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결론: 단기 강세 유지 속 실적 발표 전 거래량 부족으로 변동성 주의, 엔비디아 우호적·AMD·테슬라는 실적 결과에 따라 방향이 갈릴 수 있다는 중립적 시각. 시장 전반: S&P500은 거래량이 적은 상태에서 완만하게 상승 중이며, 실적 발표 전 거래량 유입을 기다리는 모습으로 해석. 실적이 무난하면 상승 지속 가능하다고 봄. 거래량 부족은 주요 우려 사항. 엔비디아: 주봉상 최고가(약 168.5 부근) 돌파 시도 중이며, 다음 주에 종가 기준 신고가 돌파 시 170~175까지 상승 가능성 언급. 다만 실적 전 횡보할 수도 있음. 전체적으로 강세 우위. AMD: 일봉상 채널 내 등락 반복, 20·50·200일선 위에서 강세 유지하나 단기 약세 전환. 실적 결과에 따라 방향이 50:50이라고 봄. 주봉 종가는 이전 고점 위지만 현재 내부 바 안에서 조정 중이라 약간 약세 신호. 테슬라: 일봉상 하락 후 횡보, 200일선 위에서 약한 강세 구간. 실적 전 박스권 횡보 후 304~400 중 방향 결정 예상, 방향은 반반. 20일선 하락 전환 주의, 200일선 지지 여부 관찰. 실적 후 상승 시 익절 권고. 리스크: 거래량 부족, 실적 발표 결과에 따른 급등락, 시장 악재 발생 시 테슬라·AMD 하락 가능성. 출연자 전망: 엔비디아 단기 우호적, AMD·테슬라는 실적 전 중립, 실적 후 방향 불확실.
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punch down here in the right hand corner on YouTube and subscribe so let's get right into the daily chart 23 million on Nvidia and uh keep grinding guys we had a little bit of a pause day yesterday coming up in these high pivots or the 750 retrace right around 16109 and uh here we go again markets were complacent 58 million on the Spy little bit up on the day we were uh 84 up on the Dow but just a slow grind or a melt up I should say on no participation so watch out for this I think they're waiting for earnings coming up in the next couple weeks before some volume comes in if the earnings are okay these stocks can keep floating up so right now Bulls are in charge above the Mas trying to make a run for the all-time high which is 16850 let's see if we make that next week and uh I maybe 170 175 maybe it kind of stalls out into earnings we'll have to keep an eye on this one see where this one goes weekly chart Friday close ah great move up guys we closed above this little topping tail what we talking about right here I'm going to pull this out though right now so we talked about this little topping tail came right back in and closed so next week I want to see some good good push through a close above the all-time high and this thing's starting to rip up if it cannot get that here I want to push this up a little bit more if it can't get that so I just want to see more follow through weekly volume was a little bit better last week was the um the July 4th week so it was a little bit light but we got a nice push up we still are above all the Mas like we talk about bullish stance but we do have a little bit of a topping tail here on the weekly it needs to get above there and close and once we close it needs to get some file through so say if we close one uh around 172 173 next week on a weekly close I want to see the following week close of above that and that could solidify a possible up move in these charts still pretty good bullish action on a weekly 1 2 3 4 five six week sideways starting to go the only thing that makes me um a little bit um worried is the light volume action in the overall markets think we had 40 45 million on the Spy today which was just just non nonp participation guys and that worries me a little bit in these markets all right let's look at AMD AMD guys had a nice little uh Shakedown yesterday today let's go to the Daily and uh we talked about it Gap fill talked about the high pivot here look what happened so we went up and we talked right here on this day watch this they're going to Gap it up over the blue line and the Gap fill and try to keep this thing going get more Bulls on we're up to the higher range of the channel we got a channel here guys going up down up down up down great trading vehicle guys if you're a Trader or a prop Trader boom boom boom you're in and out of this thing but we're still holding the Mas the 20 the 50 and the 200 still strong so right now though we're down sideways slightly bearish but we're still above the Mas in a bullish stand so let's see if this thing can continue up possibly in the earnings we are back below the old Gap fill and these whole old you know old high pivot Points surprised we didn't make it here guys it just ran out of steam but we had a nice one 2 three four five six day up into this area which you know last time it came back in let's see if we just start channeling closer into earnings maybe we just go down a little bit up and then we start going sideways and then 50/50 shot if we go up or down on the earning report let's get into the weekly chart weekly close today which is Friday just like Nvidia just like all of them actually but let's see if we did did we close yeah so we did close above this red bar again so a little bit strong but now look we're down and sideways inside this bar now so we're inside this bar we got above now we got to get above this one here so basically though going into earnings this this is going to Make It or Break It guys so right now down sideways a little bit bearish we're in this overhead resistance that's why every time we go up we're in this channel go goes up comes down goes up comes down again great trading vehicle if you bought this thing down here at 10 most likely you're selling up here at 14 bucks if you didn't get it this time you're doing it that time so you know we've been in those trades guys where you take it at 10 I'm going back to the Daily just to show you a little bit better so you take the trade down here pops up you don't take the profit comes back in you're like oh man what's going on comes back into the highs you don't take the profit again but the smart Trader the smart money is already gone from this side gone from from that side pops up again and you're like oh man it's got to go higher then you stay in you're like oh here it goes again last time it goes up you're in this tray you're like you know what I'm done so I'm up in this overhead resistance I'm taking the profit and then it will probably go higher you know by three or four bucks you know how that usually works but right now guys chopping around inside this bar on The Daily too weeklys okay it did close above the Red Bar the big one like we said that that was important and we did remember we came right back in now we're retracing but we have this inside bar that's inside this bar so that is slightly bearish so you got to keep an eye on that but right now earning is going to drive all these three stocks up or down or maybe they just have non-events who knows all right let's go into Tesla so Tesla daily chart still down still sideways we ran into this Gap fill ran into the trend line coming from these lows got rejected but now it's slightly in a bullish manner still below the Mas still above the 200 which is slightly bullish so we're kind of in a mid-range where this thing can go up or get go down I think we're going to chop chop chop if we get some bad news in the markets we'll go down if the market stay buoyant this can keep grinding because it has buy the dip mentality if you didn't buy the dip down here at 304 you're damn well trying to buy it at 330 going into earnings so this might be a buy the uh rumor in the earnings and then sell the news but at this point got a beat down I I'm looking for more sideways consolidation in the earnings will it go up maybe will it go down I don't know but uh we'll see guys it's 50/50 like I said kind of like the casino but you don't get drinks so this go sideways in the earnings down in this lower range we're going to watch for a pop into the 400 or a drop you hard to say you're going to have good support at the 200 ma that's what I'm watching but you you have some gaps to fill down in here too but ultimately you have this low pivot right around 250 242 so it's almost like 250 or 400 which way is it going to go we'll find out I think it's August 2nd on Tesla so again though a little bit weak chopping around sideways 20 ma curling down so be careful with this one if you're trying to buy the dip just don't load the house just expect you know if it comes back down you can maybe buy more but if we start breaking these low pivots fill the gap down here come in this these Gap fills these Gap Windows we're going to the 200 Ma and possibly lower so be careful with that one weekly Tesla same thing caught the uh 20 ma great area for a bounce filled the Gap I thought we'd go at least to 300 maybe pierce it never did holding up we did close above the 20 so we're back above all the moving averages on this one but we're still below this big trend line did not close above it so let's see again down big red bar too down sideways if it consolidates in this lower range for the next couple weeks and the earnings that is setting up for lower prices again earnings 50-50 shot could go up or down so Bulls looking okay kind of chopping around just tighten the stop don't get burned on earnings if it pops on earnings I would trail that stop get out let this thing pull back in the next couple of months with the market and then Reby it you'll get another buy to dip uh opportunity on all these stocks but if you're in a trade from say down here at 180 and you're at 400 you're not taking profits you got to take profits guys so anyways weekly chart closes this one's not bad overall everything isn't bad uh light volume uh continued on throughout the week everything held up what else would you expect all right guys again like the video sign up at my website come down here subscribe to YouTube I really do appreciate you stopping by hopefully I'm help and so many Traders out there have a great uh weekend God bless see you on the charts
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