저자: Evan · 외국인
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결론: 2017년 3월 30일 기준 S&P500은 반등 중이며, 엔비디아·GPN·CNX·SAVE·SBGI를 단기 관찰 대상으로 제시하나 진입 타이밍은 추가 검토가 필요하다는 입장. 시장 전반: S&P500이 당일 0.36% 상승하며 최근 이틀 고점을 돌파했고, 3월 초 이후 이어진 하락 추세선 재테스트 가능성이 언급됨. 불리시 흐름이 유지 중이며 섹터 로테이션도 긍정적으로 평가. 엔비디아: 2016년 강한 상승 후 2017년 들어 조정. 100달러 하향 이탈 후 회복했고, 최근 7~8거래일간 110달러 아래에서 타이트한 베이스 형성. 종가가 고점 근처로 마감되면 범위 중간 돌파 및 고점 재테스트 신호로 봄(돌파 매매 관심 대상). GPN: 월봉 기준 2016년 초부터 80달러 아래 횡보하다 돌파 시작. 주봉·일봉에서도 좁은 박스권 후 신고가 근접, 여러 시간대에서 유망하다고 평가. 당일 소폭 손절 또는 본전 청산한 종목이며 장 마감 무렵 면밀히 주시 예정. CNX: 수개월 내 약 8달러에서 1650달러 수준까지 거의 두 배 상승 후 해당 상승폭의 절반가량 되돌림. 1250달러 부근 매물 소화 및 추세선 돌파 시 상단 10대 후반까지 빠른 상승 가능성 언급. 변동성 큼, 타이밍은 추가 조정 필요. SAVE(스피릿항공): 2016년 9월경 37달러에서 60달러 부근까지 상승 후 30~40% 조정, 50달러 선에서 과거 변곡점 지지 확인. 일봉상 저점 상승 및 하락 추세선 돌파 움직임, 단기 전술적 스윙 관심 언급. SBGI: 2016년 11월 급등(25→42달러) 후 약 25~30% 되돌림. 40달러 저항 상향 돌파 및 추세선 돌파, 당일 3% 상승. 단기 전술적 스윙 및 고점 재테스트 가능성 검토 대상. 리스크/조건: 모든 종목은 타이밍과 실행 전략의 추가 정교화가 필요하며, 영상은 즉시 매수 권유가 아니라 관심 종목 공유 목적이라고 명시. 정확한 진입·청산·관리는 유료 멤버십 안내.
다듬은 글
hey everyone it's Evan here from the trade risk on Thursday March 30th we're intraday right now and I wanted to bring a few trade ideas to your attention some names that are on my watch list that are shaping up to look pretty actionable again these names are not meant that this video is not meant to show you names that you should go out and run out and buy exactly today you still need to do a little bit of refinement on the timing and the execution side of things but these names are at least you know positions stocks that are in either bullish trend or in recent bullish momentum state that have pulled back and are getting ready to emerge or names that are ready to break out so again a little due diligence on the timing behind it but hopefully these names will find you well if you need help on the timing that is of course where our premium memberships are available for if you need the exact entries exits management and that type of help so with that let's look very quickly here at the sp500 and we're going to run through those names but the sp500 you can see continuing its march higher today up 36 basis points on the day and we're taking out the past two day highs and we're making our way back into this old range here perhaps to retest this declining trend line from the series of lower highs that we've had you know in place since the beginning of March so for now Bulls again remain in control resilient not giving up the gains here not going back to retest this Monday's lows things look pretty good and we're drifting higher with some nice sector rotation so let's get into some individual names now that we have the landscape covered a bit the first is nvidia this one here certainly not a new one as far as momentum goes this has been a monster 4 2016 at the tapered off a bit 2017 but you can see it's still not you know bulls are still are still stepping in here and supporting this stock and ever since this brief you know undercut of 100 it's reclaimed that level it's pushed back up into this range it's filled this gap and then most recently it's developed this quicker tighter more actionable base up here right under this 110 level for the past seven or eight trading days and you can see today it's getting ready to make a new recent closing high here if it can get a close closer to one today and that could signal that it's ready to move through the midpoint of this range and retest these highs here so lots of you know resilience and NVIDIA something to pay attention to for a breakout trade if that's something that you're interested in next is GPN this one here great longer-term play in motion monthly chart is what we're looking at right now and you can see it's been consolidating sideways since really the beginning of 2016 under this $80 level and you can see it's just starting to break out from it now if we go down to the weekly chart you can see it's been very tight in here in the spout three or so point range for the past all of 2017 down to the daily chart you had the gap up today potentially closing at a new closing all-time high think it tagged the new intraday all-time high oh and we got a trade alert that's coming up on the screen right now hxl we could look at that one after so GPN here looking pretty interesting from multiple time frames looking like it could get going so something worth paying attention to we did get involved in this back here and we just got chopped out of it and this mess for I think of real small loss or a break even I can't remember exactly but it's a familiar name for us something that we're going to be looking at very closely towards the end of the day here opposite end of the spectrum this one's much more volatile CT and x if we take a look here weekly chart take a look at this move down from about eight dollars all the way up to almost a double in fact it was basically a double up to 1650 in just a few months and now it's pulled back reach raised almost half of that move if we go back down to the daily timeframe again this is one that may not be ready exactly today it's something just to pay attention to because it is a very fast mover so if you can start to clear some of this recent supply in here around 1250 break this trend line could be very quickly starting to march our way back up to those upper teens so pay attention to cnx again the timing may need a little refinement save this is spirit airlines this one here again weekly chart let's start there you can see how to monster move from about September of 2016 from 37 all the way up to almost 60 it's been pulled back about thirty forty percent of that move down to the fifty dollar level found support that's exactly where this was prior inflection point if we go down to the daily chart you can see had a bit of a higher low get put in here had a bit you know this washout below forty nine it held held up to make a higher low on monday and now it's starting to push back up again so something to worth it you know something worth paying attention to its breaking this downtrend line so wats to like there and save and then finally SBG I this one again we'll start the weekly timeframe had a big move throughout november 2016 when most of other stocks were moving pretty violently from 25 all the way up to 42 its retraced about twenty five percent of that move if we go and of course that's from the 2016 loads if you want to take the lows from january you could go from 30 to 42 and it's retraced you know thirty percent of that move and back down to the daily timeframe for some execution you can see it's breaking above forty dollars where there's some recent resistance breaking this trend line and it seems to be nicely in motion today up three percent on the day so very interesting name there for the shorter term may be tactical swing for maybe a retest to the highs consider at SBG I so those are the names that I'm paying attention to hopefully these are helpful again if you do need help with those entries exits and you know that next step further do check out the premium service we have otherwise enjoy these free videos have a great day and hope to talk to you again soon you
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