저자: 귀자헙 · 한국인
요약 보기
TQQQ(나스닥100 3배 레버리지)와 SOXL(필라델피아 반도체 3배 레버리지)을 장기 보유 종목으로 추천. 5년 수익률이 애플과 유사하다고 주장하며, 올해 60% 이상 하락했음에도 장기적으로 안전하다고 봄. 미국 증시 상승 기조와 401k 연금 자금 유입, 미국 비중 50% 이상을 근거로 제시. 정부·기업의 401k 시스템이 주식시장으로 자금을 밀어넣는다는 주장. 레버리지 변동성은 인정하나 상위 종목 집중 및 자동 리밸런싱을 강조.
다듬은 글
Hello, this is Gyoja Heopap. Today, I came across a comment that resonated with me, so I’d like to share it with you. Mr. Rich Oppa, do you know why I chose the TK and Seoseol stocks? The "Key" I mentioned here refers to TQ, which is a 3x leveraged Nasdaq 100 stock, and "Seoseol" is a nickname for the semiconductor stock that jumps to 3x leverage, essentially a kind of nickname for Excel.
The hardest part of investing is choosing stocks, but since this platform focuses on ultra-blue-chip stocks and automatically rebalances stocks with low growth potential, you just have to pay and buy. Also, this stock is so popular that numerous YouTubers analyze its preferences, but it seems you believe that what is actually more important is faith in the upward trend of the Nasdaq or Philadelphia semiconductors, and faith in this retirement pension for the "Sagong." I agree.
In the case of the U.S., stocks are extremely important. In Korea, since most assets are concentrated in real estate, vote power is heavily skewed by real estate policies. However, unlike Korea, the U.S. has a higher proportion of stocks than real estate, so if the stock market crashes, approval ratings naturally drop as well.
The chances of being elected in the next election will likely decrease. That is why politicians put in a tremendous amount of effort to protect the stock market. In fact, if you look closely, the 401k pension system is essentially a process where the government or corporations forcibly push money into the stock market.
Since money keeps flowing in, the likelihood of stock prices rising naturally increases. Moreover, the U.S. alone accounts for over 50% of the global market. Also, most of the innovative companies that are changing the world are concentrated in the U.S. To put it simply, you can think of it as the government spoon-feeding us money just to keep our money flowing.
We just have to follow along. Actually, if you look at the performance over the past five years—specifically regarding the XL leverage—the returns are almost identical to Apple's 84% and 84%. Originally, the returns were much higher, but because it has dropped by over 60% this year, it suffered a reversal of yesterday's performance.
The volatility is certainly as high as that of 3x leverage. As for the superstition, the fundamentals are based on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. There are 30 stocks included in the semiconductor index, and if we look at the companies we know, Nvidia is the most prominent. It is famous, right?
There is Intel, Qualcomm, Broadcom, KSM, ASML, AMD, NSP, and even Level 2 semiconductors, as well as Micron. They gathered these 30 companies and averaged them to create a filler ETF that tracks the movements of semiconductors and SXX. Since estimating SXX at a positive 3x leverage immediately gives me heartburn.
In a way, it has two sides. Since it gathers 30 global semiconductor companies, it looks very stable, but because it tracks with 3x leverage, the volatility is too high. So, if you only consider volatility, it looks very unstable, but if you think about the "high-recommendation" factor, it is safe. It has a bit of a duality and is a stock that elicits extremely polarized opinions.
TQ is not much different. First of all, the underlying index is composed of very high-quality blue-chip stocks. If you look at the major constituent stocks, over 50% is invested in just the top 10 companies: Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Google, Netmarble, Nvidia, PepsiCo, and Broadcom. Besides that, excluding financial stocks from the Nasdaq, it is high in...
It consists of the top 100 companies with the highest trading volume. It is not limited to tech stocks; investments are diversified across various sectors such as healthcare, communications, utilities, consumer services, and others. Since it invests primarily in stocks like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, and Google—rather than just the "amateur" companies—you could say "Sum" is the ultimate king of the world.
However, just like other stocks, it tracks the basic error of 100 with three times the positive leverage, so volatility is inevitable. That is why it has already dropped over 60% this year. Its performance is truly disastrous, yet despite such a massive crash, its 5-year return is similar to Apple's.
This implies that it is not as risky a stock as one might think. In fact, the standard of "risk" is so subjective that it could be extremely dangerous for some, while feeling very stable and attractive to others. The evaluation can vary depending on where you place your focus. In the case of Mr. J, his portfolio is basically composed of ultra-blue-chip stocks, and stocks with low growth potential are automatically rebalanced, while those decent companies are eliminated.
The biggest advantage of an ETF is that it always maintains optimal conditions by discontinuing investments and re-incorporating those that are surging. I mean, I used my Flick in Japan, and the market crashed 70%—of course, my place would be included in that—but since Netflix doesn't account for such a large portion of the portfolio, the impact isn't that severe even with that massive 70% drop.
This is because the remaining 99 stocks are holding up solidly. Therefore, if you believe that US stocks will trend upward, and especially if you think they will grow significantly centered on the Fourth Industrial Revolution, semiconductors, and tech stocks, I consider NASCAR and Philadelphia Semiconductor to be sectors you absolutely must invest in.
If you get a little greedier and want to triple your investment, that's the kind of person who usually invests in stocks like Soksul and KeyQuest. I am one of them. If you view it as risky, it can be infinitely risky, but if you look at it differently, it is a very attractive stock that can yield high expected returns.
Also, if you look at the 5-year rankings, F is almost the same. It is more stable than you might think and not that risky. To those of you currently investing in TQ Soksul I hope today's video was of some help to you. I will wrap up the video now. Thank you.
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