저자: TraderAsron · 외국인
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2017년 7월 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라 차트를 분석한 영상으로, 세 종목 모두 실적발표를 앞두고 방향성이 불확실하다는 결론이다. 엔비디아: 일봉에서 박스권 횡보 중이며 20일선 위에 있어 강세 구조를 유지하고 있다. 실적은 7월 18일 전후(8.8 주당순이익 언급)로 예정되어 있으며, 실적 이후 50~50 확률로 급등(180~200) 또는 갭 메우기 하락(105~108 부근) 가능성을 언급했다. 기존 매수 포지션은 손절을 타이트하게 올리라고 조언했다. AMD: 20일선 위로 복귀했으나 하락 채널 속 횡보 중이며 약한 약세 패턴이라고 평가했다. 실적은 7월 25일 전후로 예상되며 급등 또는 급락이 모두 가능하다는 50/50 관점이다. 과거에는 저점 매수 위주 매매를 선호했다고 밝혔다. 테슬라: 3일 연속 하락 후 반등했으나 20일선 아래에 있어 다소 약하다. 실적은 8월 2일 전후로 예상되며, 실적 전 상황에 따라 400 상승 또는 250~265 하락 모두 가능하다고 봤다. 실적 전 소규모 포지션과 외가격 풋 또는 콜 헤지를 권장했다. 시장 전반: 거래량이 적은 상황에서 S&P500 상승 흐름이 이어질 수 있으나, 매도세가 나오면 하락할 수 있다고 언급했다. 넷플릭스 실적 호조로 다른 기술주 실적에 대한 기대감이 형성되어 있다고 진단했다. 리스크: 모든 종목이 실적 전후 변동성 확대 가능성이 있으며, 헤지 없이 대형 포지션을 유지하지 말라는 경고가 반복됐다. 출연자 전망: 세 종목 모두 실적 전 방향성을 단정하지 않았으며, 명확한 방향 예측은 제시하지 않았다.
다듬은 글
hello Trader asron l right daily chart1 million 1.04% up or $171 cents on the day good day today guys I mean good little run here stalled out at this pivot now we're going sideways cons idation let's see if it goes sideways for another week or so and then pops earning is 8817 so it is coming up so watch out for that 5050 shot if it goes up I don't know 180 190 200 if it goes down you got the Gap fill you got the Gap window and then you got the Gap fill down here with the 200 ma around 105 108 area but at this point guys nothing wrong above the ma strong stance going sideways let's see what we get in the next couple days uh in this market see if the uh 42 million stays with the Spy or 30 2 million the other day we had 27 million if it stays complacent like that these can go higher if the markets tend to sell which is a tall tall task these days on the light volume then we'll possibly move down but right now guys we're back above this uh little pivot high and going for the 16850 if we crack through there 170 175 and then when we go into earnings it's anybody's game 50/50 but Netflix went off that went up everyone's kind of banking hey Netflix is good all the other ones got to be good too so we'll see we'll see what's up next that has good earnings and we'll let to see it it really doesn't mean anything but you everyone's getting hyped up that has good earnings that's got to have good earnings stuff like that so just be careful with Nvidia if you're you know if you took the trade around 100 just tighten that stop you don't want to turn a great trade into a turd period so all right AMD daily chart same thing guys we did get back above the 20 ma but man uh 32 cents or 2.32% on the day um still the same stuff guys up down up down this time it came down held the 20m a still down sideways in a slightly bearish position or a bearish pattern but still in a bullish position above all the Mas so 5050 at this point guys you're right you're right in this range for the 15 to 16 then if it starts to slip then you're looking at you know 1120 to n bucks or 10 bucks or so so you're right in the middle of this whole thing it does continue higher 1621 1778 do I have anything else and then you know like 20 bucks stuff like that if it goes lower looking at the Mas then the double bottom and then possibly lower from there I you know hard to say at this point it's not really giving me a pattern but this little slipage here sideways that's slightly bearish again bullish stance above the ma so let's see what this thing does in the next couple days and then we'll uh red you know look at it again but earnings guys I believe it's on 725 I believe that's next week so 5050 guys it's going to shoot to the moon or it's going to drop like a rock or maybe it'll just be a non event where everyone just scratched their head so they're mounting on it I know the Bulls they're loading the house trying to get this thing higher but uh we'll see guys been in this channel for a while let's see if we could break out or break down earnings will tell us the true story on AMD but right now guys just uh if you're trading this stock enjoy it I mean we we move up two bucks go down three bucks move up three bucks move down three bucks nice channeling nice trading if you had the uh you know what's to take that trade every time we had a position a long time ago right here we shorted this one here took it off down in this area and then we we haven't done anything since maybe some intraday scalping but no swing trades like that maybe some quick day trade in and out but uh other than that guys I I'd rather go long somewhere down in here and just just ride it because everyone buys the dip it's it's just an easier trade so I'm I'm fighting some trades right now and I really don't choose to fight anymore put it that way all right Tesla yeah this this uh this light volume markets I this it's pretty incredible guys pretty incredible all right daily chart on Tesla 3 days down I mean that was a beat down bull or bearish pattern below the Mas trying to grind higher pretty good day um today 867 then $ 2.71 up hey hats off to the Bulls earning on this one is 82 so watch out for that but the bottom line guys this could go to 400 this could go to 265 250 right now we're in that middle range where anything's possible with this one it is Tesla hard to say I I couldn't even guess at this point right now looking a little bit weak we'll see how this pattern sets up or see what this gives us the next uh week or two going into the ER report so so just um guys if you're long don't turn a good good trade into a turd holding in earnings I mean even right here if you were down from 250 you get here you consolidate you pop up to almost 400 everyone I mean unbel you know it's like oh my gosh it is going to 400 425 and all of a sudden slip so you know on some news or whatever so don't trust these stocks especially if they're ripping up let me show you one more thing and this is what they're all look starting to look like guys this is the monthly chart we have a nice red candle but you got 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 months straight up pretty good bullish consolidation though let me tell you this was in a chop zone for a long long since 2014 got all the Bulls on board here now they're kind of shaking them out thinking well you know is the car going to be that good or that bad but I guess on 82 we're going to find out how good or bad it is I you know earnings 50 50 shot I've always said if I go into this you know I'm going to go in with a smaller position and I will hedge puts or calls which depending if I'm long or short just a small you know couple hundred couple hundred dollars worth maybe one or two puts buy them out of the money somewhere up here some you know maybe 20 bucks out 20 bucks out so if it goes down 20 you're doing pretty good it goes up 20 you're doing even better so it's a couple hundred risk that's how I play it hedge that position and hey if you make money you pull off that one and then your shares if you're short or long then you start gaining money on that one as well so so take the BET take the Hedge and uh try to get that uh trade out there especially when you're swing trading guys like we do we got a ton of positions out there you got to hedge something unless you're in a half position a quarter position you just happen to start or just slowly adding then you don't have to worry about it too much so all right guys but Tesla little bit weak below the Mas still above the 200 so still okay but it's slightly weaker because you're below these guys it's got to pop up here if you're bullish if you're bearish you just want to see more of this and then possibly downside into earnings or upside into earnings again 50-50 shot sign up it's free subscribe down here guys and once
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