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결론: 엔비디아는 단기 약세 패턴이지만 20일선 위 유지 시 신고가 가능, AMD는 약세 전환, 테슬라는 400달러 부근 차익실현 권고. 엔비디아: 일봉상 조정 후 다시 약세 패턴 형성. 20일선 돌파 후 170~175달러, 여력 있으면 200달러까지 신고가 시도 가능. 다만 175~180달러 돌파가 우선. 100일 갭 메움·200일선 부근(120달러 근처)이 중요 지지. 엔비디아 시나리오: 횡보 지속 후 하락 시 추가 하락 패턴 대기, 20일선 돌파 재상승 시 신고가 시나리오. 내일 주간 종가 확인 필요. AMD: 거래량 꾸준하나 하락 흐름. 갭 메움 피벗 고점(약 1164달러 부근)이 저항으로 작용해 재차 밀림. 추세선 이탈 시 200일선까지 하락 가능, 이중바닥 재확인 후 추가 하락 가능성. AMD 대응: 지지 패턴 확인 전까지 관망, 반등 여부는 주간 종가와 다음 주 흐름으로 판단. 테슬라: 추세선과 피보나치 382% 지지 부근에서 반등, 갭 메움 완료. 시장 전반 매수세로 상승. 여전히 20일선 아래 조정 상태이나 50일·200일선 위 유지. 테슬라 전망: 400달러가 핵심 목표(410~425 과열 후 반락 가능성). 180~300달러 급등 이후 차익실현 권고(절반 매도, 잔여 분할 매도, 400달러 부근 전량 정리 후 숏 전환 고려). 리스크: 시장 전체가 밀리면 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라 모두 동반 하락 가능. 장기 시나리오는 명확히 제시되지 않음. 출연자 전망: 단기 중립~약세 톤, 보호 손절 강조.
다듬은 글
Hello traders, John et right to the Nvidia chart. Daily uh time frame. Volume was okay. It's been up a little bit the last couple days, but pretty much uh consistent all the way down till we had a little bit of selling on that day. That's when we had a little more volume across the markets as well. But nice down move.
Retrace 750. Comes right back in. Now it's setting up again in another bearish pattern. Bullish. Need to get above the 20 MA this pivot and then shoot for the all-time high. Gets past 170, maybe 175. I mean 200 maybe if the whole markets really start rolling. But you got to get past 175, 180 and stuff like that first.
Still a long way away. Just like a long ways away down from the 100 gap fill 200 MA area. So, we'll see how this thing sets up uh tomorrow. We'll see what the weekly close does and uh we'll we'll we'll take a look at it on uh Monday. I think we're open Monday and then of course the 4th of July we're closed and then we're rolling on Wednesday and so on.
So, so right now just a little bit on the bearish side. Still above the MA still okay, but uh nice little pullback today. Five bucks and change but we did stay above these pivots here on the close. So, let's see if we continue sideways and if that's the fact we're going to go down. If it gets above the 20 and starts to retrace again, look at this area, gets above the pivot, then we could go for the all-time highs.
Those are the two scenarios right now. And if it goes down, then we'll wait for pattern, maybe more down. But, uh, like I said, support gap fill, we got a gap window. A lot of areas here. So, when this thing, if it does come in, that's the areas we're going to look. And this too, this is where it tried breaking out, tried breaking out, that becomes really good support, too.
And that's at 120. So, we got to watch that number as well. Let's get into AMD. AMD guys, the volume, this the first thing I noticed on the daily. Look, look how it just kind of just very consistent, not too much like it does when it was moving up, but slowly moving down. We did have a gap fill here.
We'd also had the uh 382 retrace coming down and we held the 20 MA. So, we're slightly above there, but a little bit weak, guys. We talked about this area, the uh gap fill pivot high. Said, "All right, this will be a big area of resistance. Let's see how it works there." And boom, came right back in.
Right back into the channel, right back into possibly this lower area around 1164. Guys, if it breaks this trend line, we're going to hit the 200 MA. That grows. We're going right back to double bottom and then possibly lower prices. So, let's see what happens with this again. Gap fill pivot high back below the trend line, too.
So, that's big as well. Still above the MAS, strong stance on the chart, but slightly bearish now coming in like this. Let's see if we redo a little retrace like this and come in or do we start just uh tagging these bottom areas of support and then let's see how these things hold. Now we're kind of waiting for a pattern as well.
So tomorrow will be important close like every other one and then going into next week we'll see what happens. Fourth of July we'll be off but uh let's see what happens the next two days in these charts meaning uh Friday and Monday. So gosh right in the range right in the middle again guys. So it could bounce could go down a little further.
Nothing really to do. If you short it up here, just protect it. If you're long from down in here, protect it, too, because we could come down here real real quick. So, tomorrow is the weekly close. We'll look at that tomorrow when we review these charts again. Tesla guys, we had the trend line. That's where it came in today.
If you take the Fibonacci, the 382, and we filled the gap. So, great area for a bounce. We had a lot of great areas on stocks to bounce, including the SPY and the IWM and all the major indexes. Everything got a bounce today. It was buy the dip mentality towards the uh what what do you have a couple hours left on the market we went straight up.
So everything else caught a bid but big areas gap fill even numbers stuff like that. This thing right back above the trend line. Okay. But listen down sideways now. Still below the 20 MA but still above the 50 and the 20. So or the 200. So it's okay stance slipping a little bit but let's see if we could pop right back up.
I still think 400 is in the card. If it gets to 400, it might do a 410 425 little little blowout, you know, blowoff uh top and then bring it right back in. So, if it gets above here, guys, if you're long, please take something off the table. I've been telling you since 300. I was uh wrong on that. But, you know, for again, guys, it goes 180 to 300.
That's a heck of a move. You got to start taking some profits down in here. Maybe take half off quarter another quarter off the last remainder you got a quarter position take it off around 400 I would flip it and then short this thing so that's me on Tesla though volume was okay holding this it there's really nothing wrong until the markets the markets sell this will go down markets go up this will grind up so that's pretty much the scenario right here 400 is the magic number for Tesla so but this little down and sideways you got to keep an eye on those patterns there guys all right if you like my videos go to stockbookie.com. Sign up. It's free. And .
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