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NVIDIA·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 차트를 기술적 분석하는 주말 영상이다. 결론: 전반적으로 개별 종목은 시장(SPY) 흐름에 따라 움직이는 '시장 종속 거래' 국면이며, 하락 쪽에 무게가 실린다. 엔비디아: 실적 발표(11/15 전후)를 앞두고 방향성 불확실. 주가 약세 시 114달러 부근까지 하락 가능성을 언급하고, 상승 시 250달러 부근 저항을 주시하라고 함. AMD: 주간 차트상 장대음봉이 이어져 하락 추세로 판단. 과거 9달러에서 34달러까지 급등 후 조정이 나오고 있으며, 15달러, 10달러 하향 가능성을 제시. 현재 포지션은 없음. 테슬라: 주간 차트에서 350~390달러 저항대가 반복적으로 막히고 있어 단기 상승 제한 관측. 320달러가 1차 지지, 300달러 등 하방 시나리오 언급. 실적과 신차 모멘텀은 긍정적이나 저항 돌파 여부 주시. 마이크론: 일봉상 갭 메우기 후 반등 시도 중이나 주간 추세는 하락. 37.5달러 지지 이탈 시 34달러, 27~25달러까지 하락 가능성을 제시. 출연자 전망: 시장 전체(SPY) 거래량과 지수 흐름이 개별 종목을 좌우하며, 연말 휴일 시즌의 변수에 주의하라고 강조함.
다듬은 글
hello traders China stock book e-com NVIDIA daily chart 32 cents down a little bit down after hours 10 million on the day and point 1 6 % read so pretty flat day we did fill the gap down here at the 202 94 area and the 203 even number as well was good support today me on this one really didn't go anywhere intraday action you know little get down a little bit brought it right back up a little bit choppy action didn't make a new low popped it up and then held it above the moving averages on the 10 minutes so now you know pretty much just a chop day and fill the gap day and then hold it strong next week as earnings I believe on the 15th and options X as well so this will be an interesting one to watch if it pops watch for the 250 area up in here if it drops you know we're probably let's go to the weekly chart you know I'm looking at this 150 area down in here you have a gap fill here you have a little bit of a gap fill down in there gas fill around 164 we have a good pivot here to around the 175 you know on earnings guys this thing could fly right back up this thing and drop like a rock and hit that I don't think 114 but my target on the weekly for a lot of these stocks and they're coming knife really close lately is the 114 area guys you know everyone's laughing but monthly chart timeframe on this is still a high-flyer it's still setting up for lower prices if this one pops though and if you're not short short it if you are long this one and this one pops take some profits guys you know this one had a hell of a run I mean look at this thing even from 2016 guys straight up so you got to really watch for that when you get some technical damage like this that usually leads to lower prices even if we get a short-term retrace that will leave to the next drop its spy and everything else goes this one's gonna be lights out AMD alright and again Nvidia going into earnings 5050 up or down guys so alright so AMD guys so this one's getting a little bit of a beat down from the highs over here at 34 33 area comes back down holds the 200ma guys the dot was going a little bit lower here almost hit the gap feel I like this gap fill here just missed it around the 16 dollar area got the nice bounce up it is stalling around the six are the 500 retrace right here and the 20 ma riches right at around 21 96 so nice little bounce with the markets everything's a market trade guys spy iawn bounce for the last six seven days what a AMD to bounce what it uh Nvidia do bounce everything's a market trade markets continue to go lower their spy this will continue to go lower very simple guys but it is holding this area right around the $20 that's the one to watch with AMD and NVIDIA going off so this it might affect this one a little bit more let's go to the weekly you know and this one was up a little bit on the day just like in Nvidia 85 million and then 0.80% down on the day so it was okay guys but look at this weekly chart look at that down you got these big long gated red bars this usually leads to lower prices you'll get the short-term retrace get everybody on board like they did here and then they're gonna slap them in their face again I still think this could be right back down to a nine dollar stock guys this was a great rally BB Bulls didn't take any money off the table then that's your deal so um you know from 9 to 34 and you're not taking profit somewhere and now it's a 20 well most likely you'll take him at 20 and be like Oh Lou so go 200 percent no you said taking them at 30 so we talked about this area to you go to the monthly chart AMD look at that I mean you can't make this stuff up guys and if you took this retrace up a little higher this was the seven 500 retrace up in here too so that was the area to it's a short period you know and it came right back down when you got our stock that goes 9 to 34 too far too fast guys just like this one here it goes a dollar or a dollar what was a dollar or two bucks 2:15 you're gonna pull back you went pull back the ten then I went the 15 then you pull back the nine and a pound stop I mean this this was great trading and then finally it just took off you know just a manufacturer short squeeze guys gets everybody on board all the Bulls especially they're buying at 25 26 27 30 its AMD oh my gosh this is the next this is the stock of the year and then slam and then they get the short term retrace right now I'm looking at 15 and then I'm looking at 10 bucks again and that's the monthly chart monthly chart will take a little more time but we'll see you know it's got to get back above the 20 on the weekly timeframe for get back above the 20 or the I don't know 20 to 50 area the maybe higher prices then we were looking around 25 or so to see what we do on this I do not have a position I was short getting slammed came back in took my money and ran guys you know I I think we ended up getting about five bucks on this trade so I'll take five bucks on this trade all day long no position at this point guys waiting for a good retrace or waiting for a good fall so I could buy the dip or actually short the rip we'll see which way this goes but right now just kind of chopping around in the middle of the range 50% retrace from this load of that high really nothing to do guys it could go up it could go down but right now down a little bit of a retrace that's telling me a possible set up two more downside pressure mark itself it's gonna go down we're going into the holiday season guys so that's gonna be a wild card watch a volume on the overall markets if the volume lightens up on the spy then will most likely start grinding higher so I still like the gap fill around 23 and then you know around the 25 26 area some good resistance to so watch for this one guys nothing to do for me if you were shortened from the 30-something area you should be out of this thing and well now let's see if this thing can give us some direction we got a nice bounce like I said but we'll see if that leads to more selling Tesla Tesla just keeps grinding guys right here we talked about this when it was back to see if it chops around shops around and this goes up comes back in goes up comes back in we'll see what happens here we have the 20 crossing over the 200ma that could possibly be holding this up and we did fill the gap at 347 60 self and we're holding the 7500 retrace as well up here so a little bit of a little bit of a topping tail nothing serious but we'll see what this gives us next week it has been grinding on earnings and you know everything's great an eland must step down they brought a new board member in and all this other stuff the new the new truck the new pickup truck you know everything else they could possibly throw out at this and it's too bad Elin can't tweet anymore I mean really you know give the hey you better not short my stock routine so but it was 89 cents down on Friday with five million shares traded 0.25% so pretty much flat on the day nothing special but holding this area up here and above all the moving averages in a stronger stance so you had the earnings and you have the cult behind the stock so they're holding this thing up right now weekly chart though I mean you can see it every time we go up they stall it out and then go straight back down this is one of those where a hundred point moves up and down are pretty regular right now great resistance up here guys even though we're above the mas and a strong stance we have a long candle going up this is the area guys where every time we get up in here it stalls out and then click and then straight back down so next one will be 363 75 and of course the highs here around the 387 390 area watch for that for resistance if this comes down 320 will be the first one actually right we're in round yeah right around 320 or so then the moving average is and of course the 300 even number and then you know you have 280 etc etc so right now they're in the driver's seat the bowls you know nothing really to do here let's see what we get next week on in the options X we had a nice couple weeks up usually two weeks up one week down three weeks up one week down this one you know you can see you can see what's going on here guys even bad even back here on Tesla same thing hundred point moves up and down guys pretty incredible trading stock I love this as a trading trading stock guys just have to go light no no real big positions where you can handle them because Tesla could go up your face and when it does it massively does so right now 7500 retrace I'm gonna have to watch that it's got to get above the 350 area and stay and then possibly higher prices again if the markets pull back this by the IWM this will pull back with the market so and so will everything else so beware that everything is a market trade but we are going into Thanksgiving and that could possibly lead us to higher prices on Tesla it's the wild-card guys and then mu mu same thing I don't know when they have earnings I think they're still coming up I'm not really sure but you know now looking at the earnings let's go to the daily chart we were a dollar 33 down on the day a little bit down after hours what was the 26 million shares traded at three point two nine percent read on the day like a lot of stocks on Friday we went up kind of chopped around markets went down everything seems to go down everything goes up seems to be grinding up so when this one pushed up you know what I'm going to move all that jazz I just want to see so we had this we had this lower and that was holding I'm gonna pull it out a little bit more and then you had that gaff fill that was huge right there guys I mean that that you almost had to buy it I was waiting for the markets if the markets went down lower this would have went lower so we had the retrace here if you take this low even go to this high here short term or short term retrace where in the 75 oh right at the 4139 area which gets rejected comes right back in almost holds the 20 ma guy so this is up this is sideways here's a little bit of a micro bullish pattern but look at the trend on this guy's the trend is going lower guys if it does pop on earnings I'm not sure if this one had earnings if it does pop on earnings these are the areas you want it and you want you got to get past the 43 and then fill this gap at 45 and then try to get past these numbers and head towards the 200 ma if it gets to the 50 area gap fill gap fill up at 52 I like this area around the 5354 I will be shortened this again of course I got to see how it moves up into this area to take the short this could be the next area around 58 again no we are in the lower range we're below the mas it's a little bit weak mark you know this got a bounce with the markets that's typical everything's a market trade right now markets go up these will go up markets go down these will go down guys so right now it's in a weak stance you know we were short we shorted here we shorted there I think we shorted over here you know then it pretty much every retrace on this one you're shorting that's that's pretty much how it's working weekly chart same thing or below the mas trying to hold this pivot right here this is key 3756 if that gives out then the next pivot will be the 34 weekly chart 200ma guys look at that gap fill right around 27 bucks 26 94 and then this will be the area this is the weekly 200 so if this does fall it will come through and then maybe maybe even 25 bucks somewhere down in here we have to see how this one goes but guys they got everybody in up here EMU it's got to go higher and then when they did the retrace this this is like the get up get get most people on board oh man then when it goes up again they start hyping it again again then everyone else buys up and here guys and then they just get them you know these are all the bag holders up here the smart ones took the money and ran because we had the retrace they got back to break-even then they took the retrace so they brought it retraced got everybody on board and then boom slammed him hard so we're below the 20 and the 50 ma a little bit weak stance on the weekly or we're still above the 200 so it's okay but now we're down sideways chopping up and down so we got to watch for that guys everything's a market trade right now if the market the spine and everything moves lower these will move lower bottom line if you're trying to pick off the oh by the dip mentality good luck with that if the market start to sell then you better step aside if the markets stay green for the next couple of months these could start you know start to move higher but again keep an eye on volume on the spy keep an eye on the indexes that will drive these markets either way guys coming into options X next week and Vidia earnings and some other earnings as well you got to keep an eye on some of that stuff especially the Nvidia if that thing falls on earnings that could start dragging these markets down to lower prices so but again going to MU still in the lower range still just chopping around up and down let's see what it gives us next week guys going into options X we are holding the 3756 area and that 3435 area too but if these these crack we're going to 2871 and we're filling this gap down here around 28 bucks so a price if this has good earnings if it gosh I got a guy got to see you know you're looking at the 50 and then this this area is really good right in here 54 bucks that goes through then you're looking at this around the 58 I don't know if it'll get higher than that I mean maybe but you got a lot of overhead resistance and you have a lot of people who got stuck up in here so if this thing does make it back up into this area a lot of these people will be like get me out of this thing I'm done and some of the you know the pigs they'll be hold on it's got to go higher now and then we'll go to here they'll keep holding and that will be the next area we're at bombs so let's go to back to the daily yeah so just chopping around not a bad bullish pattern here micro bull but it's or yeah micro bull macro bear because you look at the trend now every retrace they're selling into it so just be careful with everything out there guys watch the spy watch the IWM and the queues and all that they start going lower that will move everything lower and that's the period guys everything's a market trade alright guys really appreciate it don't forget to like the video and all that good stuff and if you want to ask any questions about stock book EECOM send me an email at stock bookie at gmail.com ones charts
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