Stocks surge on trade deal; Tesla soars, Stitch fix earnings due $TSLA $SFIX

요약 보기

결론: 2018년 10월 1일 시장은 미·캐나다 무역 합의로 상승 출발했고, 테슬라와 GE는 개별 이슈로 움직였으나 방송에서 방향을 단정하지 않음. 시장 개황: 다우 +1%, S&P500 +0.8%, 나스닥 +0.7%로 상승. 나스닥은 50일선 지지 후 사실상 신고가 부근으로 회복. 진행자들은 미·캐나다 무역 합의가 공급망 불확실성을 걷어내 시장 상승의 원인이라고 설명. 미·멕시코 공급망 연결도 중요하다고 언급. 테슬라(TSLA): SEC와 합의해 머스크 CEO가 2천만 달러 벌금, 회사도 2천만 달러 벌금을 내고 3년간 회장직 불가. CEO 유지는 최악보다 나은 결과로 평가. 주가는 금요일 낙폭을 거의 만회. 모델3 생산량 발표(수요일 전후)가 흑자 전환 기대와 맞물려 촉매가 될 수 있다고 봄. 다만 예상이 이미 알려져 있어 영향이 제한될 수 있고, 현금 수준이 낮아 수익성 전환이 시급하다는 평가. 주가는 17% 급등했으나 주요 이동평균 저항에 막힘, 고점 대비 약 70% 하락 상태라 차트는 지저분하다고 설명. GE: 신임 CEO 래리 컬프 선임 소식에 주가 약 12% 급등, 거래량 폭증. 전임 플래너리는 13개월 만에 물러남. GE파워 등 사업 매각 시도가 있었으나 핵심 사업은 여전히 부진. 컬프는 산업 기업 턴어라운드 경험으로 존중받는 인물. 다만 주가는 장기 하락 추세이며 상대강도도 약세, 하락하는 50일선 저항을 받고 있어 관심을 가지려면 50일선 상향 돌파 종가가 필요하다고 봄. 스티치픽스(SFIX): 장 마감 후 실적 발표 예정. 애널리스트 기대는 4분기 주당순이익 0.04달러, 매출 3억 1,900만 달러. 2017년 11월 상장한 신생 기업으로 구독형 온라인 의류 서비스. 아마존 등 경쟁 가능성 언급. 50일선에서 반등했으나 베이스가 아직 형성되지 않아 추격 매수보다 적절한 베이스 돌파 후 진입을 권고. 출연자 전망: 테슬라는 촉매 양방향 가능성, GE는 추가 작업 필요, 스티치픽스는 신중 접근 권고. 방향성에 대한 명시적 단정은 없음.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. good morning from Los Angeles its ELISA quorum and Edie Carson here we have your market update it is Monday October 1st the start of a new quarter and on today's show we are taking a look at Tesla GE as well as stitch fix so looking at the major indexes we have the Dow leading the gains up one percent while the S&P 500 is up eight tenths of a percent and the Nasdaq is up seven tenths of a percent so we now have the Nasdaq back near all-time highs after finding support at the 50-day yeah it's pretty nice all the averages are close to all-time highs I mean the markets are rallying because there's a US Canada trade deal that that really takes the litt you know it takes a real cloud over the market because the supply chains between the u.s.

02. and Canada US and Mexico are very very close so it's really important to have that kind of you know that kind of connection continuing in fact it's much more important in many ways on some of the other trade disputes were having right now so that's really important that's lifting a lot of things out there in the market that's right we have Tesla a notable mover today after the stock over the or the company over the weekend settled with the SEC we have CEO Elon Musk paying a twenty million dollar fine the company paying a twenty million dollar fine for at least three years he cannot beat Chairman he will stay on as CEO but I think that given the circumstances it's better than some had feared yeah in fact you could almost argue it's a best-case scenario because I mean she easton musk is still there and everybody generally agrees it's he's really important just you know even despite his up-and-down but they do get a different they're sort of a minder they are a little bit out with some new to new members somebody I think actually has to review his tweets a little bit so a lot of things that might be helpful I mean there's still shareholder lawsuits and other things out there but I mean the stock is rebounding it's basically erased the loss from Friday I mean in the wake of the show the SEC suit and then later this week perhaps today certainly by Wednesday will be getting model three production figures you know that you know people are expecting them to meet the estimate they've had but you know that'll be a big guy to whether or not they can be profitable in q3 or in the near term and would we expect that to be a catalyst for the stock well yeah it's gonna be a catalyst one way the other guys I mean there has been some information that they were going to meet or if it comes in line so maybe it won't move as much as you'd expect because there'd already been reports yeah they're gonna do it so you know that's a situation they're obviously their cash levels are low so if they can if they can start becoming profitable it has to be real soon then maybe this can you know that could really be a catalyst for the stock but that's always been an issue for Tesla becoming profitable exactly well we do have shares gapping up some 17% in heavy volume today hitting resistance at those moving averages it's still about 70% off reason high so quite a messy chart here yes it is absolutely all right well pivoting our attention to GE those shares are up about 12% in massive turnover today the sock is still in quite the downtrend but we have GE outs ting its new CEO after just a year and clearly investors are liking the sound of this yeah after 13 months Flannery was trying to do stuff he was trying to he was gonna sell off you know it's units he has already done some of that but GE power it's a key unit and the one that they were gonna keep is really still struggling so they hired somebody you know Larry call pou it actually ran down here for a long time he was already on GES board he's really well respected it turning around that industrial firm so you know there's there's hope that maybe this can turn around but obviously if you look at this this is a stock it's really really struggled over the years it's long downtrend I believe it's relative strength line which compares at versus the S&P I think he had like a 27 year low it's like it was something Garcia or like it was yeah 27 year low you know earlier you know last week so it's really really been been in trouble so it's got a lot of work to do that's right and even with a gap up today that stock is still hitting resistance at that downward sloping 50-day line so yeah clearly that's a key testing ground for the stock I mean if it's going to start heading in the right direction you definitely want to see it close above the 50-day to start yeah there's a lot a lot of work to do before you probably want to get interested rise as a stock exactly and we want to take a look at stitch fix ahead of its quarterly earnings report after the close we have analysts expecting q4 earnings per share of four cents and revenue of 319 million dollars this is a fairly new company here went public in November of 2017 and it's been on quite a big run yeah I mean it took a little while and this is something why you like to see a stock shake out because sometimes IPOs will do okay and then they fall apart well this one broke out early this year it's really been strong I mean they do a subscription service since I'm an online retailer people you know like you know they'll gather ups clothing and send it to you based on your you know your measurements and maybe your styles and it's been pretty successful but there's Amazon it's a it's a business that others can get into it's not like so exclusive obviously you know they've got to have some formula so that's something interesting you know how many people are signing up I mean in addition to the revenue and earnings figures I would think exactly and as far as buying the stock here we do have a recent rebound off of the 50-day line but as far as buying or getting in we don't have a base forming as of yet yeah and they have a nice run and it's come back off of that but you really want to see a consolidate for awhile because it could easily I mean it's had you know that's a sharp drop sharp up and you could easily just tumble around or it could take quite a while it's just best to prepare yourself reading out to get right when it's breaking out of a proper base that's when you're gonna maximize your chances for success for a big gain quickly and minimize your losses that's right okay everyone be sure to head to investors comm for the latest market news and analysis and check out our social media pages you can keep up to stay up-to-date with all the latest ivt there as well thanks for joining us this morning and see you back here Tuesday