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Is the market about to experience a catastrophic stock market crash? A man who was completely ignored by the world earlier. But when what he said turned out to be true, the world was completely shaken. His name is Michael Burri. Yes, in 2008, when everyone was enjoying the housing bubble, banks were giving out loans.
Whatever kind of sweets you have. At the same time, he was secretly doing research. I was trying to understand the danger hidden behind charts, data and dept. He predicted the world's biggest housing crash. And now when everyone's portfolios were turning red, Pe Buri had earned billions of dollars in 2008.
You guys must have seen the movie. If you haven't seen The Big Shot, go and watch it. Michael Burry was mentioned in the same. Now if I talk about 2005, then that man is again saying that be careful, another huge crash is about to happen and do you know what is the most shocking thing, he has sold his entire portfolio and is keeping only one stock, ST Larder, so is he pointing towards another financial disaster, is he saying that a huge global meltdown is about to happen for which we need to be alert, friends, in today's story we will understand the truth behind the signal and will know through a story the story of Arjun, an Indian investor who woke up completely after seeing a tweet and maybe you people will also wake up after watching this video, so sit with your heart in your hands and understand this video completely with facts, data and figures.
Is a storm brewing over the Vail Market? Well, at the end of 2024, Scion Asset Management, yes, this is a fund from Durian, took very strong positions in Chinese stocks. For example, Alibaba happened, gt.com happened and other major Chinese tech companies and you will be surprised to know how much returns they earned, over 100%.
See, when I talk about big capital hatch funds, then 100% would be a huge return. But still he sold everything. Now think about this, why would an investor who is getting 100% returns suddenly dump everything? What need arose for this? Because usually long term investors hold their positions for a very long time.
He must have some such data. A big picture that we can see only from one corner. Ca n't see completely. And we are not able to understand the entire forest. I am unable to understand the entire problem. And one angle of that picture is US Treasury yields. Yes, 30-year Treasury yields touched 5% in 2025.
What does it mean? This means that investors are afraid of taking long term risks. When bonds become attractive, people start withdrawing money from stocks. And Buri also did the same thing. He bought put options on stocks like Nvidia. That too when Nvidia was at its record high. This gives a clear signal that brother, he is seeing bearish signs somewhere in the market.
By the way, if you have not liked the video yet, then like it so that you keep getting timely updates and write Samosa in the comments for such videos. But this isn't just a US story. When America sneezes, India also sneezes a little. Global slowdown, tariffs, congestion, everything is completely interconnected.
Now I will tell you a story through which it will become clear to you how Arjun, who is a big investor, an Indian investor , his eyes opened? So let's go to Lohar Parel in Mumbai. A 28-year-old boy named Arjun, sitting in a flat, works in a corporate job and does SIP every month. His portfolio is doing quite well.
Sussex is over 85,000. His mid cap fund is already giving him 30% returns. Live he has a good set. One evening I am talking about Arjun X i.e. Twitter. Scrolling. He sees a tweet and that tweet shakes him completely. And the tweet went something like this Michael Buri Dums Entire Portfolio Holds Only ST Larder Warning Science Question Mark.
Arjun stops and thinks. Is this the same bad thing? Yes , whose prediction was completely correct in 2008. He searched Buri 2025 on his phone. He analyzed the articles, analysis, threads and started reading them and then he saw that Buri had completely sold the Chinese stocks. He bought puts against Nvidia, a promising artificial intelligence company, and is also talking about market stagnation.
By the way you have to understand the speculation in an easy way. Please also write your stack in the comments. An alarm suddenly rings in Arjun's mind. Arjun starts learning self-audit. Arjun tries to open his portfolio. He opens his portfolio and sees, brother, what is there in my portfolio. And looking at that, 60% are large cap mutual funds.
20% are small cap funds. 10% is gold, 10% is direct stocks. And Arjun has mostly high flying consumer tech companies in his portfolio. He thought if Bori is saying that the risk has increased then what am I doing brother, after creating such a big portfolio, he thoroughly checked his data and after checking the data he did research, after doing research he analyzed and he came to know that US inflation is still above 2%, Fed is slowing down the rate cut.
Global bond yields are high. CPI inflation in India is 5.4%. FII Inflows Inflows I mean volatile. The market's PE ratio is hovering around 23. Meaning the threat of overvaluation still looms over the market. Then he saw stocks like Adani hitting highs. Small cap funds are showing overheating and earnings of Indian IT stocks are completely flat but valuations are sky high.
Arjun started thinking, if the global market crashes tomorrow, will my portfolio survive or not? And after thinking about all these things, Arjun decides that somewhere or the other, inspired by Michael Gurry, I will have to make adjustments. That very night Arjun sits down and decides that I will withdraw 20% of the cash and invest it somewhere in liquid funds.
I will definitely continue the SIP. But I will pause the small cap SIP for some time and invest in blue chip or defensive SIP. I will increase my allocation to Gold ETFs. I will focus on defensive stocks like nse, ITC, HL. I will regularly track US and global data, specifically the S&P 500, bond yields, oil prices, etc., and make a note of it.
And this note was Bhuri's Lessons for Indian Investors which is very important for all of you to know at this point of time. The first is over estimation as well as over optimism. Avoid both. When everyone is getting greedy, it is important to remain cautious. Do n't ignore global data. India is not completely insulated.
Keep your portfolio flexible. Cash is also a position, brother. Do n't ruin your entire portfolio with FOMO. Maintain discipline in SIP also. But keep rebalancing. Pay attention to the cycles of both valuation and earnings. Don't just follow the rally. And friends, if you also keep these pointers of Arjun in mind, then you will be prepared before the storm.
I hope you will understand from today's video. What's going on in Michael Burry's mind? Do n't forget to like and share anything you like in the video. Till then keep learning, keep growing, keep investing and keep training.
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