저자: ChamathPalihapitiya/자막주내용은RonBaron의테슬라발언 · 외국인
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Ron Baron은 테슬라 주가가 10년 내 약 4.5조 달러 시가총액에 도달할 수 있으며 현재 대비 약 57% 상승 여지가 있다고 본다. 테슬라 관련 펀드 보유 및 수익 구조: Baron Capital은 19개 펀드, 약 400억 달러 운용. Baron Partners Fund는 테슬라에 약 60억 달러 투자, Baron Focus Growth Fund는 약 7억 달러 보유. 2014년 투자 이후 펀드 누적 수익이 크며 Partners Fund는 최근 5년 연평균 순수익률 25% 이상. 성장 근거: 2030년 연간 2000만 대 판매 목표, 대당 5만 달러 기준 매출 1조 달러, 영업이익률 약 30%, 영업이익 약 3000억 달러에 15배 적용해 약 4.5조 달러 산출. 로봇택시·FSD 수익은 계산에서 제외되었음. 2023년 전망 근거: 2022년 판매는 약 100만 대 수준이며 목표 달성에는 원가 3만 달러 미만 모델 개발이 필요. 2022년 3분기 인도량 34만 3000대(전년 대비 증가), 매출 210억 달러 이상(약 50% 증가). 주가 상황: 2022년 들어 주가가 약 40~50% 하락했으나 Baron은 하락을 저가 매수 기회로 보며, 금리 인상으로 성장주가 타격을 받았다고 진단. 2024년 말 반등 및 주식 가치 5~10년마다 두 배 전망. 리스크·조건: 목표치 달성은 대규모 판매 확대와 저가 모델 출시 성공에 의존. 머스크 관련 경영 리스크(트위터 인수 등) 언급. 스페이스X 투자 및 기업가치 전망도 함께 언급되었으나 테슬라 주가 직접 예측과는 별개. 출연자 전망: Ron Baron은 테슬라 장기 상승(10년 내 4.5조 달러)을 강하게 전망. 자막 내 추가 발언자 불명확.
다듬은 글
are you aware that billionaire investor Ron Baron predicts a 700 turn on your Tesla stock investment Ron Baron is among the numerous investors who are still optimistic about Tesla's shares despite its recent volatility in the stock market to find out more about this keep watching Baron capitals Ron Baron remains optimistic about Tesla even after the company has dropped by almost 40 so far this year since 2012 the renowned Ron Baron has included Tesla in his Holdings long before the company's shares reached previously unheard of heights for the car sector Baron anticipates that the shares will continue to soar for the next 10 years his fund has already made $6 billion dollars on its initial investment in Tesla the creator of Baron Capital an asset management company committed to generating growth is Ron Baron an American investor and mutual fund manager in a recent CNBC interview Equity investment Solutions according to Baron he anticipates Tesla will generate enormous profits that will eventually raise the company's capitalization to almost $4.5 trillion for Tesla which is presently valued at $670 billion billion to achieve Baron's valuation it would need to rise by 57 from its current levels gold Baron has been a longtime supporter of Tesla having originally invested in the business in 2014 through a combination of his own assets and those of his clients at Baron Capital as of November 2022 the billionaire owns a combined interest in Tesla valued at over 4 Ballers billion dollars furthermore Baron isn't done placing bets on Elon Musk the CEO of Tesla uh we have made a great deal of money with musk even in the middle of the pandemonium caused by his new Twitter Endeavor Baron stated that because Tesla's cost per share is so low roughly $13 the company accounts for about 40 of his Baron's Partners Fund Baron's company manages assets valued at around $40 billion across 19 funds a number of those funds such as the $700 million Baron Focus growth fund and the $6 billion Baron Partners Fund have placed significant bets on Tesla although the two funds have returned 31 and 23% so far this year respectively they still have strong long-term gains due to the uh significant spike in Tesla's stock in 2020 and 2021 over um over the previous five years the baron Partners Fund has generated an average net annualized return of over 25% before holding his investment conference last month Baron told Forbes that Tesla will be the biggest and most profitable Corporation in the world approximately 5,000 investors in media Representatives crowded into the Metropolitan Opera House in New York City for the baron investment conference which brought together Ron Baron and his numerous retired investors uh it was the first time the company had been permitted to have its yearly meeting since 2019 a few CEOs gave talks including Elon Musk of Twitter and Tesla SpaceX who also made an an unexpected appearance and was interviewed by Baron live on stage Baron funds portfolio managers also gave presentations Baron has also shared his positive outlook on Tesla shares in my estimation it will reach 5600 by 2025 and in 8 to 10 years uh we should have reached approximately $4.5 trillion according to Baron musk's recent remarks that Tesla would surpass both apple and Saudi aramco combined in size implying evaluation of more than $4 trillion are accurate at the computed value of Baron's optimistic assessment the entire strategy is based on the assumption that Tesla will sell around 20 million cars annually and dramatically scale its business over the next 10 years in 2022 Tesla expects to sell slightly more than 1 million cars if he produces 20 million automobiles annually at a cost of $50,000 each in 2030 he will have brought in $1 trillion in sales and had an operational profit of about 30% Baron CLA ified saying that you get to 4.5 trillion by multiplying the $300 billion in operating income by 15 times it should be noted that no robots or driverless cars were included in Baron's calculations for auto billes alone Tesla's long-term argument appears to be fairly strong Tesla still maintains a respectable auto business even in the event that FSD is assumed to be here to stay furthermore most people are prepared to wager that Tesla's AI capabilities will increase its addressable Market by a factor of 10 in around 8 to 10 years even without such Tesla's valuation appears to be reasonable according to Tesla they want to sell 20 million cars by 2030 and Ron Baron seems to believe that this is doable to ensure that aim is accomplished Tesla will need to put in a lot of effort and develop a model that costs less than $30,000 as previously noted in a pre-event interview with Forbes at the baron investment conference in November Baron expressed his opinion opinion that Tesla had the potential to surpass all other companies in terms of Revenue and market share worldwide within 10 years in an interview Baron Capital stated that it has 19 funds with a combined asset value of approximately $40 billion many of which have significant investments in Tesla the baron Partners Fund has invested $6 billion in the automaker while the baron focused growth fund has approximately $700 Million worth of Tesla shares in its portfolio although Tesla's shares have dropped by about 50 since the year's beginning the automaker still counts uh about 45% of one of Baron's largest funds right Baron noted that even while the two funds are down roughly 31 and 23% in 2022 respectively they still have significant long-term gains uh moreover the bar in the last five years Partners Fund has returned more than 25 average net annualized return and baron appears to view Tesla's declining stock price as an opport opportunity rather than a turnoff Baron also has experienced with bare markets having started the company with approximately 21 declines on the SP 500 Index 40 years ago a year ago Baron saw great prospects to purchase low today nothing is cheap in fact the opposite is true uh according to Baron grow stocks have been severely impacted by increased interest rates and equities are extremely inexpensive when viewed in that context and the markets are falling and everything is Red Baron acknowledged that it might be difficult at times but that is precisely the moment when his purchase and hold strategy is most crucial his funds which often have relatively low turnover have persisted in making purchases when the time is right only selling when the market conditions shift or the portfolio has to be rebalanced he clarified that despite the chaos the businesses we invest in should profit and expand uh the markets will eventually level off weing continued projecting a rebound by the end end of 2024 and a return to equities doubling every 5 to 10 years roughly where they were in November 2021 according filings baring capital is among the top 20 shareholders of Tesla uh holding 11 of the company's equity in its portfolio most other funds allocate little more than five or six to Tesla despite this Baron recognized that both his funds and Tesla had a difficult he also used the phrase relative uh noting that investors are prepared to be patient and give us some leeway due to our excellent long-term performance and low turnover.
Tesla ball highlighted the business's rapid expansion in terms of sales and production also expressed optimism about the automaker's ability to continue raising its profit margins notably for Q3 2022 Tesla has kept up a notable growth in both vehicle production and deliveries in the quarter that ended on September 30 2022 the EV firm reported 343,000 deliveries a rise from a little over 250 the previous year furthermore Tesla's revenue for the quarter exceeded $21 billion a 50% increase over the same period in the previous year over the past few years Elon musk's privately held rocket company SpaceX has seen active investment from Baron Capital CEO Ron Baron the company has contributed close to $500 million investment rounds in the past including $100 an earlyer this year when SpaceX achieved an evaluation of over $125 billion in May R by more SpaceX whenever it's released Baron stated it has incredible potential according to his prediction the company's expected to achieve a $150 billion valuation in the upcoming investment rant the billionaire investor predicted that the manufacturer of electric cars May generate $1 trillion dollar in sales by 2030 in a 2018 interview with CNBC could be a uh $500 billion a company or a $500 billion business in my opinion that's more likely than not in my opinion the multibillionaire in three years the Buy and Hold investor said the company might be worth $60 billion dollar he continued I give that uh maybe 80% chance even if Tesla shares would plummet by 50% in 2022 Baron continued to believe that his company's position would be profitable in the long run I'd buy more if I could for content about Tesla stocks don't forget to subscribe to this channel
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