저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라가 사이버택시 관련 이벤트 이후 6.5% 급락. 비공개 이벤트는 새로운 정보가 부족했고 NHTSA가 사이버택시 구현에 대한 조사를 시작. 장기적으로는 테슬라에 낙관적이지만, 단기 1시간 구조는 350달러 지지선 위에서 상승 유지 여부가 관건. 350달러 부근 매수 후 350 이탈 시 300달러까지 하락 가능성을 언급하며 손절 기준을 제시. 할인 쿠폰 및 유료 디스코드 커뮤니티 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
Yesterday I talked about how I removed my position on Tesla because I thought there was a good chance we could reverse it after the cyber taxi incident. Shares fell about 6.5% today . I think a lot of this has to do with last night's unfortunate event. And also a huge aspect of this is that NHTSA is launching an investigation into Tesla's cyber taxi implementation.
In this video we will talk about both of these aspects . We'll talk about the basics of Tesla and what this event ultimately means. And then I'll look at the technical side. If you guys want to learn my trading strategy, understand where my smart money zone entries are and my exits, the link to our smart money zone trading course is absolutely free.
We are also having a Labor Day sale in my private Discord community and private academy. I never talk about it here. I never impose a paid offer here. I try to give you guys everything I can for free; but if you are interested in learning to trade this strategy with me, get direct access to me through the Discord community, all my assets, all our alerts, our web application, our private indicators, links to our private Discord community and private academy, which are one and the same, will be below.
There will be a $300 off coupon that expires on September 7th. Let's move on to the video. In yesterday's video, I said I was going to remove my position on Tesla. I talked about how obvious it is that I'm still extremely optimistic about the company in the long term. It amazes me to see the leaps and bounds this company has made in the last 5 years and the fact that the stock has actually done almost nothing.
Now, in true Elon Musk style, everything he says eventually happens . It's just happening late. And when I look back at last night's event, I think there are a few key things that, depending on who you are, were either really amazing or really painful. I want you to understand the fact that, you know, Cybercabs...We'll talk about NHTSA in a moment, but the fact that a fleet of Cybercabs is actually being added in Austin to the robotaxi network is huge.
This is something that, in my opinion, is already factored into the price. This is why we are seeing the market sell off. We see Tesla selling out. But it is hugely fundamental to actually creating whatever it is we are looking for. Now, last night, being an objective person, I posted this. I said, “ Elon is not here tonight.
There is no live broadcast. There are no production figures. There is no ramp update. There are no new city schedules. No prices. NHTSA said it is evaluating the implementation. "Now they are starting an investigation." Not a very good prognosis in the short term. A private event with high hype. There is no broadcast.
There is almost no new information, other than what is in the appendix, for some parts of Austin. I like Tesla stock long term, but the stock should fall sharply tomorrow. Now, I want you to understand that a lot of people have commented here saying, "Dude, what did you expect?" And I want you to understand that I wasn't expecting anything crazy, but I was expecting an event.
Right? Last year, when we saw the Robo-Taxi event, and we saw the crazy van, and, you know, the cyber taxi. Yes, it was a wonderful event. Yes, there were some issues with Optimus, and yes, the stock fell last October during this event. But, nevertheless , it was a solid event. It was a great event that, in my opinion, was great PR for the promotions.
This event, which was private only, was not broadcast live, essentially just saying, "Hey, we're adding cybercabs to the fleet that's currently operating in certain parts of Austin." That's good, in essence, but there's nothing crazy that could move the stock. And so, you could say, on the one hand, that Tesla was n't really hyped this up as some crazy event.
Maybe it's just the audience here on X that did it, but ultimately nothing crazy happened. I thought, you know, a lot of people thought I was crazy because of that. I thought maybe there would be a way to pre- order a potential cyber taxi. I know it sounds crazy, but we've been hearing for a while now that production will begin in late 2026.
We're going to release it to the public in 2027, and it looks like things are just slowing down, as they have in classic Elon style. I think eventually, I mean, even robo- vans will be here soon, right? I think ultimately we'll see everything, as Elon always does, eventually come to market and eventually be completed.
It's just happening much slower than, you know, many people thought. And I thought, "Hey, man, this would really drive the stock up if we could get some pre- orders going." If we want to get some idea of production figures and when the first taxis will enter not only commercial use for the robo-taxi network, but also everyday use by consumers.
If we want to get updated pricing information, because I love Elon, but to be completely honest, the prices are usually completely off the mark . I mean, if we just look at the Cybertruck that I bought, right? It was supposed to cost $40,000. I paid $120,000 for the base series. And even now, prices for the cheapest models continue to rise.
So I think a lot of investors hate uncertainty. And what many investors wanted from yesterday's event was a little more certainty. And what this event did not bring at all was more certainty. They just said, " Hey, we're bringing cyber taxis to the market in Austin in certain areas." "And to me it's obvious." This was the plan all along.
We're a little behind here. Now let's talk about the NHTSA investigation. I have n't gone into much detail about this because I only saw it this morning. Obviously this is leading to a pretty aggressive sell-off in shares, but at the moment it does n't seem like they are shutting down cybercabs. They're just starting an investigation into a potential investigation because, ultimately, as I understand it, Tesla is saying that they're saying that it meets NHTSA certification to, you know, be considered safe and on the road .
But really, they, you know, NHTSA has to investigate and make sure that this is correct. So it doesn't mean, in my opinion, from what I see, that they're taking them off the road or anything, but it's definitely not a good look on a day when you also have some kind of shady event going on. Now, let's talk about the technical aspects, which is probably what most of you are here for.
Right now, the internal structure, or short-term structure, is still bullish. The daily structure is still bearish, and the weekly structure is still bullish. So, what does this mean? Well, the free course for our smart money zones is below in the description. I highly recommend taking him this weekend when you have some free time over Labor Day, and he will explain it all in detail.
In fact, if we look at the shortest timeframe, i.e. the 1- hour structure, it is still bullish. We have yet to reach the lower minimum. Every time the price gets back to reasonable money, it bounces. Now, at some point, that bounce is not going to happen, and when that bounce is not going to happen, let's just say that this is exactly the point where a big potential move back to the 300 low , maybe even 290, could happen.
However, for now, we just keep going back to that resistance level. So, I posted about it on my X. and to my Discord community members: “Hey, we’re back in the smart money zone. Last time we bounced back 7%. Before that, we rebounded by 9%. In the short term, this would be considered a really good buying area or a really good buying opportunity.
So if I were buying here as a trader, I would set a stop loss below 350. Let's say 345 to give us a buffer. This is approximately a 2% decrease. The target will be again at 385-390, which is about 10% growth. This gives us about a 5:1 risk vs reward, which is really good. Now, I think the chances of a rebound here are a little less than they were before.
I think our chance of rebounding is about 60%. But there is a 60% chance of a rebound with 5:1 upside and one downside, so essentially 10% upside, 2% downside, it is definitely worth taking a potential position here.” What I really want you to understand is the $350 support level. If this level is broken, it will be the impetus for further sell-off.
Right? So I want you to think of these support levels and these Smart Money framework levels as rungs on a ladder . If the 1-hour level continues to hold, we remain bullish . We will bounce, as we said, to $390. If the 1-hour level is broken, that is, the $350 support is broken, then we will start to break down.
Then we will start selling because this short-term support is broken and this is where the price will start moving down to $313, 310, 300 or 290. Now, to be completely honest, I opened a position again today. I bought not long ago at around $352. I will set a stop loss below this level of $350. And if the price breaks my support, I will expect a further sell-off to a minimum of $300.
I will exit my position with a small loss of 2-3%. I've already earned 22%, so, you know, giving away 2-3% is not the end of the world for the sake of 10% growth. And then, worst case scenario, the price just keeps going up and I'm back to the $300 minimum. As always, guys, thank you for your support.
This is really very important to me . I hope you have a nice weekend and some rest. Don't forget to take our free courses, and if you want to join the team and trade with me every day, the link to our private Discord community academy {slash} will be at the bottom in the description. You can use the code Labor Day at checkout.
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