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테리 스미스 펀드 포트폴리오 중 품질주 5개(스트라이커, 홈디포, 마스터카드, ADP, MSCI)를 소개. 각 기업의 배당, 자유현금흐름, 10년 총수익, 애널리스트 전망을 요약하고 대부분 적정가 대비 고평가 또는 보유 수준으로 평가. 타인 포트폴리오 무비판 추종은 경계하라고 강조. 대상 자산 목록에 해당하는 국내외 종목 예측 발언은 없음.
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asalam alikum everyone welcome back to another video I hope you're having a wonderful day so in today's video I want to look at Terry Smith Terry Smith's portfolio Terry Smith is one of those super investors who has his own fund called Fun Smith and he's performed or outperformed the S&P 500 for so many years in a row he has basically invested in Quality Companies and of course he's got you know he's beaten the markets for so many years and what I want to do today is I want to focus on five sh comping companies that are in his portfolio that I genuinely think their quality not necessarily cheap right now but it's one of those things that if you're interested of course you can add it to your watch list and then when they when you know the price is right then you can add it to your portfolio of course you will have to do your own research and so on I don't do these kind of videos for for me or you to copy his portfolio because in the end of the day his philosophy and his Bas what he's looking for is completely different to what we looking for um not completely but it's not you know it's not exactly what we're looking for and and you have to be careful with that sort of uh just blindly following anybody or copying anybody else portfolio because his reasons are completely to mine and completely to you know to yours and so on so yeah just to bear in mind when you do that sort of a thing and the first thing I would like you to do is like the video because it genuinely helps the channel and you know I'm trying to grow this channel so we can reach out more brothers and sisters as well as of course um you can join us in The Paton account where you get access to all the buys and sells that I'm making normally you can have access to the dividend trackers you can access have access to different calendar as well as the private Discord U where a lot of brothers are sharing very good practice sh compant investing ebook as well is there so you got a lot of things that basically you can you know get your hands on and basically you're helping the channel even if you subscribe for one month and if you find any value in the Discord and everything else then of course you stay with us if not of course you can always change your mind now let's have a look at the company I want to make this video as short as I possibly as I possibly can so we're normally looking for all of these things because I do believe I I want to give you a quick summary and again you're going to have to go away and do your own research but this is my own summary so I'm focusing on the how what how big the company is the mo around that company so basically the competitive advantage and so on the dividend side of things I'm looking for the return on Equity profit margins I want to see if they have any free cash flow to cover that dividend buying back their own shares and so on I want to see where the company's been in the last 10 years so Total return in the last 10 years including price as well as the price appreciation as well as the dividends and then I want to see what the analyst are saying in terms of the next year next five years where do they think this company is heading because again that's really important to us and then I want to see if it's actually valuation wise if it's is it actually a buy right now and I genuinely think by having this quick overview the then you can learn more about the business and dig deeper but these are the things that we're looking for now let's have a look at the first company and the first one is a strike corporations and this company is a a pharmaceutical company is actually sell they're very similar to metronic so they sell a lot of the um devices that is used in hospitals and so on it has 117 billion market cap it has a wide economic M current price is $36 dividend is lower than 1% the payout is only 30% the latest increase was 6.7% the 5year growth rate of 10% they have been increasing that dividend for 31 years so they are different Aristocrat annual payout is $320 safety of 90% profit margin of 133% return on Equity 15% now they have $2.5 billion of free cash flow which is quite nice total return in the last 10 years is actually excellent 15% next year they expecting the ear to grow by 11% 11% after that for every single year for the following 5 years and 34% premium right now $229 per share is where the price should be right now is over $300 now this company has been in my radar for a long long time but they have not got to the time I've not seen it undervalued for I think good 3 years now so I'm just going to keep an eye on for now I'm not going to buy or anything just before we move on to Home Depot I just want to show you in terms of earnings expectations for Striker um as you can see 11 double digits for the next 3 years again almost double digits for um Revenue as well which is quite nice next one is a Home Depot $355 billion wide economic mode current price $354 per share dividend above 2% 13% in terms of the payout ratio which is very very low latest increase about 10% 5 year is 16% which is really nice dividend strugle 14 years which is again really good annual payout $836 right now safety of 87% profit margin is good return inqu is excellent free cash flow absolutely amazing almost $18 billion Total return in the last 17 years last 10 years sorry 17% 4% growth this year next next year and then 2% after that 36% premium right now according to morning start $263 speci is where they think the price should be now if we look at Home Depot um on see Alpha um in terms of earnings okay this year the 24 they expecting a decline I think that's going to give me an opportunity hopefully to add to this and after that should be should bounce back in terms of Revenue more less the same this is the kind low grower so 2 3% um to not 3% um grows about 35 % 6% 7% every single year if you go to ratings and we go to Wall Street okay they actually saying is a buy but it's $343 per share so it's slightly lower than where we looking at so wherever you look at right now it seems a little bit overvalued next company he has in his portfolio is Mastercard and I think he also has Visa I can't remember but $42 billion wide economic 426 um dividend yield of 0.53 I will show you his entire portfolio in a second the payout ratio is 19% 16% increase in the last latest increase 5 year of 18% which is really good for MasterCard I always talk about MasterCard and I feel like I should be buying this company because it's really a high quality business oh by the way every I think nework U members of the community always ask how is Mastercard and Visa Sharia compliant and I always say to you guys look at it this way this company doesn't doesn't really need to know basically how much bankage is charging for or I don't know whatever they create the bank and the technology that allows these Banks to transact so to send in transaction from A to B the security side of it what's in the cut all of that stuff and they get their cut from there so they don't really involved they're not involved in the river side of it if Bankers decide to give you 10% interest that's their business they don't care they want to make sure that transaction gets to where it needs to be and so on so it's a technology company really safety is 99% right now 4 44% in terms of profit margin return on Equity is absolutely amazing almost $10 billion of free cash flow total rain in the last 10 years we're looking about 18% growth estimate 17% growth estimate for the next 5 years 20% fairly valued right now $421 per share and if I show you now if we go to Seeking Alpha and go to earnings and then show you what the company is expecting double digit growth in the next basically few years which is really nice and in terms of ratings as you can see is a buy buy their Buy price here is is 463 so that's about 8% 9% growth from um upside from where we are now now the next one is automatic data processing another company that I own in the portfolio um 96 96 billion market cap wide economic mode $232 per share right now dividend is over 2% which is quite nice pay ratio is slightly higher than I would like latest increase of 12% 5year growth rate of 14% 49 years so next year this company will become if they increase they will become a dividend King annual payout we looking at $5.60 safety of 97% profit margin 19% return Equity absolutely wonderful free cash flow right now $3.2 billion Total return of 133% next couple of years they 5 years they're expecting you know up to 11% growth which is really really good fairly valued at the moment $240 per share um so I might be looking at get this company again thinking you know what app let me add to it and so on but I will let you know as always I'll let you know I haven't made a decision whether I'm going to add it cuz there's few companies in my portfolio that's still undervalued so if we go to earnings first and just look at it so as you can see here almost double digits for the next 3 years and then so on for like 5% 6% growth which is quite nice so from 19 billion to $22 billion in about 3 4 years in terms of ratings as you can see is all hold right now um and basically it's got 6% upside but they saying is still a hold um but yeah so is again great company I like the business model I've had the this company in my portfolio for a bit and I'm going to continue doing that next one is MCI so this is one of the companies um that I have not spoken about more about in this in this um Channel um a lot of it because it's always been overvalued and I like to bring you know some indiv dividend paying companies that undervalued a lot so it's been overvalued for quite some time just like a striker 43 billion market cap right now wide economic m $551 per share dividend is just 1% 42% in terms of payout ratio which is not bad look at the 5 years so the latest in is 10% the 5 years is 28% and 8 years of increase in that dividend you get $552 for every share of this company that you own and safety is 61% 61 and above is a safe and very safe but below 60 is uh basically it's not unsafe I can't remember what's called okay but I think um yeah so it's getting to that territory right now but then again when you you look at the payout ratio there shouldn't be any issues there profit margin absolutely amazing return on equities for some reason is not displaying here free cash flow 1 billion total return in 28 U 29% sorry in the last um 10 years which is absolutely huge they expecting the earnings to grow up to 14% in the next 5 years right now 24% premium $440 per share is where they think the price is are should be but look at where is at now 552 that's the five companies I wanted to share with you guys one think these companies have in common is a lot basically quality they have excellent free cash flow they go in their Top Line um um basically Top Line and bottom line as well as of course they giving shareholders a lot of returns double digit returns for every single one of these companies hence why they probably expense that that's the reason why they're expensive because all these hedge fund managers they do their due diligence they do their research and they now these are companies that you know if they can if they can expect this sort of a double digits every single year then of course apart from this one it's got double digits every single year for the next 5 years so that's the kind of thing they want and that's why they willing to pay higher premium some of these companies have ridiculous pees but of course these people do not actually take PE just into consideration PE only into consideration there are other things the peg ratios and so on and looking at free cash flow free cash flows um per share and so on that they take all of these things into consideration so let me see msci's expectations and then I will wrap up the video I'll show you from Sharia compliance side of things so if we go to earnings first and earnings estimates for the next four years 5 years you can see is all double digits again same things for the revenue really quality business there um but basic expectation remember these are just estimates it can easily change so in terms of um thing is also 562 so it's about 1% upside from where we at now finally I want to show you from sh compliance side of things you can pause the video have a look at it there's no issues really um basically the only one that's higher have interested higher interest bearing debt out of all of them is just 17 with this one basically Home Dep but other than that they are all okay now if you like this type of contact it takes a lot of time and effort to put these videos together to record it to edit it to do all of that I would really genuinely appreciate if you can just like the videos and let me know if you have any questions but before we finish that's the name of the guy this is the third quarter that basically they reported so port update how big the portfolio is and so on and then you can see here his company so his portfolio the percentage the biggest company he has in his portfolio Microsoft he actually sold a little bit of it Striker he added to it and then as you can see you got meta you got automatic data processing you got visas I told you he owns Visa as well as well MasterCard and Pepsi or Pepsi Co for example he owns Google proon Gumble uh Char and Dwight Nike for example he owns loads of companies including p for8 and so and so and so so the list is long but you can see here he's got my master card in there McDonald's and J&J's and all Home Depot or whatever so you can pause the video and have a look at it if you are interested in any of that as always I really appreciate all your help and as much as you you know whatever you can to if you can join us in the Discord and the patreon account that would be absolutely wonderful thank you for everything you do for me I appreciate that thank you very much have a wonderful dayalam alikum
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