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결론: 영상은 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 등 주요 기술주가 하락 추세이며 추가 하락 가능성이 크다는 기술적 관점을 제시함. 시장 전반: 나스닥·SPY가 빠지면 개별 종목도 함께 빠지는 시장 장세이며, 지수가 반등해야 종목도 반등할 것이라는 입장. 엔비디아: 일봉 200 이평선·200달러 지지선 아래로 이탈 시 추가 하락 가능성을 언급. 월봉 1차 목표가 202.61달러는 이미 도달, 다음 목표는 106달러 부근, 이후 120~140달러 및 50 이평선 부근을 제시. 1~3개월 단기로 추가 하락 시나리오 제시, 저점 매수는 150달러 부근 고려. AMD: 40달러 이상 급등 후 반락 구간으로 보며, 30~34달러 저항(대형 저항대)과 피보나치 되돌림 관점에서 하락 위험 강조. 어닝 전후 변동성 주의. 테슬라: 주요 저항(327, 347달러 갭 및 340~350달러 구간) 부근에서 정체, 350달러 부근 숏 관점 언급, 상승 시 370달러·420달러 이중천장 가능성 언급. 뉴스(FBI 조사 등)에 따른 큰 변동성 경고, 수익 실현 및 트레일링 스탑 권고. 마이크론: 주간·일간 약세 신호, 22~28달러 지지 구간 하향 돌파 시 추가 하락 가능성 언급. 캔들상 반등 가능성도 열어둠. 리스크 관리: 단일 종목 비중은 계좌의 10% 이내(옵션은 3%), 분할 접근 권고. 최종 판단은 시장 흐름에 따라 달라짐. 출연자 전망: 전반적 약세 전망(추가 하락 가능성 우세), 다만 지지 구간에서 반등 가능성도 병행 언급.
다듬은 글
hello traders China stock boog'd nvidia daily chart 16 million on the day nine point five three down and what was it down four point five nine percent not read on the day a little bit bounce after hours but this thing's been getting the beat down guys two hundred even number support we also filled the gap and another gap here on this red candle so two gap fills filled two hundred even number a little bit of a doji and some pretty good volume see if we get the reversal next week if the markets continue to dump this one will continue to dump as well other than going into earnings guys we had good support here after this you know push up retrace back to the twenty then another push up stall out again push it up bring it back down so right here in this area even around a two hundred even number even pretty much from two sixteen down to the one eighty area you have pretty good support in here even the 208 fifty from the 7500 retrace from this low pivot to that high pivot self when you start getting long candles like this on the weekly this will most likely lead to lower prices I'd still have them 1/12 price target on here and I'm gonna stick with that guy's monthly chart same thing first price target was 202 61 which we hit next one will be the 106 or wherever the 50 mas 50 I may recur LUP it might even be around 140 120 or so but right in here good support I will be buying the dip in here and possibly right here to around the 150 but first area hit is the 220 especially on the monthly chart look at this high flyer though guys and this if this clicks over it can easily look at this bar right here we get one more bar like that we will be right down here six stocks shouldn't move straight up like this usually it's led to staircase up elevator down so be careful with this name especially if you're trying to buy the dip 50/50 shot on earnings should it bounce possibly if it hasn't even okay earnings this one should bounce if it bounces it will be led to more selling so we'll be looking for areas to go short on in video just be careful with everything right now it's a market trade guys spy goes down everything's going down spy goes up everything's going up pretty simple guys AMD getting the beat down guys this one you know going to 40 oh my gosh this is the best stock ever you got to think about this one guys and this thing was rally I'm gonna go right to the monthly right now same thing staircase up elevator down coming off of a great base when we took this move up you know $9 was almost a low 908 or what have you and boom goes to 34 guys 9 to 34 way too fast it has to have a breather guys and here's our breather also you come up into this area look at this great area great trendline resistance going up you also have if you take a fib from the lows to the last recent highs you have this 7 500 retrace the big trendline 30 even number you know even number 32 33 34 gosh just this is like a brick wall up here as soon as that hits it guys goes up stalls out a little bit gets everybody in CNBC's hyping it getting hungry oh man it's AMD here's the time you got to get in and this is what these guys do everybody's loading up here smart money guys dump it dumb money oh my gosh I gotta get in Nvidia even above 20 it's like yeah it had a nice base here shot up a look at that right back down so 20 are the 200 ma on the daily this is what's trying to hold we had to hit some great support right here when we hit this retrace back down came back up consolidated took off consolidated took off like a bat out of hell guys is when they're upgrading it talking about it oh my gosh hyping it and then boom gets everybody buying comes right back down by the dip by the dip oh by the dip by the dip and then they start just taking the bulls out one at a time trying to hold the six one eight next area is to 1535 you also have a gap fill here right around 1613 again this is a market trade markets go lower this will go lower and Vidya goes lower this will go lower just the way it is I'll be looking at this area around ten bucks again to buy possibly this one could go lower guys let's go to the weekly real quick we had great volume today 119 million down a dollar 64 or 8.5 one percent look at the weekly - you get weekly bars like this guys this will be led with lower prices 200ma has always been my target for a long long time we never made it here they pushed it up this time I think we could possibly hit it so just be careful with this one guys I have no position I was short we just covered this one after the the earnings call when we dropped and got out of it but there's that there's that trend line right here guys right at 30 that would have been the last area even if you had it at 30 even 25 when stocks move straight up like this they come straight down it's just a matter of time look at that monthly to guys but you know 6 1 8 um gosh I still think 20ma here 1453 right in the 15 dollar area you have the support from this area hitting these then you have support from the 20 ma the 75 will retrace if that gives out to do dude that gives out guys we're going straight back down the 9 bucks gosh they got everyone on got taken everybody out just like just like these guys got everyone on got everyone out you got to think this guy who bought here in 2001 bought in here 2001 but up here in 2005 6 they got their money back their breakeven 10 10 12 years later they're out guys I'm done with this trade lucky to get the back to break-even we held and held and held it was AMD and they just took them to the house they're going to the same thing here guys high lower high lower high I mean you know there is no trend for this but coming off the bullish space flying up and they're bringing it right back down but this is one of the last ones all the other big names guys were at the highs this one was lagging and lagging so what's the institutional's players will do this one hasn't gone up oh my gosh apples tripled Amazon's tripled be a's tripled Tesla's tripled Google Facebook Nvidia let's take the turds up now this one goes everybody's waiting oh this is gonna be a major short squeeze it does but all the other Bulls don't take profits then they then they start upgrading it to 40 to 50 ohm and it's gonna go and then BOOM this is what they do to you now you're stuck now thinking oh I'm gonna just buy the dip cuz buy the dip was working forever if right and everything next thing you know straight back down so guys just be careful with this name um if you would have you know by around nine ten bucks guys just sold around thirty ten dollars to thirty you're not stumping geez gotta take some money off the table guys in video be careful supports coming up mark itself this one's going lower market stays buoyant and starts to grind higher then this one should move higher unbelievable though guys unbelievable alright guys so let's get into Tesla so Tesla Friday starts coming out with some some news of course you know this this one is just incredible guys for me I just stay away from it but technically we just hit a gap Phil here we just passed you know a bunch of great resistance here great great double top right in here 327 great gap Phil we have another gap fill at 347 60 but we did hit the seventh 5o retrace and we filled the gap and some news came out on Friday about you know the FBI or some stuff like that now we moved oh look at this 248 to 340 almost another hundred point move what does this stock like do move a hundred points hunter points up hunter points down honor points up hundred point doubt this could go up on the earnings news which was supposedly pretty good but now they're looking into the Tesla numbers I tried to not watch this stuff guys but it's hard when it's you know in front page news on CNBC but just be careful with this name we had another great run up all on news again you know never fails but we're getting great resistance up here on Tesla we were up six dollars twenty seven million shares traded or five percent up on Friday you know buy the dip mentality guys so again here's my level let's see here I'm gonna bring it down a little bit more so from this low to this high we have the 7500 retrace right here so that's the big retrace for me look at all this overhead resistance as well coming up look at all this chopped guys this is what Tesla does I do want to take this level here though I want to put the fib down from this level to this high over here yeah six one eight seven five so it could go to 350 guys it could go one more leg up that would be even a better area to short if you wanted to short this one but the three thirty to fifty three is the six one eight and the seven five-oh coming from this low pivot to that high pivot Fibonacci level so we have good resistance up here but I do like the 350 area as well so we'll see if this one can keep pushing up or lead us to lower prices guys man this thing shot up through a lot of key resistance guys you know they had to get this thing up on nice volume too why not on earnings so for me I would just let's see if we get up a little bit higher or does this thing pullback on the news again it was down a little bit after hours on the FBI probe or whatever it is but technically guys right in the kind of the middle of the range in here I mean we're in the six at six one eight here 500 retraces around three 1772 so and for me just need a little more um a little more evidence especially on the daily we are above the moving averages again so it's in a stronger position but we did fill a major gap but we still have one up here at the 350 area so keep an eye on this one if you're going long and you're long from down here from 250 start start trailing the stop don't don't turn this trade and comes right back down and goes lower if it Keith continues going up just trail it up it's 350 in this area here watch it you know see if it goes we still have another gap fill up here to around 370 cell but Tesla guys I mean look at look at this action hundred down 50 up 70 down hundred up verse 90 up so just be careful in this one going up on news again of course but technically we're in some good area of resistance so just be careful we're gonna wait on pattern and see what it gives us if we get a good reversal candle straight down watch out for lower prices if this thing continues grinding then you're looking at the 350 and the 370 and then possibly double top maybe 420 even called it a couple months ago so and then you know who knows what comes out on Monday guys maybe another probe they found out he's lying oh my gosh and we're going straight back down so just take profits on this one this one's a great trading vehicle you get a hundred points up down take the money let it settle down do it again rinse and repeat guys on Tesla and then mu I did the video I don't know laughs I think no I didn't think we did the weekend update and I was telling everybody lower prices to come and look at this thing just just just keeps getting the beat down next huge area is through 34 22 we barely touched it on Friday now we have a little bit of a doji candle on some decent volume one two three four five six seven eight days down with the doji we could possibly get a bounce I think earnings still far away on this one so just be real careful markets are getting a beat-down if we do if we do actually fill this gap then maybe the bounce I still think we're going a little bit lower on this one we still have a couple gaps around 33 we have a little bit of a pivot right here at 31 81 and just just getting the beat down we were short here short here short here we've ensured it on this pop here we're out of our positions though I wish we would have held but weekly charts showing me 2865 sorry guys you got a gap Phil here you got the 200 ma you got some pretty good selling pressure you got the 20 and the 50 curling down in the price I mean if it does not get a bounce here's their pivot here to around 30 417 and here's another gap Phil here around the 32 and I mean actually that's not bad either 32 47 but if we get this candle one more candle like this on a weekly basis we'll be right here so for me wait patiently if you're long don't buy that just hold tight don't load the don't load the boat guys no more than 10% position of your total portfolio and any trade that you do guys anything so if you have a hundred thousand dollar account your max position in this trade should be 10 grand if you're playing options 3 percent so it should be 3 percent of your total portfolio which would be 3 grand just go slow and steady guys you're buying the day I mean you bought the dip on this one so many times and it just goes up up up up up up and now you buy the dip every retrace has led to more selling that's what this market is doing to everybody again it's all in index trade or a market rates by iawn Q's dia I whitey goes up everything goes up or grinds up unless you have earnings and things come down but if everything starts to go down on those indexes most likely you're gonna get some more downward pressure so technically you're running into some pretty good support around this area the $34 area next one will be around 30 to 40 and then double bottom down in here around the 2797 or the 26 83 with the 200 ma it is the weekly chart how many this one did have four million on the day though one point three eight percent down or three eight down three dat 0.75 percent in the red so this one's looking ugly guys just be careful with it especially if you're trying to go long monthly chart but look at that monthlies next week same thing you know target look at that 29 box guys really if everything starts rolling over $16 right here gosh I kind of like that too all right guys that's gonna be it for today look at that that's your line in the sand here if it goes down guys that's a that's a good area to 3650 so it could bounce right here honestly but again mark itself it's going right to this twenty twenty-nine twenty-eight dollar area you start getting candles like this guys man look at that though great chart goes right back up in the hair straight back down did it here two straight back up straight back down consolidates down retrace down goes up retrace is down shoots up retrace is down this is gosh look at this though well we'll keep an eye on this one if you're trying to go long just be careful and anything guys markets are a little bit crazy right now come to our live sessions we're doing them when you become a subscriber on YouTube or a paid member at stock bookie comm you'll start getting the live streams and we've been catching some really good trades guys on our live stream so come check us out subscribe like our videos all that good stuff and let's see if we can try to figure out where these markets going this week
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