저자: JuniorTrader · 외국인
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엔비디아는 106달러 돌파 후 118달러까지 상승, 118 위 유지 시 추가 상승 기대하나 114 조정 가능성 언급. AMD는 20일선 근처에서 141.12 회복 여부가 관건, 하락 피벗 가능성 경고. SMCI는 200시간선 돌파 시 상승 재개 기대. ARM은 강한 반등으로 보고 부분 익절 권고. 브로드컴은 150 위 구조 유지 시 상승 전망. 마이크론은 목표 도달로 해당 플레이 종료, 다음 목표는 101.75 위 구간.
다듬은 글
our semiconductors here that is NVIDIA AMD snci arm.com and Micron so what I was talking about in my videos yesterday and in the morning as well especially with Nvidia that $118 level is the target we got over there today right once we got about 106 the game changing level that I talked about over the weekend it just took us 3 days to get all the way up here to $118 that's quite a big massive move a good win for NVIDIA now what from here now in my morning video I mentioned about I want to see how the price closes here today right now what we see in the candle today is a good buying momentum from underneath this is what you want to see in a continuation to the upside even at a stronger level 118 is a strong structural change level all right and this is what you want to see with a candle that the sell off is getting bought back up this shows you that buyers are present still over here all right and they are willing to push it higher what to watch from here we'll take a look at hourly interval in just a second but right off the gate up from here that is 118 above as long as we stay above this or get above it tomorrow tomorrow is just an upside play yes it's just a continuation upside and this could lead to another big move once we get about 50 days moving average not only 122 but yes it opens up the door to 128 because this is quite a strong parabolic move now it all it depends if we get above 180 so let's go to the hourly interval to talk about price action over there now so today you are seeing that we are getting bought back up at that very area of of that 20 hours moving average right I pulled back got bought back up same this is the level $118 above this it's just an upside play now if anytime we lose 20 hours moving average and we also lose 11 1698 cents area this particular Zone I expect a cool off and that cool off may come to test $114 again these two pivots with the 50 hours moving average that's also a possibility so you're still trading off of the levels all right and then we'll see what happens if it cool saw 11 140 if this is good enough to hold it as support but we'll have to see the price section then what it does but so these are the two levels you are watching Nvidia is still looking strong good momentum buying came in here now as long as we don't break below 1698 cents or 117 and we stay above it tomorrow as well it's very likely we will see another leg up up it all comes down to this level not breaking below 117 area so yes so far things are looking good this is a good buying candle today as well staying above 20 days moving average as well and let's see if Nvidia can hold on to it and continue higher but your structure since above 106 as I talked about over the weekend that modeling that I provided to you if you haven't checked that video out I highly suggest go and check that video out $16 gamechanging level I presented to you a modeling system with my modeling system of positive and negative points and how things will transition into a massive bullish phase just getting above $16 and we got the aftermath and the outcome of that that move right so this is NVIDIA let's take a look at AMD so AMD here we have today we closed almost above 20 days moving average that's a good win as well once we got Above This level of 13683 we are back up again structure intraday is rebounding it's bullish and above 20 days moving average is a good win already if we continue to stay above this level of 1419 cents tomorrow is just an upside play it's a red candle I get it but if we stay above 1419 cents it's an upside play if we stay below it and 20 days moving average there's another day of cool off that may come but that will just be a cool off so so far until 18836 and 89 C if we lose this again then we have a massive problem otherwise we are still fine hourly interval let's take a look at that so what I also talked about in the morning is that since AMD is cooling off if it can close above 1415 cents that is a good awesome win it didn't do that so we can't negate the fact that potentially a lower pivot what will confirm this lower pivot if AMD is not able to go above 141 and 12 cents in the early hours of either the market open early minutes of the market open or the pre-market if we can get above 141 12 cents and Market opens we start to go lower that's a problem all right and then you are watching this level 13926 cents if you lose this also and 50 hours moving average then we are again testing 13682 cents all right so just keep that in mind to avoid this becoming a intraday week pivot we need to get about 141 and 12 cents as soon as possible all right so that's that that's AMD uh let's take a look at smci so smci and so this thing is uh going up and that's fine we expected this move to the upside once we got above the level of 529 85 this is just a rebound we it's not that strong rebound but let's take a look at hourly interval if we are seeing sign of this continuing so if smci can get above 58247 cents yes sure it can continue higher with the 200 hours moving average eventually but we want to see so next move I want to play only if it gets above 200 hours moving average to the upside if anytime smcl loses 566 and 90 cents and eventually 50 hours moving average then this upside is over and then you are expecting again downside so you have the levels on both sides to watch for SMC move arm so let's go to the Daily interval first so above the blue box closed above the blue box as well that is closing above 12126 C right and that's a good move again to the upside yes technically it's a strong rebound it can continue higher 20 days moving averag is what we are at least the next level we are targeting but we do have a red candle what do we make out of it as long as the pullback doesn't turn below again Blue Bar it's fine but I also don't want to lose it below 123 and 96 since if we lose this then it's a weaker play now tomorrow upside play is either it finds support at 124 it just from here gets above 12664 C so that would be the play if it loses 20 hours moving average then it may come down to 123 and then you are seeing if it holds a support here yeah otherwise just up from here if you lose 123 and or 24 area and then you are again then watching the top of this blue box if it holds again 121 and 28 cents so far yes it's an upside going in an upside let's see if it continue higher but time to take the positions for over here partial profits take partial profits it's a rebound play so you have to be very careful how much strength you can trade out of it to the upside all right that's arm let's take a look at broadcom so broadcom um showing some strength and let me actually quickly see it just something here there's a line here we go all right so broadcom uh continuing higher that's fine once we got above this blue box 143 and7 cents area this was just a bullish and it's been continuing higher no problem as long as this thing continues to stay above now 150 area structure is still bullish that's what I talked about yesterday as well and it's structure on this is not as long as we are 150 and above from where it is right now if tomorrow we lose 156 and 35 C some cool off may come otherwise no above this we are still just a bullish play Micron Micron as I talked about in the morning as well this level that I was expecting once we get above the level of 93 and 64 cents that we will test this level of 10183 cents we got that test final this this play is over guys this is done all right now what is the next play next play is that tha get that if we reject 10175 cents tomorrow some cool off may come if we stay below this area this is a very critical important level if we that is 10190 C around if we break below it some cool off may come but as long as if you find a pivot above 9369 cents Bulls can still remain hopeful but the next big move is above 10175 the zone of 20 and 200 days moving average all right so that's that so yeah well that's it for this video guys s bye
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