저자: Ale'sWorldofStocks진행자 · 외국인
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AMD 주가 급락 이유와 향후 전망을 설명한 영상. 결론: 실적은 시장 예상에 부합했으나 기대치가 높아 주가가 급락했고, 발표자는 장기적으로 회복을 기대하며 추가 매수했다고 밝힘. 실적 발표: 2017년 1분기 실적은 애널리스트 예상치를 충족했지만 크게 상회하지 못했음. 2분기 매출 가이던스는 전년 대비 12% 증가로 기대보다 낮았고, 경영진이 이유에 대한 질문을 회피해 투자자 불안이 커짐. 주가 흐름: 시간외 거래에서 실적 발표 후 급락했고 패닉 매도가 이어졌다고 설명. 당시 주가 약 13달러에서 약 10.4달러로 하락. 발표자 입장: 기존 투자 논리(신규 제품 출시 효과)는 변하지 않았다고 주장하며 하락 후 추가 매수함. 성장 근거: 라이젠 7·5 CPU가 호평받고 판매가 좋으며, 라이젠 3와 모바일 칩도 출시 준비 중이라고 언급. 서버 시장은 성장 중이나 AMD 점유율은 약 1%로 매우 낮아 성장 여력이 크다고 봄. 과거 점유율 약 25%일 때 주가는 약 40달러였음. 향후 제품: 2분기 출시 예정인 서버 CPU(코드명 Naples)와 GPU(코드명 Vega)가 판매를 크게 끌어올릴 것으로 기대. 리스크/조건: 생활자금이 필요한 돈은 주식에 투자하면 안 되며, 필요 없는 돈이라면 제품 출시를 기다려 회복 시 매도할 수 있다고 조언. 닌텐도 보유 수익이 AMD 손실을 상쇄하고 있다고 언급. 발표자는 이 모든 것이 개인 의견이라고 강조. 출연자 전망: 단기 주가보다 신제품 효과로 인한 중장기 회복을 기대함.
다듬은 글
what's up guys welcome to ours world of finance in this quick video we're talking about AMD dropping AMD stock dropped and what's funny is that I just made a video on Sunday so about you know two days ago today's Tuesday and I made a video talking about the two thoughts that I'm invested in the most in May 2017 so the two stocks I'm invested in the most right now and those two stocks are Nintendo and AMD and obviously AMD dropped Nintendo is still doing great and that's my main moneymaker right there that's the cash you know that's my cash cow that's going to be bringing in a lot of money but AMD dropped a lot and basically at the time that I made that video and E stock was that around $13 or so and then today the last time I checked today was at around ten dollars and forty cents something like that so dropped a very very large amount now okay before I get started let me just say this so I'm not telling anybody how to spend their money I'm not telling you could lessen name B or anything like that I never was and in that video I was just explaining why I'm invested in name deep and just give me the reasons why I'm invested in it but so this is this is basically what happened so here's what happened on Sunday I I made on Sunday I made that video the next day on Monday the the stock market is you know closed and during after-hours trading during extended hours trading Andy released their earnings call and in their earnings call uh you know people who investors invested in AMD they were very unhappy with the call and they panicked and they sold and the stock just took a nosedive so why does that happen why did they do that so here's what happened in the earnings call AMD basically said you know that they they met you know all their expectations they basically met all the you know all the expectations from analysts which is good but they really surpass those expectations they didn't do a lot better than those expectations and AMD stock has been up so much lately that everybody was kind of expecting AMD to do even better than analyst expectations which to me doesn't make a whole lot of sense because if you're going to set expectations and you should definitely you should expect not not that you should set expectations and then expect more than those expectations that doesn't really make sense so but that's that's just how the stock market works sometimes is that that's what happens people invest in things investors invest in the stock and they think that they're going to beat analysts numbers that they're going to have much higher numbers and if they do stock continues to go up if they don't you know sometimes people panic and they sell the stock and it goes down so AMD metal met the expectations however their guidance for a quarter - this is a big one so their guidance recorder - for their revenue was only twelve percent year-over-year so what does that mean so basically AMD thinks that in the next quarter so this was quarter one and he thinks that reporter 2 of 2017 that they're going to have a 12 percent revenue increase year over year over quarter - of 2016 ok so which is which is I don't know I mean I think that's good but expectations were that that was going to be a much higher number so they thought that you know they were in investors were expecting a much higher percentage than that and they weren't really sure why that was why it was so low and then when named II tried to answer that they kind of avoided it and they it just it didn't really look that looked that good in the conference call so stocks took a nosedive and they just kept going down and people panicked and because people saw that the stock was going down so they panicked and then they sold and then it just snowballs will people just panic and they sell and it's no look and I'm not saying that it's bad if you sold it if you sold your nd stock that's probably fine I'm not saying you did anything wrong I'm just saying that that's that that's what happens people it snowballs and stock goes down okay so what did I do about this so I actually bought more Andy stock I know I'm an idiot I shouldn't have done it but I still have the same belief of AMD that I had before this didn't really change anything they met the expectations that I had I was expecting what analysts were expecting they met those expectations I think that they still have so much room to grow this was only quarter one they barely started releasing their new products they they mean time to transition and that's basically what they said in the in their earnings call is that they said that you know they need time to transition and I completely understand I mean it makes sense to me in my opinion Rison their CPU on their new CPU line that is just is getting great reviews and it's selling really well well they release rides in seven then they then rise in five and they haven't even released rise in three yet so when they really set that's going to help a lot as well and they have even released their mobile chips also that they're working on so there's a lot of stuff coming in the mobile market as well and so that's kind of really help a lot now they're also going into the server market so in the server in the compare the come in the computer market server the server market is is really like the only area that's growing ok PC sales are down but server that that market is expanding its growing so they need to get in on that market well this is something that is really great about this AMD has no presence in that market so they have so much room to grow I mean they literally I think I read that they have like one percent of that market so they have so much room to grow in a growing market I mean that's so they could have so much growth which would just which should skyrocket the stock in my opinion now they used to have 25 percent of that market and when they had around 25 percent their stock with that around $40 so so you can do the math I mean right now the stock is at around $10 their stock used to be $40 on at 25% we're talking billions and billions of dollars in revenue if if they can just steal some of the market from Intel because then till I am market and this is and their first server CPU is is a it's like codename Naples I think and from what I've heard they're gonna release it in quarter two so it should be released anytime soon now and that's going to really help quarter two as well and they also have a GPU line that is coming out the main one that I've heard of is codenamed Vega and that's supposed to boost sales a lot as well so they have so many things so many new products that they're releasing this year that should just get them so much of the market back and they should just grow a lot so I don't know why everybody panicked I understand I understand why they panic that the stock had gone up a lot recently so expectations were really high so I understand but I'm still invested in AMD I still have it might be a bad decision but that's the stock market guys sometimes stock goes up and sometimes stock goes down and I would just say this something that I never do I don't invest in stocks with money that I need because if I need that money that if I needed the money that I invested in AMD and that's all dropped right now and I need that money I have to sell it at a loss I need to take a lot so I need to take a hit on that stock whereas if I don't need that money I can leave it there wait for these products to come out and I think that the stock is going to go back up and then I can sell it at a profit so that's something to think about arm saying this is all just my opinion but I'm just saying think about these things and you know try to make the smartest decisions and try to have enough good decisions to outweigh your bad decisions for example AMD is down but my Nintendo stock is up and it's up much more than name D and I have much more money in Nintendo so you know just try to outweigh your bad decisions with your good decisions and I think that should help but anyway this is all just my opinion thank you so much for watching I'll see you guys in the next video have a wonderful beautiful day ticket you
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