저자: ParkevTatevosian,CFA · 외국인
요약 보기
팔란티어는 매출 성장률이 가속 중(약 30%, 가이던스 상향, 연간 매출 약 28.1억달러 전망, 조정영업이익률 38%)이며 현금흐름이 강해 밈주식이 아닌 실적 기반 상승으로 평가. 다만 선행 PER 100배 이상으로 밸류에이션이 비싸 추가 실사가 필요하다고 조언. 최대 기회로 미국 상업 고객 계약 확대를 제시.
다듬은 글
all right paler stock is soaring and if you find yourself being interested in paler because it's one of the hottest AI stocks in the market today here are a few things that you need to know about paler stock before making your investment decision or at the very least these are things you should know about paler stock and you should build on this to add more to your decisionmaking criteria evaluating paler stock as an investment so let's take a look at some of the things that are critical to know one of the bigger things about paler in recent quarters is that Revenue growth is accelerating or in other words the second derivative the rate of increase is increasing which is a very positive thing when you're evaluating an investment not only is it growth but that rate of growth is increasing that's a great indicator of future success palente rate of growth accelerated to 30% even exceeding the high end of paler forecast by roughly 4 and a half percentage points so that's something that investors should look into when they're evaluating paler stock look at the rates of growth and the rates of increase especially as the company is accelerating profit ility on the bottom line as well now because of this increasing Revenue growth rate paler has updated and increased the forecast for the full year now reporting guidance of midpoint at 2.81 billion in revenue for the full year in 2024 of course with just one quarter remaining to report for paler that would represent a 26% year-over-year growth rate for the company also it's expanding its adjusted operating margin to 38% highlighting its strong unit economics and I've been talking about this for a few years now with palente here they've done an excellent job while revenue is accelerating in keeping costs under control many businesses when they go on these plans to invigorate revenue growth they'll spend a lot of money to try and get that Revenue increasing they'll hire more people they'll spend more on advertising and incentives and promotion they'll spend more on product development and that will increase usually Revenue but at the cost of the bottom line the spending will be more than offsetting the increase in Revenue paler is not doing that paler is spending a little bit more on technical talent to support their growth but for the most part they're keeping costs under control while Revenue growth is accelerating that's been truly impressive for paler and that's part partly what's driving the increase in stock price as you'll notice investors have been more picky about investments in 2024 it's not like 2020 and 2021 where any company that was demonstrating Revenue growth was getting the full support of the investor Community starting in 2023 when interest rates and the cost of capital increased investors were more selective in the growth stocks they evaluated they wanted growth companies that had solid unit economics growth companies that are demonstrating improvements and profitability and many of those lower quality growth companies that were reporting Revenue growth but still losing money on the bottom line without much improvement were getting off to the side and you've seen many of these companies fall 90 95% off their highs and remained low for the duration of 2024 and I don't think those companies are going to recover anytime soon because the cost of capital is going up now and it's not the environment where interest rates are at zero and investors are looking at growth at all cost that's not the case anymore that's what separates palent tier from other growth stocks and that's true even if you check their cash flow from operations at 420 million and adjusted cash flow at 435 million that represented cash flow from operations to sales margins of 58% that's an incredibly strong number that's one of the best numbers you'll see from any company not just a growth company but from any company this is one of the best numbers you'll see a CFO to sales number of 58% so paler stock price some have speculated that it's become a meme stock and that's why the price is up as much as it is and I've been saying that's not the case uh pal frer has supported its price increases with performance increases fundamental improvements in the business of Revenue on profit on cash flow now I have not had paler stock rated as a buy because of the valuation I felt is expensive but it's it's not near the levels of like a meme stock type of overvaluation that you see from some other areas like uh GameStop or AMC those are more in the stock category where the valuations don't justify the company's uh revenue and profit and cash flow the valuations are based on other factors not related to the company's Revenue profit and cash flow whereas with paler the improvements in the stock price have been related to the company's Improvement in Revenue profit and cash flow the company's thirdd quarter trailing 12mth revenue from the top 20 customers increased by 12% and you always like to see this when a company is increasing the amount of spending coming from their top 20 customers that demonstrates that it's most value the customers that are spending the most with the company the companies that are utilizing the full Suite of paler services not looking for Discount options looking for everything paler has to offer the top Spenders they're spending even more so that demonstrates that they feel that they're getting a good value with palent here otherwise they wouldn't come back for more they would they would say you know what now that we've seen what we're getting for our money we want to decrease that's not what they're doing they're increasing and so that's another positive data point there all right then when when you look at the biggest opportunity in front of palent here which is with commercials I'm sorry not commercials but commercial Enterprises businesses not governments governments are a great category for paler but the upside is limited because there are only so many government institutions in the world that's much more limited than the amount of Enterprises in the world and the amount of spending power in Enterprises that's a much bigger opportunity that's an area that I've been impressed with palent here lately and in the latest quarter they booked $612 million in contract value in this category which represented 52% growth from the previous year and 62% growth from the previous quarter their us commercial business category continues to see unprecedented Demand with AIP boot camps driving both new customer conversions and existing customer expansions a solid onew punch not only are they getting new customers but they're also getting more spending from existing customers so they're doing it all here for investors so understandably the stock prices up because of the fundamental improvements in the business still paler is getting on the pricey side on valuation so it's an investment that investors should be more careful do a little more due diligence when you're dealing with a company that's trading at a super premium valuation a forward price to earnings of over 100 it requires more diligence to make sure that you're getting the value that you're paying for when you're buying something that's so expensive but at the very least these are things that investors should know about paler stock I have dozens and dozens of videos on paler stock on my channel I encourage you to watch more videos before making an investment decision about paler stock







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