저자: KathyWood · 외국인
요약 보기
캐시 우드는 테슬라 로보택시 데이(10/10) 이후 월가 애널리스트들이 로보택시를 모델에 반영해 밸류에이션을 상향할 것이라 주장. 로보택시는 소프트웨어형 80% 마진, 시장 기회 4~5조달러, 테슬라 단독 1조달러 매출 기회(5년)로 제시. 2029년 주가 2500달러 이상 전망. 과거 2019년 5000달러 예측이 적중했다는 점을 근거로 제시. 진행자는 1500달러 목표 제시, 자막상 영상 제목은 매수 권유 성격.
다듬은 글
Kathy Wood just went on Yahoo finance and said some interesting things about Tesla now I know most of you guys are going to go like oh man Kathy Wood's Arc fund is down like 70% why should we listen to her well I'll tell you why we should listen to her because she's been right on Tesla stock before her modeling has been approved by Elon Musk on how the Tesla should be or the stock should be valuated the company should be valuated and no one has done research in depth like like how she does and been right about it you know what I mean it's been insane but I'll talk about that at the end of the video of how she's been right all that kind of stuff but if I didn't know any better in this little interview Kathy was pretty much just said buy the stock now before they realize after the 1010 it's it's interesting let's get down to it smash that like button and let's listen to what she got to say and let's break it down as usual let's go and your biggest investments in Tesla which has had not a good year so Kathy how how are you thinking about all of that right now you know I I'll tell you uh when it comes Tesla is giving us uh great comfort Believe It or Not uh because we've done the research I I don't think a lot of analysts have done the kind of research on autonomous Mobility that we have we have a longer investment time Horizon that's why we've done the research as we get to Robo uh taxi day 1010 this week next week I think more and more people uh analysts are going to have to start modeling what this means uh and I I think as they do they will conclude that this is a software as a service model with 80% gross margins Plus on that side of the model as opposed to 15 to 30% margins on the EV side and uh they're going to have to adjust their expectations up now Kathy and I have a little bit of a different mindset here after 1010 you guys already know I think analysts are going to sell the stock after 10 10 because they're not going to get the $25,000 compact card they're all hyperfocused on I don't think so however though a week no not a week maybe a month down the line when they sit back and they digest what has happened I agree with her she says that after 1010 Wall Street analysts will have to start modeling in the FST robot taxi into their spreadsheets and valuations because now you're looking at something that has 80% margins compared to 15% saslik margins and according to her they're going to adjust up now we will get more clarity of how on when this Robo taxi is going to start whether it's going to be end of 2025 beginning of 2026 we are going to get some numbers that yeah we're going to start with 100 and then a th and then we're going to slowly scale up then we got 7 million already Teslas on the road whoever wants to add it to the network they can do it then we can see the scale and the spreadsheet and all these analysts blocking into their spreadsheets and bringing the valuation up higher which why I think Tesla will be even trading at higher premium than it is today but not right away after 1010 I think that's going to take some time but her point I agree with this point can I ask you though because you know I think in theory you know there are some other people who have done that work and who have come to similar conclusions as you um I'm just not sure what we're actually going to learn at that Robo taxi day and how close you know and maybe you know more from your internal coms with Tesla and from your research into the company what are we going to hear on October 10th and what is the timeline for all of this coming to fruition I think they're they're they're going to fill in some of the blanks that we have about when they're going to launch and how they're going to launch so uh that's going to become important it'll make it more real facts it will be silly and suicidal if they don't do that imagine having the event and then not having you know a when and how of how they're going to launch it's just going to be a disaster but under 10% certain this is going to happen um and I think that the reason analysts are probably going to take uh what Elon is saying more seriously this time because remember he's been predicting autonomous in the next two years for the last five years and I'll say we expected it last year so um but weo is now is now out there and and more and more people are trying it this is not if uh it is when for Tesla and for Tesla it's also how quickly will they roll out how quickly will they go National or even Global with their aspirations um uh I think as you know Elon thinks in a very big way and he has positioned Tesla uh to win the lion share of this Market an AI this AI project is a winner take most project the company that gets people from point A to point B the fastest the safest with as little weight time as possible is going to win the lion share of the market Kathy makes a very important Point here she's she's pretty much saying that wh MO is already a proof of concept so Walter is going to see this that okay this is already happening but Tesla's going to put this on scale this is also a matter of when and not if but she said something that I really liked and it's honestly the reason why I can sleep at night being all in Tesla and I have to you know read it off here because it just a lot she said that Elon has positioned Tesla to win the lion share of this Market Winner Takes all and the important part here is that the company that gets people to point A to point B the fastest and the safest with little wait time as POS will win the lion share and obviously who can scale that which Tesla can scale weo can't ba can't Cruz is forgotten I don't know anybody else who's who can can do what Tesla can do in fact everyone is saying that wayo is ahead of Tesla because they're already doing it well here's the thing Elon has said that wayo their services are expensive and slow and that should give you an idea of how Tesla or taxis will be I mean if he's saying that wayo services are expensive and slow that should tell that should give you an indicator of how Tesla's robot taxi is going to operate first of all if it's if weo is expensive how cheaper is this robot taxi going to be now we have an idea of how cheap it's going to be but that's insane and if he's saying it's slow imagine how fast it's going to be it's it got me very excited when he said that so that is a shees moment and the fact that we already have a proof of concept that it's happening and the scale Tesla can do oh my God it's going to be an awesome awesome flipping year 2025 2026 going on it's going a shees moment man let's keep going what she's got to say cuz it's more juicy stuff how big could this be um well we publish our model out there and uh it's on our website ark-invest docomond GitHub uh and you can play with the variables to if you disagree with how optimistic we are uh to see how big this Market is going to be it's enormous from a revenue point of view the the platform opportunity uh those hosting these networks and Tesla will be one of those uh that's a$ 4 to five trillion doll Revenue opportunity in the next 5 to 10 years she says the platform opportunity which there's going to be other hostings now other hostings include like Buu or weo or I mean or even Cruz I don't know even Cruz is doing anything but none of them can scale none of them can scale which in my opinion she's saying that all this can be worth up to$ four to5 trillion dollar opportunity right that's the opportunity here if I didn't know any better and if I put the puzzles together it looks like Tesla is going to take majority of this 4 to 5 trillion in the next 5 to 10 years which is insane but hey she's not done there listen to this if our research is correct and uh again it's winner take most this is a trillion doll plus Revenue opportunity for Tesla in the next five years it's a big idea $1 trillion Revenue opportunity for Tesla in the next 5 years and she's saying that it's an 80% margin 80% of 1 trillion is $800 billion and her value valuation that she even said in the video here in this interview that you you guys should go check it out and I did go over it in this you know in this channel as well she had I think it was 2029 around 600 billion or 400 billion in the bare case for revenue of just robot taxis I have mine robot taxi at 32 billion in 2032 so she's very aggressive and it's insane it's crazy it's a shees moment and she's talking about in the next 5 years she she may know something that we don't and Elon has said that her research is the closest to what Tesla is going to be doing do you know what the stock price is going to be once this happens it's going to be bananas she's saying upwards of 2500 bucks per share my God I think that's if that's true if that number comes true I think that's pretty conservative I think it's going to be a whole lot more because then it's going to be an exponential growth from there because you haven't even tapped into the global market for that right that's probably all that it's just probably a first world country how about third world countries those those need more testing like India and you know Middle East countries or Asia majority of Asia they need testing you see what's going on in China right China is about to launch their FSD and Tesla is going to launch their FSD there and that's taken a while because it's whole different set of rules there Europe is taking a while too because they got a whole bunch of red tape and this right wheel left right hand driving left hand driving right hand left whatever it is that's taking some time too so it's going to take time for other third world countries as well especially a like India man where people drive like crazy I don't know how that I mean I think time will do its thing but that's going to take time so I think 2500 bucks per share is conservative if her number is true and here's the thing a lot of people like to on Kathy because obviously her fun is not doing the best but she's been right with Tesla stock before it doesn't mean she's going to be right again but it tells you that her research and Analysis is the right way of doing it back in 2019 she said that the stock could be worth 5,000 bucks per share few years after after that which around the 2022 2021 Mark and guess what happened Tesla not only did they hit 5,000 bucks per share adjusted for stock split cuz they've already done two stock splits so if you go back way before the stock split the stock hit an all-time high of 6,200 bucks per share or as we know as today as 414 bucks so not only did she hit that 5,000 but it went over and people called her crazy and people are still calling her crazy today but thing is there's more certainty now than it was back then back then we didn't know Tesla was going to be you know if they're going to go bankrupt or not if they're going to be you know if they're going to exist or not so there's more certainty now than back then and she's saying that the stock could be worth upwards of 2500 bucks by 2029 or 2,000 by 2027 which is absolutely insane now I know a lot of people are not a fan of Kathy woods but again I'm going keep saying it and saying it again she's been right with Tesla stock that means her analysis has been right now I don't agree that world tax revenue is probably going to hit 400 600 million billion by 2027 or 2029 I think it's was 2029 but that's because I don't have the entire fleet going on as a robot taxi so I don't know what she's seeing but if she's right then that stock price is a little conservative in my opinion anyways my stock price Target until end of this year sorry not end of this year end of this decade is 1500 less than double of what she is saying but nonetheless that's Kathy W let's see what happens after 1010 the beginning parts of of her saying that analysts have to adjust their valuation for Tesla or spreadsheets and evaluations on the upside is correct but not right away I think it it'll take a month or two for them to sit back and realize that oh wait a minute guys wh was already doing this Tesla just has to scale it and they showed us how they can do it okay we got to probably add this set and give it more of a premium I think this is what's going to happen but nonetheless let's see what's going to happen for 1010 I need some water so you guys check out my prediction right here and I want to know what your predictions are in the comment below or in that comment below whatever you got in that video's comment below but here are my predictions for 1010 and I'm very certain about it that this is going to happen it's going to be a shees moment subscribe guys get your bought the dip t-shirt because based on what Kathy Woods is saying buy now before they realize meaning that you're about to buy the dip I'll see you guys in the next video see you
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