저자: KerryArtech · 외국인
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QQQ 일간 기술적 분석. 371.84 채널 하단 이탈 후 매도 신호 유지, 3~5주 내 323.09 장기 채널 하단 도달 목표. 376.21 상회 시에만 모멘텀 반전으로 보며, 그 전까지 롱 포지션 근거 없음을 강조. 단기 저항 366.48·376.21, 지지 354.67·350.32·340.80 제시.
다듬은 글
for friday january 21st 2022 before we jump into the it does help us out a great deal with whether or not we're being noticed on youtube when people search for triple q analysis nasdaq 100 etc and subscribe subscribing to the wikisocks youtube channel will provide you notification each and every time new content has been uploaded to the wikistocks youtube channel that includes the daily triple q report and allow you to see the material when it's fresh new and relevant for your trading and analysis so let's take a look at the charts they're all daily charts on wednesday we settled below this formation that today friday is at 371.84 on thursday we certainly pushed through it challenged the sell signal no doubt but the market came falling back and on a day-to-day basis that's really what i look for where do we close not only do we close uh back below or still below i should say that 371 84 channel bottom but even lower on the day and i've been mentioning three to five weeks i think it is realistic uh and that would put us in late february whereby we should actually reach that 323.09 long-term channel bottom now you may watch the daily spy report the spy has yet to violate its channel structure that is very similar to 371.84 so you know if you bought puts for instance in the 320s expiring a few months out on this sell signal in the triple q obviously you're biting your nails just a bit waiting for the other shoe to drop which in my opinion would be a spy settlement below its long-term support i'll let you watch the daily spy for that but if you're just looking at this chart in and of itself i'm still sticking with a 323.09 target that should be realized by the end of february you can see the 371 84 formation well above the market in fact 366.48 is above the closing price from thursday that can contain intraday buying pressures and in fact below which uh 354 67 is likely today where we can place a daily low if we break 354 67 350 32 is likely and then if we close below 354 67 and that is ultimately anticipated with the sell signal we received on wednesday's close closing below 350 467 we should reach 340 to 80 within about two to three days and that would put us into the middle of next week if we close today below 54.67 that 340 280 level uh able to contain selling perhaps through the rest of next week on our way down once again to 323.09 let's take a look at the upside today if we happen to push not only above 366.48 but also above 371.84 we could i doubt it though but we could actually reach 376 376-21 intraday and that is nothing more than a new descending one-third speed line trend defining near-term 371-84 is our longer-term resistance now was support just a few days ago we have violated it and now we're in the midst of a three to five week sell signal but if we push through three seventy one eighty five four we could today friday and all actually test three seventy six twenty one which is fully able to contain daily buying pressures and if we test it early enough we can fall back and still close below 371.84 maintaining then that three to five week downside sell signal but if we close above 370 184 that does neutralize uh the sell signal and i would anticipate higher trade into the 390s over the next few weeks but closing above 376.21 would be a full momentum reversal event in my opinion so if we settle above 376.21 no good reason to be long uh far out of the money puts um and i would actually then anticipate 392.43 with this kind of volatility probably within about three to five days and 392 43 is really the start of a range of resistance up to 395.63 that if tested over the next few weeks can contain at least weekly buying pressures possibly through the balance of february trade by that point in time and once again only becomes a clear objective uh a quick clear objective unless we settle above 376-21 i should mention i think i already have that even if we close above 371.84 i think that 395 63 area is likely within about two to three weeks but it is the settlement above 376.21 that accelerates that rally and actually reverses short-term momentum three to five-day rally then into the 390s where we could top out at least weekly possibly into later february i'll there's not much else today all the minor points are carefully chosen uh well suited for aggressive day traders once again holding below 370 184 354 67 in reach today and that 323 09 long term channel bottom in reach by the end of february and that's all i've got to say for today please click like and subscribe i will be back sunday afternoon for
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