저자: Jon · 외국인
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2017년 12월 말 기술적 분석 영상으로, 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라의 단기 차트 흐름과 저항·지지 구간을 짚고 방향성을 판단한다. 엔비디아: 하루 2달러(1.1%) 상승 마감. 200~201.54 저항과 50일선 돌파가 관건이며, 19154 지지 및 하단 추세선 유지 시 강세 시나리오 유효. 횡보 시 박스권 흐름 예상. 엔비디아는 연말 거래량이 얇은 상황에서 완만한 상승을 기대하는 분위기이며, 209.92 갭 메우기 가능성을 언급한다. AMD: 20일선 위를 지키고 있으나 50일·200일선 아래라 약세 구조. 과거 하락 후 반등은 갭 메우기 성격이며, 시장 조정 시 추가 하락 가능성을 본다. AMD는 중기적으로 아직 하방 가능성을 열어둔 입장이다. 테슬라: 주간 차트상 314 부근이 핵심 지지. 이 지지가 깨지면 300, 295, 250 부근까지 조정을 예상하며, 지지 유지 시 370~380대 재시도 가능성을 열어둔다. 테슬라는 뉴스에 따른 변동성이 크고 단기 약세 흐름이라는 판단이다. 전반적 리스크: 거래량 부족과 연말 휴장 주간, 시장 전체 조정 여부가 세 종목 모두의 변수. 손절선을 타이트하게 잡을 것을 권고.
다듬은 글
hello traders Jon you're in video we had eight point eight million shares traded on day one point eleven percent up or two dollars and seventeen cents green let's go to the ten minute chart to see some intraday action and pretty much tested this little pivot down in here great consolidation here before it launched on this part they gapped it down into the same area pretty much shot up the rest of the day fill the gap and kept going and going and going we are running in a little bit of resistance up in this area we'll see how fit they get this thing up tomorrow to just go right past the resistance and keep this thing going next big area will be the 201 54 and the $200 area - or let's see yeah 199 97 or this big red bar here when it started breaking down overall though down sideways in a bearish manner but if you're bullish as long as it's holding this 19154 area and this bottom trendline here where it's connecting this low this low and into here as long as it's holding this it should be alright but is this a head-fake don't really know but it is a slight micro bullish pattern as well but the bottom line it's got to get over the 198o to the 200 and then the 50 ma here right at 201 54 until then let's see if it chops around or keeps going or with the light volume and the four day trading week will this thing just kind of grind higher into this area so tomorrow Thursday and Friday will tell a little bit more of the story and plus the weekly chart - and see where that closes again though you are above the 20 now so it's a little bit more a bullish stance need to get above the 50 and then possibly higher prices to come so let's watch for this one in the next couple days and see what happens with this but a nice push up today you know 1% up it wasn't like you know anything huge but it did get above the two of the 20 ma and it is holding these the gap fill and this lower trendline so that's something to watch bears you just got just this thing's just got to stay in this area here and keep chopping around as long as it's inside this bar you're okay and just tighten the stops just in case if this thing to start the pop pick it's above the 201 54 I would expect this thing to probably fill this gap in probably 209 92 remember invidious stock of the year all they gotta do is start hyping it up the Bulls will come about and just keep buying this thing at the highs and possibly shoving this thing up so keep an eye on that keep an eye on the overall markets to if they stay light volume keep chopping around then this thing should start pushing up in video so watch for that let's get to AMD AMD same thing you know this thing tried getting above this bar here this was a big break down bar guys with some volume this is a daily chart we did have what do we have 120 million on the day so that was pretty light for AMD we were down 0.76 percent or down 8 cents on the day so when this thing was popping I'm not sure it was news talked about this bar it's got a closed got to confirm to keep this thing going never heard well it was closed right on this candle never confirmed came right back it is holding the 20 though remember when we were below here this was a great bearish pattern guys look at that they to get out of this bearish pattern they had to pop it up try to get some more bulls on board they got people on board shake him out a little bit and I'm boom bringing it right back remember that when we dipped last week we did fill the gaps so we'll see what happens with this one it is holding the 20ma though so it's okay but still below the 50 in the 200 ma so it's a little bit weak and just been down in this range guys I still think we have lower prices to come especially if the markets sell off but right now they're just making this thing go up remember if you had this thing at 10 this thing pops to 11 that's a 10% move if I was in the straight I'd be done that's it take my 10% and move on so let's see what it gives us on the Friday close in the next couple days if we just kind of chop around sideways do we come back in and retest this low or do we pop up and try to get recapture the 50 ma right now it's not really telling us other than we filled the gap we held here pretty steady let's look at the intraday action so we go today yeah look at that gap ting gap down a little bit came up and just fell asleep so no action this week with the light volume and the holiday week going into the new year so let's keep an eye on that let's see if this continues sideways if it does then it's kind of it's an inside bar pattern bearish and an inside bar bearish pattern again and overall guys like this down sideways down sideways kind of like this yeah we got the pop got everyone on board and dropped it again and dropped it again so is this the same pop dropped it again and then you're gonna drop it again keep an eye on this one guys there's really like I said we're still holding the 20ma still slightly bearish in a bearish setup let's see where this thing goes that come Friday into the close and into the new year it's going to Tesla though Tesla guys just weak overall you know we talked about the 7500 we talked about these breakdown bars a lot of resistance coming up here the big one though was on the weekly I wanted to see the weekly close last week to see if we could get some follow-through we hit the 75 oh this big break down bar just couldn't handle it right back down we're sitting on top of the 50 ma this is actually a little bit of an inside bar bullish pattern as long as this holds 314 38 314 77 this one should be okay we are into some really good support here so this breaks our this gaps down I would expect lower prices to come if this holds for the Bulls this thing should turn around start retracing again you got to get back above the 20 ma you have to stay above the 50 ma and then push higher 6 1 875 oh if you could get above this area here to 3 47 46 347 area and of course 350 360 you get above that then this thing could prop possibly retest these all-time highs but right now guys a little bit weak we're almost engulfing this candle we still have a couple days left this is the weekly chart I want to see if this thing closes down in here around 3:12 or below this big green bar that's a little bit on the weak side and plus we're inside this big red bar that's an inside bar bearish pattern but this is a micro bullish pattern on the weekly so if we start going sideways like this as long as we're not getting below this low of this candle here right around 314 11 should be okay we start to slip tighten those stops logs we could possibly start to go you know to the 300 dollar area 295 we retest these lows and get through there we will be going to the 250 arian right here guys I will be buying with both hands if it gets down one good straight shot to that area you have a trendline you have the 200 ma you have a gap fill with a low pivot where it retested great support Donna man aha I'm hoping guys I'm hoping but for now let's watch this inside bar a weekly pattern we close below that lookout let's see what it gives us in the next week and the weekly close let's go to the daily we're back to the daily great retrace we talked about these mas and we got below today guys as long as it stayed above the moving averages it would be a little bit more of a bullish setup but now we're back below here we got a big green bar here as well let's see what this does in the next couple days I mean this this almost looks like it's setting up for at least a 310 area 311 or the 7500 you got a little bit of a pivot here if it cracks are there then you're definitely going down let's stick a trendline here definitely going down to the 303 75 or in this area here so watch for that guys if you're bullish just tighten the stops if you're bearish tighten the stops too because this thing could you know the mentality 'ln will tweet he'll say something bring it out 1 2 3 4 5 6 hours down if you've bought some puts up here if you're short up they're a great trade just start chiseling some off and don't get burns next thing you know this thing is up 50 bucks on some news or so a tweet or something by him so but right now guys you're back below the mas a little bit weak so in the weekly close as long as we're holding this area in here though it's okay and remember that 314 area on the weekly chart that's the big area support that you need it to hold if you're bullish if that cracks you will be retesting these 303 302 95 292 area here so watch out for Tesla guys you know this was all news and then it faded did we get more news and as long as we're making these higher lows that's okay if we do crack below this one here the 300 and lookout we're possibly gonna test lower prices alright guys that's it for today if you have any comments or questions send me an email at and don't forget to check out my other videos that I post on my YouTube's site or youtube subscription page and don't forget to 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