저자: GeorgeTillis · 외국인
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엔비디아 3분기 실적이 매출·EPS 모두 크게 상회하며 성장률이 매우 높음을 강조. 주가는 이미 200%+ 상승했지만 실적이 주가를 따라잡는 중이라고 평가. 다만 시가총액 약 1.2조달러라 과거와 같은 속도의 상승은 어려울 것이며, 앞으로는 시장메이커 움직임 범위 내 상대적 횡보가 예상된다고 함.
다듬은 글
George Tillis with us it's been a 230% rally in the last year George so clearly the bar is high our senior markets correspondent uh how high George because it looks like they've just crushed Revenue again by2 billion beat the earnings um Outlook I guess uh you know will will be important here but I mean what kind of tone do we need to strike when looking at these numbers George well well I think just in General OJ I think you know the report itself is relatively balanced considering the stocks performance on a year- to-day basis as you mentioned over 200% I think what we're seeing here is and this could change don't don't uh take it as concrete but I think what we're actually seeing is allowing for earnings to catch up the price and that's very simple and the other thing is I think considering the market cap of the company at around $1.2 trillion it's going to be tough to continue to move it at the same rate of change as we saw post q1 and Q2 of this year so that's something to keep in mind broadly speaking I think uh the guidance is certainly going to be important the beat uh is actually very tremendous if you just consider last year for the same quarter they actually generated less than6 billion dollars in sales so we're talking more than double in terms of sales rate of change 58 cents was the same uh earnings last year for the same quarter so or $4 do the math that's tremendous as well in terms of the rate of change prices really reflected that but I think what's going forward here for NVIDIA and I think we talked about this the end of the last week I suggested and I still think again things can change that the stock will probably relatively balance somewhere in that market uh that market maker move range just because it's going to be tough to continue to move the stock at the same clip as it moved in the last two quarters okay it really is just all about that I mean uh there is no real um you know mystery in these earnings there's there's no like secret thing that uh you know is clouding this report it's just uh been an absolute Boomer of a stock and the numbers are too I mean look at the percents here keep in mind the chip makers on their earnings for this past quarter most of them still showed contraction even some of the ones that are tied into higher growth areas and then nvidia's next best in Advanced Micro is like not even close to their uh Revenue growth here so this really feels like it's so specifically in Nvidia Story I mean they're gobbling up all of it to be able to grow 280% you know their data centers uh are are booming again at a time when most cloud services and software products are still in a state of growth slowdown there's is ramped back up so there might be a bottleneck at somewhere down the road for services and software that's going to have to put all this gear to use but my goodness are they buying up all the gear George cuz this is incredible yeah oh yeah I mean there's basically an arms race for the hardware that's that's of course very very clear with their sales growth you also have to think about Nidia it's basically the lead architect now of this transformative technology artificial intelligence so they're they're obviously the clear leader their growth is tremendous price really is reflected that if you look at the data center growth Higher by over 270% as you mentioned there's obviously still spending going on there's there's clamoring or clawing for their product I mean prices are relatively robust margins are higher you know you just look across the board and even prior to this release and I'm sure they're going to change the guidance going forward with the earnings estimates for for the next four quarters at 49% stock was only trading around 43 times and some would say that's still cheap considering it's less than one times growth uh on a on the forward basis now that's probably changed just because of the uh the results for the quarter they just reported I'm sure they'll inch it higher but nonetheless you know the price like I said is not really reflecting this magnanimous you know Prospect for this company and so I think again what's happening and there's a little bit of a pause there's a pause in the market there a little bit of a pause in Nvidia just because again it's just really hard to Fathom it's really hard to absorb what's going on with this company uh and I think that's really what the market is telling us here uh everything is fantastic from Financial standpoint growth standpoint margin standpoint uh and even competitive landscape standpoint but is it going to move the questions are is it going to move you know another 20 25% uh in the next you know two quarters I can't say if it will but just keep in mind that it's a trillion trillion three now in terms of market cap it's tough to move and you have to consider that that larger Prospect yeah well said there George really well said uh on uh the standard for this company now and how unprecedented it is to see the growth so massively support the valuation with the price move that it doesn't look totally unreasonable the way the stock has moved based on these growth numbers thank you George Tillis
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