저자: StockBookie · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아·AMD는 실적 전후 방향이 50:50이며 단기 횡보 후 방향성 확인 필요, 테슬라는 약세 흐름으로 지지선 확인 중. [엔비디아] 8월 8일 실적 전 상승 가능성 언급, 단기 목표 175~185, 실적 호재 시 200까지 언급. 하락 시 107 또는 갭 메우기 가능성. 보유자는 손절 타이트하게 관리 권고. [AMD] 채널 내 등락 반복, 최근 밴드 상단 15 부근 저항 및 9~10 하락 가능성 언급. 16~17 이상 돌파 시 상승 시나리오, 실패 시 재하락 가능. [테슬라] 일간 기준 200일선 위지만 20일선 하락 전환, 실적 8월 2일 전후 변동 가능. 314 부근 이탈 시 하락 가능, 지지 300~303 언급, 장기적으로 11월 저점 재확인 가능성 언급. [시장 전반] S&P500·IWM 등 지수 동반 상승 가능성 언급, 실적 시즌(아마존·구글 등)이 반도체·기술주에 영향 줄 것으로 전망. [출연자 전망] 특정 방향 단정 없이 기술적 패턴 기반으로 확률적 접근 강조, 추격 매수보다 조정 시 분할 매수 권고.
다듬은 글
hello traders China stock boog a m if you'd like these videos go to our website sign up for the free membership or come down here to the right hand corner to subscribe to our youtube channel again thanks for stopping by we really do appreciate it alright let's get right into the daily chart 23 million on NVIDIA 0.42% down 0.7 t on the day nothing great nothing you know nothing like holy cow this is a disaster but nice 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 days up right to this high pivot going into earnings on August 8 so watch for that as earnings start playing out though guys Amazon catches a big google AMD tesla everything starts going up I think all these stocks will just follow with it as well as the overall index is the spy the IWM and all that good stuff so if we get a slow low volume grind earnings come out ok we could go higher on all these stocks to watch for that but if we do and you're long just tighten the stops up just to just don't turn a good trade into a bad trade that's all I'm saying here so right now though we're looking for pattern let's see if we go sideways for the next leg up I'm thinking 175 180 185 possibly possibly 200 on earnings I'm not sure let's see what happens in the next couple of weeks drop now you got 200 on the upside you possibly have 107 on the downside or gap-fill again ripping up came back retrace came back straight up to the mall time highs pausing right now volume on the spy was 26 million very very light I want to show you back here though look at this up-down retrace down up and then the slam not to slam but well you know I mean 120 to 94 I mean that was a $25 drop so a nice drop on that one chop drop chop the round pop on earnings look at this though look at that pattern look at this up-down retrace down up just like this one so beware not to scare anybody I'm just looking at charts saying that hey guys this could go up this can go down let's wait for the wait for the pattern up here right below the all-time high let's see what the set that gives us right before earnings remember fifty-fifty on earnings can scream up can't scream down it is nvidia stock of the year i wouldn't doubt it goes up but you know to roll the dice like that let's go to casino cuz some drinks have a good time but strong stock guys Nvidia of the mas strong stance let's see what happens in the next couple weeks before earnings now AMD AMD same thing right in the channel up and down up and down up and down it's been a great trading vehicle we went short back here took it off haven't been in it sense you know the more I look at image the trades are always easy technically after the fact guys I mean after fact you could have traded this nine times long-short long-short long-short right now we're about 50/50 this down move sideways a little bit week remember we talked about gap film this 75 will retrace we talked about watch for the gap up and then let's see if we could continue up going into six or 1464 was it 15 even number and then the 1555 1556 double top area and then you know honestly if we could get out of this range for the Bulls I think we go to 16 21 and possibly higher 1778 get a nice little squeeze going if it can't get above this area or the $15 even number then manage you know let's see if we go right back down if we start getting below this trendline and I think we're going to go right back to the $9 $10 and possibly lower so same thing guys 50-50 shot right in that range where we could go up a couple bucks or come down a couple bucks it's all depends on earnings from other stocks as well stocks are having good earnings everything's grinding this will grind higher if stocks are a little bit pausing and mediocre earnings this could possibly slide so earnings on this one 725 so I believe that's next week so watch for that that can affect Nvidia big-time that's that's true I've never thought about that so if this goes up Nvidia can keep pushing up to with the Nvidia pop this goes down maybe Nvidia slides with it or maybe Nvidia goes up because AMD is going down who knows again I look at the technicals I try to keep it simple here at stock bookie and right now bullish stance down a little bit a little bit bearish pattern but bullish being up overall down sideways a little bit bearish but the stance here above the mas pretty good one let's see what happens in the next week and going into earnings so watch for that one at AMD let's go into Tesla guys man Tesla was getting a little bit of a beatdown today not terrible you know came down to this inside bar came right down to 314 71 which was low-cost a bid everyone bought the dip something with Minnesota car accident maybe the hands the free one or whatever they're doing or the driverless cars or whatever something like that I'm not sure but if anyone knows let me know but for me I'm just looking at the charts let's go intraday on this one this one shows a little bit better on the 10 minutes oh man right out of the gate I think this is news straight down guys I'm looking for areas for a bounce and looks like it caught this little pivot right there that's where your area was and then what was the low of the day 3 4 3 13 45 yeah then the 314 even number the next area would have been 313 and then gotcha this would have kept going we could have got the 303 down here real quick guys then you have this pivot down here too as well as 310 so that's going to be some support as well so watch these areas on the chart this one looks a little bit weak right now guys but let's go back to the 10 or the daily and still down sideways it has to get above this trendline that's a big one just like just like the spine everything in that video we have big trend lines here did break down came right back in fill the gap came right back down held the green bar here at the big green just slightly bullish this one if we close below 314 29 then we'll probably going down to this low and then maybe possibly lower right now we're consolidating in the lower range or below the 20 and the 50 a little bit weak but we're still above the 200 so some technical guys will be all yeah it's doable stance or above the 200 everything's fine until you get down here right now 20ma curls down in the price that could set this thing going down earnings on this one is on 8 - so watch out for that about two weeks away or so so watch for that one and guys you know going into earnings this could go to four honestly this could go down here to these pivots at 2:41 let me see if I can I still think we're going back to November lows but maybe maybe 200 but right now I mean it could go 100 up 100 I don't know at this point news is driving it Elin tweets and then some bad news comes out it goes down so right now man you know if you're up here you didn't take profits I'm sorry and just just be aware that this thing could go down a little bit lower if you go to the monthly chart we look at this monthly chart stretch a little bit stretch jobs still stress from the 20ma guys and that's a 242 and look at this run one two three four five six seven months straight up guys with the end with their new model three and all that stuff and this one's been chopped chopped chopped and finally it started breaking out everyone getting excited never made it to 400 down maybe we chopped at 300 and then BAM four hundred or two hundred here we come our four hundred four hundred it hunted up hunter down that's a bottom line and this little monthly bar sell-off that's a little bit ugly as well so keep an eye on that but right now in the daily pretty strong stance still above the 200 ma I mean it's hovering still up in la-la-land up in here so overall bearish pattern it's not in the strong stance it's a little bit weak but still okay about the 200 just be buoyant guys 50/50 shot on earnings I always say that on stocked which my videos just be careful that's what I'm here to hopefully protect you if it runs up without you who cares just like this one if you missed the run don't chase it up here we got the dip buy it down here why buy it at 380 when you could be buying it at 320 that's all I'm trying to say here guys especially this one this one just kept up down up down up down but got above this pivot we're breaking down a little bit let's keep an eye on that one and see what the next couple weeks brings and
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