저자: JuniorTrader · 외국인
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엔비디아는 공매도 스퀴즈와 구조적 상승 추세로 118달러 이상에서 풀백은 매수 기회이며 하락 전환 근거는 없다고 주장. AMD는 145달러 상회 시 상승 유지, SMCI는 620달러 부근 부분 익절 권고 후 하락 가능성 언급, ARM과 브로드컴, 마이크론도 구조적으로 상승 우위로 봄. 본인 배당투자 포트폴리오에서 엔비디아 일부 매도 사실 공개.
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ll also I would highly suggest guys check this video out nd I am talking about how my dividend investing public facing portfolio that I have been building in front of you all how that is looking like I sold some today in profits for the reason that some positions were getting so big that I wanted to cycle money into the cash and then back into other places so but I'm talking about all of that I did sell some of my Nvidia position that I had in in this portfolio so all details check it out over here I have provided some good updates I did two backtack videos because I did some you know uh moves today in my portfolio as well so on my channel check it out link to this ll right so let's come back over here and let's take a look at Nvidia stock now well we are full-on bullish guys right we got Above This level of $118 now in the morning if you have seen my video I explained the short squeeze reasoning over here and because there was just so much of short sellers coming in but then the price action was in the favors of the bulls and short sellers are definitely being squeezed here for share also our modeling that I did over the weekend gave us all the signs that um we from here on8 and6 above in the price section things will transition into the full-on bullish um momentum and what a strong momentum right like nbia has been just going up and up for the last four days and this level 118 is the one that I provided for today above this it's just an upside play and the next Target we are watching is 122 we got above that as well from here on Nvidia since it has recaptured this uh previous level that acted as a distribution phase in this that downtrend range but then when it Formed pivot this became a Target to come all the way back to but since it also got out and above it with a strong previous Day candle of buying down there this tells us that well it's just guys it's fullon bullish period right this is a good structural support now another structural support area 118 as long as Nvidia stays above it it's just bullish from here on there is no downside that I expect if you break this level I don't think things will turn dire plus I don't expect tomorrow this thing to break again anything can happen but event the likelihood of that happening is low and eventually even if you lose 118 there's a 20 days moving average support coming in from underneath it's just fullon bullish I don't think any pullback is going at least for tomorrow it's going to turn it bearish that's not going to happen happen going to the hourly interval so 118 and above and also above 50 days moving average we are there and we are full on bullish on hourly interval what are the levels to watch so we have this 20 hours moving average coming down here all right any pullback until even the level of 120 on intraday level is fine right that will just keep it bullish if we lose 20 hours moving average from wherever we lose it and we lose 120 then I expect this cool off again to $118 is a possibility but that's just an intraday cool off it's if it loses 120 and patterns looks really bearish after losing 20 hours moving average intraday sh may be played but the stop loss on the other side but overall structure is not going to change bearish overall structure on Nvidia is still bullish even until 180 and your best beted to if you're just a bullish Trader you just want to play the direction let the cool happens if that happens and you watch at these levels like 118 120 around here where the double bottoms are forming price action is showing support and just play the upside now this is in the case if the pullback comes if we don't even break below 10021 and 56 cents we just stay up here and then stay above 18822 andv can do another leg up tomorrow right so what I'm trying to say is that just the pull backs most likely are just going to keep it bull bullish pullbacks are just you know uh if whereever you see a pattern of bullishness like for example here we held 20 hours moving average strong you know buying came like if I show you on the 5 minutes interval uh if if I go back to that day right um You can see yesterday around that area so much of consolidation happened at the significant area of 20 hours moving average into the pullback because structure was already bullish and once we got a clean breakout to the upside that was just an upside so pullback just got bought back up that's what I'm trying to explain here to you guys as well right so all in all I don't know if it's clear enough after explaining all everything is is bullish all right that's what I'm trying to come to is the reasoning the reason I'm explaining about it so much through all these different areas is because I am myself trying to find hey are there any one or two reasons that can make it bearish now through all different angles that I took on Nvidia I couldn't come up with a single point that tells me that it's bearish right so even if pullback comes that just in a day is not going to change the structure on Nvidia bearish not for tomorrow at least right so that and pullback just watch if if you just want to stay with the direction but I gave you the level for scalp short plays as well if those what you want to do I just gave you those levels check you can rewind the video and check it out but that was the around the level of 120 on hourly interval all right super strong still right um AMD and guys if you well so in the morning I explained to you why the short squeeze is happening guys check that video out in the morning I want to actually spend time talking about other stocks as well but that explains the reasoning for short squeeze as in the morning video that I did on Nvidia right AMD so AMD um again no surprise we are bullish I talked about that structure will turn to the upside level by level once we get about 136 and 94 cents and then um above 20 days moving average is the next leg up so and we got that now what I'm seeing is that 153 let's see supp possibly the target that's where 200 days moving average is but yeah this is in an upside move again and so far not seeing any direction to the downside for tomorrow level to watch for intraday for pullback 145 or even well if you lose 145 at least intraday cool off will continue right on the short side at least intraday only not full on bearish because we still have a structural support here on the overall structure right so uh I'm not seeing any pattern to the downside right now on AMD if we close below tomorrow 141 then we have to talk about it um otherwise now and as for intraday I already gave you the level if we stay above this level of 145 and 33 cents area we are still bullish above 20 hours moving average is just a pullback and again to the upside still full on bullish all right smci so smci let's talk about this right so this momentum to the upside of rebound is continuing from one sorry 546 and above the level that I provided you that's fine now we are finally at that test of 20 days moving average and also eventually 200 days moving average that's fine this is still a rebound and this is the Zone if now this is the target we got our Target guys all right um in this rebound if you want to take partial profits this is the time to take partial profits the next big upside move with strong momentum would be as we ge uh price action that if it's going to reject below the pivot but if I start to see some candle slow down here and sell off and we break 629 area then then this rebound has completed and we are continuing lower otherwise now otherwise if this strength continues we can break out above so this is the zone now where take partial profits around this zone right I mean the position should have been taken at this place for this particular play because that was a structural change and take partial profits out here and then um anything you know if we have another leg up 663 that's great it's just a continuation with the remaining position or add more whatever taking out the previous pivot have a stop loss regardless but then as if we lose again below 620 after it will take couple of days though for that to act in itself then we will see if how much it continues lower but that is this is the area for that all right okay arm so arm got to our Target almost to 20 days moving average out and above this level of 120 um that was the level we were targeting now definitely next big move would be above 20 days moving average otherwise if pullback comes that's fine but as long as we still stay above 121 structure on this can still form a pivot here and we can still continue higher so technically We are continuing higher right now so direction is to the upside right now I'm not seeing direction to the downside if any pullback comes until 121 structure is not changing um all right on intraday level uh if any stronger cool off has to come let's say if you're looking for intraday shot um then let it lose 20 hours moving average first and also the level of 1274 and if that loses then there's a possibility we can test 126 area again on intraday only overall structure is not going to be bearish uh that's our let's take a look at broadcom now no surprise no surprise right we we talked about the bullish place right above 143 I'm not going to waste your time here explaining everything again we are just bullish on broadcom at this point I'm just going to give you the structure as long as we don't break below 50 days moving average structure is just going to remain bullish on this thing period Micron Micron not a surprise uh the next big move was above 200 days moving average so we targeted these ranges right like after getting above $93 61 101 would be the target we got that and then the next bck move or start of move was above 200 days and 20 days moving average we got that today gapped up no questions asked upside move we are still bullish as right now we if we stay below above 200 days of moving average it's just a continuation to the upside from here on okie dokie guys well that's it for this video uh don't forget to check out this channel of mine dividend investing Channel there's lot of new updates and I'm very happy how my portfolio is looking like and I want to share this happiness with you guys so check this channel out link to this channel is also in the description of this video below all right with that I'll see you in my next videos take care bye
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