rumors that Michael Burry shorted the stock. Could this drop in share price be the beginning of an AI chip bubble bursting? I see the pattern of share prices showing... The price has been adjusted downwards, indicating a take- profit strategy.
I've been watching my own stock holdings. We don't look at motivation, okay? I prefer to look at the fundamentals, the feelings, things like that first, before looking at valuation. If we don't know... At what valuation level is Pantene trading? You have to admit, this stock is... That's definitely wrong.
Judging from the revenue, net profit, margin, and everything else, that's my opinion. Let's say this is an important part, okay? This makes me think that, in my view, it's not a stock with a large size, but the fundamentals, particularly in the government sector, are good. It will likely continue to grow next year.
It can grow even more if we don't consider valuation. I think the growth potential is very clear, but there are some negative aspects as well, Mr. Boat. Okay, this week hasn't been a week for stocks, especially in the AI sector, from the start. Last week, Patee announced the financial results. Even though this was the 9th time the stock was released, the share price was sold off.
I need to ask around about that. To be precise, P'Bo, it's like this: as soon as the results are announced... The price went up first, but then it increased gradually. It's been heavily sold off, now down a sharp 10%. Stocks on the Chinese side, whether it's AMD, Nvidia, or others, have all seen this week...
There was a sell-off due to growing concerns about the fall. Will the arrival of Panya be the beginning of a lawsuit over the AI chip scandal? That's what the saying goes. There were a lot of them, including on Tuesday, my younger sibling. There are rumors that Michael Bay also went short the stock.
Both Pentax and Nvidia cards are included. The purchase of the P option is something everyone wants to know about. Regarding purchasing the Option model, please try this: After studying it, you can check out Invest X. You can also buy, trade, and sell options on the app. Anyone who wants to do the same can give it a try.
I studied it and found that I could do it on the Invest app. I want to ask about the Poibo image in the chip bubble market. Both Micha and Berry were involved in the shock and the hype. Palentia was heavily sold off across the board. Yes, Brother Boat, it's a buying opportunity on a day when the stock...
Chip is a fragile girl, isn't she, P'Bot? Actually, it was about to be an incredibly heartbreaking situation. We'll be on the same side in the future; right now, it's Unisa. What kind of low is it now? I'm asking from my perspective. Maybe I can answer that question, and uh, maybe. Please use it in a little more detail; it needs to be specified.
So, if we look at it from our perspective, uh... The plastics industry, in the past two quarters, has seen... The share price continued to rise. Because, well, we can see the picture now. The upward adjustment in the third quarter, despite only having the third quarter remaining, shouldn't have happened at all; it was just a weekly season for the stock or the sector in general.
It's technology, but it happens to adapt and improve. It can go up, in my opinion, due to the pattern of the stock price. There has been a downward adjustment, characteristic of profit-taking. The reason for this profit-taking is often referred to as an "AI bubble." The valuation itself looks good. Including what has happened recently...
Regarding the layoff patterns of companies within the S&P 500 and other sectors... Technology stocks are showing more upside, isn't it, Kapook? Whatever the reason may be, it could be anything from being high to something else. Okay, you can invest in that specific stock, but if we look at it... Look at the legs of the large cycle, okay?
Let me put it this way: stocks on the American side. The chip itself isn't a stock from the initial round. It's a mid-to-high end stock; why do I say that? Yes, because it's the cell cycle of the ductus cell. Globally, when things are in an upward trend, it... It's been around 32 or 33 months now, currently about 28-29 months, and it has a runway.
Please move it a little further down, towards the lower leg. Yes, when it's in a downturn phase, it will... It's going to be bad for about a year, 10, 11-12 months. Okay, then we'll have to sit down and look at the cycle... The conductor adjusts and increases in size. The increase is due to factors like BlackBerry, smartphones, social media, and work from home.
These are the things that drive demand, and consequently, the stock price. The upward adjustment is in line with the revenue figures. The most recent issue is AI, but that's been happening since June 2023. That's quite a long cycle, isn't it? In the long run, when prices are declining, if we use this kind of reasoning, we will...
I can say that, hey, it's probably going to get better for a while longer. At least, maybe 4 or 5 months from here. Yeah, it's not that far, maybe a year. Hey, that face happens to coincide with the image of quantum mechanics, and they're going to make an announcement around 2027. Programs related to Quantum Computing came out around that time.
Quantum might have been a part of it. Semiconductor sales might increase because it's one of the products that could... We could call it a breakthrough in 2027, in part 2, regarding the stock price. Did it go down, or was the price ridiculously high when it was at the top? The reason it went down is due to economic factors.
The entire macro picture, but only during the next year, I think. I do n't think the economy looks that bad. It might not be good, but I think when it isn't... It's bad when there's a sharp contraction, like the Global Economic Crisis of COVID-19. These "dead crises" are what cause the semiconductor cell to collapse.
The question is, what if there's no recession next year and the economy still grows? Slow growth could be interpreted as a downside for semiconductor sales, or that the stock price of the manufacturer may not perform as well as in the past 2-3 years, but it doesn't necessarily mean there's a downside.
Even with a large number of downlines, everyone can still make a profit. The returns might be adjusted downwards in terms of the multiple and valuation to make it more reasonable next year. Everyone will be shifting from carpay to earning play. So, looking at these components... I think that might be one of the reasons, but let's assume.
If we ask, "Okay, let's look at the picture of the character." Pantia is on page 14, right? Okay. Ah, page 14, I'm watching it. I think, by the way, these are his own shares. Look, we're not looking at valuation. I prefer looking at fundamentals and sentiment first before considering valuation. Let's close the picture by saying we don't know the value of the stock.
At what valuation level is this stock trading at? Well, you have to admit, this stock is definitely not cheap. Right? Looking at the fundamentals, the revenue, the net profit, the margin, and everything else, I think this one... That 's a significant part of what made me see it that way. I mean, the stock itself is n't a shareholder.
There are a lot of downtrends based on the fundamentals, so there might be some selling pressure because of the... Next year, they will focus on two areas related to AI: AIP (Academic Information Programming) and theology itself. Yes, this is considered a core competency. It's a Panteia model, an Onology Y, which is a form of connection.
It has three main components: objects and their properties. And relationships can be built upon. He's better at connecting the relationship between two things, or the objects themselves, than others. So, looking at this picture, I... So I thought, hey, this candidate, in the Government, is good, in the Civil Service, it's good too, next year...
There is still further growth that might be called... It's considered a blemish on Pantia's reputation. The thing is, growth in overseas markets is very small, around 10%. People might want it, but... I think that's the main point. International commerce isn't that big to begin with. So, therefore, it shouldn't be one.
The reason I said, "Hey, we're focusing on the small details." It's possible. We're looking at a small detail... Here, it's just that in the past, their Intern International Commerce program did n't show any outstanding growth. Secondly, there are employee costs, of course. They invest in AI and other things, so there will be costs involved.
Spending has increased, but we look... As for Margin, it's still expanding in terms of the year. Okay, many people might be saying, "Hey, you haven't given us an image of the Guance for 2026 yet." Well, I'll give it to you later. They'll have to announce it, right? Let's wait and see the results. Regarding the fourth round of operations, they might have timing in terms of their announcements, because in the third round, most people give guidance for 2026, which might not be accurate.
That's a lot more compared to other quarters. Yes, or... people might say, "Hey, I have money." That's a lot of fresh produce. Uh, why not buy back the shares? Hmm, are we buying back too few shares? Yes, I think this issue is even less solid now. They can do whatever they want. Going to invest it and then doing something else with it isn't the right approach.
It just means they have to buy back shares all the time. The company isn't... not like that. If you ca n't find a single person, you might as well invest in something else. So, in my opinion, from an immediate perspective... Regarding candles, if we disregard the valuation aspect, I think they have considerable growth potential.
It's very clear now, and if you look at page 16, I've prepared that for you to see. Okay, this is an earning call. I'm taking the earning call from Pantip (a Thai stock) and analyzing it for sentiment. It shows that, in terms of sentiment, the financial performance... Overall, for the third quarter of 2025, I have a positive outlook on growth.
Growth compared to the second quarter, but it's not certain; there's a possibility that... I'm worried about... uh... uh... what was it again? Regarding communication, uh, what do you call it? It's like someone attacked the image of... Growth means you have to grow even more. Or maybe they're trying to defend this image more, but when they do, it makes the sentiment behind the answers come across in a way that...
It was n't as good as in the second quarter, because the second quarter seemed to have a much better reception. It's really like, especially when answering questions, it's quite... It will be clear, like this and like that. Something like this, in this quarter, the tone might be... It might not be as good as in the third quarter, so I think the stock price...
The price has adjusted downwards, so it has adjusted downwards. To some extent, yes. It doesn't mean... Hey, is it going to die out or something? There needs to be a significant downside for a stock like this to show up correctly. They can still come back anyway because... I am one of those who are expanding into...
The commercial market portion is getting much bigger as well. Okay, I think it's clear, I'm looking at Bon. There is high growth and expansion into new markets. The commercial sector, which is larger than it is today. Wow, that's many times more, Bone! Therefore, it's... It can continue like this, but only in the short term.
I don't know how far it will fall, but I think Brother Boat is watching. That does n't mean it's at the level of a bubble bursting. Mich, what did you buy on Wednesday? Not that big. That's right, P'Bot, it's not like he's completely lost or forgotten. That's correct, that's correct. But actually, let's say if...
He bought the stock and the price dropped in the last day or two, so I think he made a lot of money. Just asking from my perspective, but only... It could be closed, right? We wouldn't have to wait that long. Yes, yes, yes, yes, he probably didn't. It was like, wow, I bought it and the share price went up!
Wow, it would have to go down more than 50% or something like that. I don't think they're looking at it from that perspective. Okay, sure. Anyone who wants to study this further, like I did... Tell me, Michael, if you want to buy a power bank, you have to wait until... How much should the price drop, or when can we close our position?
Things like that. Try downloading the NSX app. You can study and buy put options and other options in the US stock market with it. I'd definitely recommend adding "True" to your investment strategy. Um, there was an interesting comment just now. Yes, it was Donald Trump himself who came and asked me, "If, from the perspective of the masses, you think..." Just now I was like, "I definitely have to buy this." They asked if I should hold onto some cash for the end of the month.
Buy, Brother Boat, look at the strategy, right? Is it feasible to wait until the end of the month before the price drops? My future brother-in-law said it might be a period of time, a period of... well, I think, really, really, I think this style of stock... When there's a flaw like this, then... I do n't have any specific criteria; I think it's just the stock price.
I'd like you to look at something, on page 7. I like to give examples. I saw Amazon, during the second quarter, they announced their results. The overall results of the operation were very good. Everything is great except AWS. AWS isn't growing, not accelerating. The stock price has underperformed for one quarter.
So, when we say, "Hey, this stock..." I think Pantear will see a strong upward adjustment. There has to be a turning point; everything has to have a point. Let's change it to something like, "Oh, I got a new job, what's up?" Something that makes us feel that... Pantia will get better, which I think is probably the case at the moment.
Nothing will happen yet, and it depends on... How strong will the shock be when someone gets electrocuted? If there's a lot of buying, the stock price will recover eventually. The share price will likely increase sometime. Now we have to go back and take a look at it and think, "Hey, but..." Earnings in the next quarter are expected to remain strong.
Gaidan is still doing well, it seems like it's going to be like in the picture. So the question is, hey, just give an example... Is it just one AMSON product? You can go check it out if you want. The financial results are flawless. Go check it out. What? I came across what they call a fee... I came across an expense.
There's an extra charge for the tax payment, which... Looking at the stock price every day for a quarter, Netflix's share price has n't moved, and the meta index is also declining. Down below, I think this is part of it. What we need to learn is from the price reaction. Many of them, even though they have good financial performance.
But if you ask from the perspective of Donald Trump... Based on your response, I believe that if we look at it from the perspective of AI, and if AI continues to develop, I think the stock will quickly rise. Tia should also have the ability to recover. Yes, but it just means they will recover quickly and strongly.
Yes, I think during this period you've discovered quite a lot compared to others. Okay, that's clear; you've discovered a lot now, including many others. Inside tonight, the trading price is around 180, or slightly over 180 right now. That's the price... Less than in the past 2-3 months. Okay, next up is P'Bot.
Just now, P'Bot... I told you, at least we have to wait and see. This slide, Amazon, sometimes we have to wait for a new catalog until that point is reached. If there's any discoloration or problem with the gemstone, it needs to be cleared up. Let's make it clear to investors before... There's some buying pressure.
I asked directly about the area in question. Do we have to wait until the next earnings report? Or maybe there will be an announcement of a deal along the way? That's possible because if we look at it... Look at the AL side of the component. Yes, he said that he has expanded his customer base very rapidly.
Okay, so our customer base grew by 45% this quarter. We closed a major sale of $204 million this quarter, and we had AL (Allocation) exceeding $10 million at $53 million. These elements will allow us to... Now you have a clearer picture that Pantia still has potential. If we look at the software sector, AI is still doing well.
The chips are still selling well, and the demand for AI will definitely remain strong because data analytics is a major part of AI as well. Okay, thank you, Bon. That's clear. And, even more so, let's assume we say "then". For example, if we say, "Uh, it's a war..." Well, this isn't ending worldwide, and it might...
It would also be beneficial for Plantia, then. It's because he mostly does his work. What's called "defense" a lot, actually, there are three main components to doing it. His business, first of all, is... EM, this is a government agency, the military. The Founder is a company. Generally, they would be, uh, private companies.
This is a commercial product, and... The last one is Apollo, which is a platform primarily for developers. Okay, wow, today's perspective on PER is clear. Brother Bo has already explained the fundamentals and all that. We usually ask Brother Bo about that. Regarding the fundamentals, there's one question I've never asked you, P'Bot, about your perspective.
That's my perspective on Penter's CEO, Alex C. Of course, to bring a company to this level, the CEO plays a crucial role, but... I've heard that when you look at P'To, you see how he views this CEO, wondering if he'll be able to execute continuously, or if there will be pressure... There's a lot of expectation inside me right now.
At a height like this, Mr. A, they'll take you there. Can we continue, Brother Bot? I'm asking from my perspective. In terms of the business model, it's well-made and difficult to imitate. That's an exceptional ability, as you can see in this picture. Judging from the financial results on page 14, it should be clear to some extent that execution shouldn't be a problem for the company.
In terms of comparison, finding new customers, forming partnerships, and moving away from the government sector to other areas... Other markets are also quite challenging, but we're looking at them. Over the past period, the commercial sector... Regarding the Pantia FY and Pantia Apollo businesses, they both have a growth rate...
The relatively remarkable growth could be indicated. It means he can make a breakthrough, moving away from the government and into the private sector. Commercial sectors are becoming more prominent, and so are other areas. Many industry groups are included as well, because... If we look at it, the Fary model can be used in many businesses, such as Airbus, BP, and many others.
From what I've followed, most companies seem to... It seems like we're going to take a path that could... It's becoming more widely usable, and every company can do it. You can use the services of the Pantia because of your request. The more scattered the debris is, the worse it gets. It has to be a fairly large company, right?
The scattered debris can cause... Everything can be brought back into the picture. It's called the Centric Foundation. We're aiming for 1 million subscribers! Please support us by clicking the subscribe button below this video and providing further support. Yes, by subscribing to YouTube Membership and receiving many exclusive benefits via the link in this description!
Comments 0