저자: StockBookie · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아는 실적 발표 전 50/50 확률로 상방·하방 모두 열려 있고, 기술적으로는 강세 유지 중이나 저항 돌파 여부를 지켜봐야 한다. 엔비디아: 165~168.5 저항 위에서 강세 흐름이며 다음 목표는 170~180, 이후 200 언급. 단 실적이 50/50이라 보호적 매매를 권고. 하락 시 106 갭 메우기 가능성 언급. AMD: 전일 대비 2.88% 상승, 강한 흐름이나 저항(149 부근) 존재. 상방 시 155, 162, 178, 약 200 언급. 하락 시 지지 50~52(200일선 부근), 983 더블바텀 언급. 실적 역시 50/50. 테슬라: 50일·20일선 아래의 약세 흐름, 추세선과 갭 메우기 후 저항에 막힘. 380 근처 전고점 구간 언급. 실적이 상방 400 또는 하방 260 가능성을 좌우하며, 골드만삭스 목표가 180 언급하며 11월 저점 수준 가능성 제기. 시장 전반: S&P500(SPY)이 상승하면 개별 종목도 동반 상승하는 구조로 봄. 다음 주 인플레이션 지표 발표 가능성 언급. 출연자는 트럼프 트레이드 등 기대감에 따른 상승을 의심하는 차트 중심 관점을 보임.
다듬은 글
time frame o.com go to my websit 28 million on the day 4.25% up or $6.63 bulls are in charge back above the ma we do recover that confirmed boom with some nice follow through got some volume two like we talked about high pivot resistance got were there we did close a little bit above it today 165 and then 16850 will be your next levels if it continues up will we get a pause day possibly let's see what the markets do if the markets pause tomorrow maybe a little bit down off this rally then this thing will probably just chop around sideways and possibly wait into earnings now earnings a 50/50 shot guys so be careful with that if you have a great trade here from down in this area don't turn a great trade into a mediocre trade and have this thing come down you never know guys it's 50/50 so just just protect the trades if you're long and if you're long and it goes up enjoy the ride take something off the table these stocks will come in eventually get another you know get another buy the dip mentality and buy back in and ride it back up guys just keep doing the same thing goes up retraces goes up I do want to show you one pattern though if you go back in time this is the pattern I'm looking at right here look at that so it came back in retraced to the highs and then it pulled back does it do the same thing nice run up had a little retrace here but now we came down re retrace back to the highs does it come here touch double top and then go just like here or if it bust through then I'm thinking 170 180 earnings 200 for this one for all I know on the opposite side if you're bearish then you want to get back below this pivot get back below the Mas this is a big one for this one guys and then I think you'll go end up here the Gap window possibly Gap fill down in this area around 106 but earnings can take us down there earnings can take us straight up either way it's a 50/50 shot all right guys let's go into AMD so AMD uh 2.8 uh 88% on a day 40 cents up another one guys look what it did so we talked about this Gap we talked about the blue line or the 750 retrace we said hey watch out for the Gap up and continue going they don't want to deal with this this is big resistance so instead of dealing with it they Gap it up over it the whole Market's gapped up over everything the Spy everything guys so everything bounced up it did you know it wasn't that great not as good as Nvidia but it did get above that area did close above the uh was it the uh where's the last last last last 1429 so it did close above 14 so a good showing on the day nice follow through but now we're still above this moving averages so a strong stance but a little bit stretched but now do we go sideways cuz we went up pretty good and you got to remember someone who bought down here at 1216 you got a $2 move some guys you know some guys and girls are taking some profits saying thank you very much we're back at almost back into this high range of the channel guys so if if it hits here again it's been hitting it this will be the one two 3 fourth time here going up but you also have good uh resistance here at 1499 as well uh there's another Gap fill yeah 149 so $15 another Gap fill right in that area still got to get the high the you know above these pivots high around 1475 as well but guys what a nice run bullish stance above the Mas uh let's wait for pattern let's see what happens if it continues up watch for this area then the $15 if it can't get past that probably pull back and come down but the same thing coming up Ear earnings report this thing can fly this thing can dive so 50/50 shot on earnings if it does go up you're looking at 1555 1621 1778 possibly 20 bucks that will be the next area we'll look at some more areas if it does start popping up through there um if it comes down you got great support 5020 or 50 20 200 Ma you got a couple gaps to fill then ultimately double bottom at 983 so watch for that in the top of the channel here if we start sliding again just watch out for area support and we'll see how this thing sets up to possibly go lower just like this he had a great pullback and then boom slingshot now does it come back and then maybe another move or does it come back to the Bottom now so we've been making these one two three moves and we'll see what happens I mean over and over we're still in the channel that's the big one are we're going to bust up we're going to bust down right now it's look like it's trying to get for the all-time highs and possibly higher again guys earnings be careful volume was a little bit better than yesterday so that's picking up a little bit that's a good sign let's see uh Tesla but just still be careful with these guys you know monthly charts and we'll go we we'll go over the weeklys on uh Friday but you still got to watch out for this stuff so Tesla guys volume was okay little bit drying up from those sell candles I mean this thing this thing was selling guys on news of course but uh back below the 50 and the 20 a little bit of weak stance going down and sideways we did run into this trend line and the Gap fill today we or yesterday we did fill the Gap and we did close above it but we can't get above this line right now so let's see if we start chopping around I want to see I'm going to put a smaller retrace on this one just for the time B so let's see if this thing comes up oops let's see if it comes up into this area here yeah I just want to say Okay so we're almost 382 618 yeah this will be a big area too around 367 again no earnings coming up on this one let's see if we stay down here and chop if we stay in the lower range then this one could be possibly setting up for the 261 area we still have some support coming down 300 pivot gap down here but if it stays down down here and keeps setting up this 20 ma curls down earnings can save it this thing could go to 400 earnings this thing can drop to 260 or maybe the Goldman Sachs guy at 180 but check this out though the 180 price Target he's saying pretty much back to the November lows and that's what I keep saying with all these equities so it does it make it there I don't know the Trump trade I I think we're floating up on hopes and dreams and the Trump trade it was a reason to make these markets go one more time but that's me we'll see where it goes I'm a chart guy really you know to to throw that out there eh but we did fill the Gap right here that's why we bounced up for a couple days I mean a chop chop it finally fell into the Gap fill that's where it got it I thought I thought for sure we'd fill the Gap and maybe come to this pivot but they I you know they didn't want it reason why guys though check this out so on the weekly weekly 20 ma8 that's more support here so he had a great area for a bounce reason why it helped it spy was green if the Spy was red though this one had would have had probably a little more troubles but as long as the Spy is going up everything's moving up this will catch a bit off these big support levels on the weekly chart as well but daily you know a little bit beat down a little bit oversold you get by the dippers in this one that's why it's pushing up let's see what the Spy brings us Thursday Friday if it's pretty much quiet these can possibly move up higher these three if the market start to sell a little bit you'll probably get a pause there or these will come down a little bit as well that's usually what it's going to be a market trade guys spy stays green everything will stay buoyant unless they get news or earnings or something like that spy goes red you'll get a little bit of selling of course so you're looking at the spy let's see what the volume is tomorrow let's try to get a handle on these markets and uh see what happens in the next couple days so I think I don't know if more lip service out of yell in this week but I think she does come out next week with some inflation numbers and stuff like that so all right guys um hope you're having a good night God bless see you on the charts
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