저자: DanIves · 외국인
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팔란티어가 AI 수혜로 향후 2~3년 내 시총 1조달러 가능, 실적은 엔비디아 이후 최고 수준. 애플은 중국 AI 출시(4월) 계기로 장기 슈퍼사이클 전망, 목표가 325달러. 테슬라는 FSD·옵티머스 중심 자율주행 스토리로 연말 시총 2조달러 전망, 규제 장벽은 완화될 것으로 봄. 엔비디아는 수요>공급 지속, 조정은 기회. 마이크로소프트는 AI 용량 이슈로 심리 부정적이나 일시 조정으로 봄. 알파벳은 실적 상회·광고 체크 강세로 40~50달러 상승 여력. AMD는 아직 진행 중이라 상승 여력은 제한적으로 평가.
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want to talk about tech who better to talk with then Dan IES of wed Bush and Dan I'll tell you your good friend here Einstein Peter tuckman always is quoting your outperforms and your price targets often when I speak with him in fact everybody here on Wall Street is um as you well know and I'll give you the U the on suround Victory lap on palente here which you originally called the Messi like for soccer for lonel Messi um of AI I guess but now you're calling it even something new and bigger look I mean Nicole I think this is this is really the the AI Revolution that ultimately is really being led by of course Nam like Nvidia and Microsoft and others but palente tier if you look at what they're doing here I think this could be the next Oracle or Salesforce I mean this was a quarter for the ages that should be hung up in the GL when they print that press release off and and I think this is really the start of the next phase of growth for paler which continues to be the the domes of AI so really I mean when you talk about it being the you know I saw that you were calling it the oral or sales next to Oracle or Salesforce is there going to be a price to be paid by another name in The Biz if Palante here is growing so much does someone else pay the price I don't think so I mean I look I believe this could be a trillion dollar Mark cap you over the next two three years me and you have talked for years you can just look at these companies on evaluation over the next year you have to look through and what this company is doing and I believe this is a generational type of coming that carpon pound tier bu I think look last night that was a jaw-dropper and it showed fundamentally I'd say outside of Nvidia in terms of some of those earnings there's no other print and guide that I can remember intact the last few years that matches pound tier yeah I mean it's it pretty is it's Alex carp the move here was up over 25% at one point right now 22% we have a whole panel on it so I'm going to leave that for a moment and get to Apple where you have a 325 Target you have an outperform um you said the iPhone cycle some people think it's not so great but you're saying it's actually better than it seems and that it takes time for Apple AI it's not an overnight thing like maybe Nvidia was or even deep sea came in this is going to take some time and it's going to be good very good I Nicole I think the consumer AI Revolution goes to certina which I get that we're going to have ABIA remember going back to you know last week I mean that was much better than fear but as Apple intelligence rolls out especially in China in April I think body or tent can ultimately be the partner that's the game Cher for Apple this is going to be an a long gated super cycle that plays out and I just think 25% of the world's population will access AI through an Apple device amazing then we get to um Tesla which you said we need to focus on some of the other things not just the auto maker numbers right because people are not seeing the real deal you have an outperform and a 550 Target when that's more than 100 $50 from where it is now um the Optimus volume production the possibility of a lowcost vehicle and more um you know all of these things are equally important or what yeah look I think 90% of the story is about autonomous FSD and really the future I mean I I continue to view this the most undervalued AI play in the market I believe the AI story of Tesla alone is worth a trillion dollars deliveries are going to EV and flow I get that even though I think we'll have a better delivery number you know than they've even you know sort of you know roundabout guide for for 2025 but this is an autonomous story it's FSD and I continue to believe we'll be looking at a$2 trillion doll Mark cap by the end of this year there are a lot of people who think that there that he's not getting the okay regulatory approval to to have it FSD um in the way that he's hoping is that going to be a major hurdle I mean look the haters hate right I mean they hat this sub 100 million sub a billion and of course you know as it got to to a trillion I am I I think FSD in terms in Austin unsupervised that's going to happen in June that's six to nine months ahead of where the street expected look I and I get timeline it's going to get pushed around but that is the story right now for Tesla it is about the autonomous piece of this story and I continue to believe with mus front row seat in the Trump White House it's it's a bet for the ages that's going to continue to pay off for Tesla shareholders do you feel like um I have to move on but Elon Musk you know there was a point that we were waiting for the adult in the room I think that's what you said or maybe putting his big boy pants on or something when he was sort of avoiding the questions and a few of the earnings calls um do you feel like he's ready to run the country with President Donald Trump and run Tesla look in terms of Tesla I mean I I I think they are in just a massive position of Strength In terms over the next 6 n 12 months as me and you have talked about I think the biggest hurdle was the Regulatory and that regulatory spiderweb I mean I'll take crowded kid reference the sweep the leg moment in the bellway and that ultimately will be a positive when it comes to autonomous in the Federal Road map not on the state federal I think that ultimately starts what's going to be is this autonomous you know what I believe probably the biggest opportunity along with Optimus that Tesla has ever had yeah and you know of course he's sort of a friend of China too which doesn't hurt him he figured out the China web and in fact I think they love his mother I heard today I mean so I think got to win with that tell me about Microsoft you did mention Nvidia and Microsoft at the top as two clear leaders are Nvidia and Microsoft still leaders in your mind you would buy them today oh I think Nvidia is a table pounder here despite you know obviously the sell off 15 to1 continues to be demand to supply in terms of Nidia chips we have the Tariff and other issues deep seek but that continues to be what I view as one of the core AI plays nothing has changed in my view I think Microsoft right now sentiment negative but it was a capacity issue the actual AI business on 13 billion Runway more and more this is going to become an AI story and I think this is just really what what I'll call just a pause in what's going to be just a massive growth cycle for Microsoft if the street is underestimating yeah Google's at highs we have Google and um AMD after the Bell uh a fan of both of those yeah I mean get that pop I mean maybe if there's some popcorn there get that popcorn ready for Google I think it's going to be a robust number in terms of Google Cloud I think our advertising checks are stronger than expected I that's one that could have $40 $50 upside here AMD still working progress but positive on that in terms of the broader story but obviously Lisa Sue they need to start to show some tracks in terms from of the AI and those so you're not seeing the same kind of upside potential for AMD tonight but you said $40 to $50 for alphabet yeah that could be a big mover tomorrow if I had 10 grand uh you know I tried to make it reasonable right 10 grand what should I do with it today I think you own pound tier Tesla apple and Nvidia and and I think that continues to sort of be over the next three to six months to play t IES great to see you there's a lot of action in the off office I'm so happy when you're on with us Dan really appreciate it I'll see you around here on the corner wall and Broad sometime too thanks Dan
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