저자: LarryJones · 외국인
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메타 실적 발표 후 광고 단가 하락 등을 근거로 메타 하락을 예상해 풋 매수. 포드는 실적 호조와 Argo AI 철수, 잉여현금흐름 상향을 언급하며 DCA 매수 의지 표명. 사회자는 SQQQ 풋 옵션으로 하락 베팅, 금 관련주 GROY는 수익 실현 계획. 강세장/하락 가능성 모두 언급하며 크리스마스 랠리 후 하락 가능성 시사.
다듬은 글
hey what's up and welcome back to stock up with Larry Jones uh feel free to go ahead and hit the like subscribe and the notification Bell only if you are a first timer okay anything I say is not a suggestion for you to buy hold a sale and lastly don't fall for spam in the comments section we're going to be talking about meta and Ford uh earnings after the earnings I'm going to share with you uh uh my place what I did and uh we're gonna we're just gonna go from there uh but first we remember this week we're celebrating uh moo Moo's 10th year anniversary make sure you click the top link below download it and deposit a minimum of a hundred dollars to get started because that's where we are cashing up all right you're gonna get six free stocks for that and then if you deposit more just re read everything you can get up to 15 free stock worth up to thirty thousand dollars all right let's let's keep let's go all right so we know that the earnings came out right and I made my earlier video I made a video of before earnings came out right so it was a last minute judgment call I I did some small plays and I released a video before closing bell for those of you that did uh see it just to let you know what I was doing okay and so now we have the results the earnings results so I will just tell you guys that um I in my earlier video I was saying that I believe that meta was not going to do well and that they were going to fall now what I'm going to do is show you the uh chart and after hours let's just go right there so here you could see Meta after hours meta Tanked missed its Mark um you know meta makes its money on advertisement and um Google and uh yeah yeah Google or alphabet just kind of gave us a window to see that people were pulling back should I say companies were pulling back in their advertisement and this is what uh they do now they added I believe a couple of million new subscribers but if no one is doing their ads then that's how they make their revenue they don't make Revenue with just you watching of course the advertisers is how they get paid right and so so what I did with meta is I shorted meta all right now should I say I did a put on meta so I did a put on meta and uh I'll see how that went tomorrow morning I only did I did do two contracts as they put on meta I said one and I wind up doing too because I was kind of sure that it was going that way right and at the end of this I'm going to just play The Meta earnings as a matter of fact let's just play The Meta earnings right now and then we'll move on to Ford estimates of a dollar 89 in earnings per share but meta revenues did beat estimates coming in at 27.71 billion versus 27.38 billion so to put that in context analysts were expecting medic to lose about to have his Revenue decline by about five and a half percent from the year ago quarter instead the revenues declined by about four percent from the year ago quarter so not quite as big of a decline as expected um just going through some of the key details here monthly active users on Facebook increased two percent year over year daily active users on Facebook actually increased faster increased three percent year over year that's slightly better than expected since there's a lot of attention over the price per ass they say the number of AD Impressions increased by 17 percent while the average price per ad decreased by 18 year over year in terms of some of these other key factors here I'm going to dig in um to the commentary here but they do guide to fourth quarter total revenue to be between 30 and 32.5 billion dollars so analysts had been looking for fourth quarter revenue of 32.3 billion so that that range is slightly lower than the consensus of analysts but within the range and they say they are assuming foreign currency will be approximately a seven percent headwind um so they're talking about the budgets and they're going to hold a headcount flat between where they are right now for head count through the end of 2023 so it's got this is really essential here we're talking about layoffs we're talking about hiring they're saying we will not add any people to the overall head count between where they are now and the end of 2023.
so now you can see that Ford sold off after hours and uh Ford is a company that I do like like I force stated I will be buying more or Ford in my DCA and I believe that Ford is going to be a money maker one of my uh followers commented about GM but they're doing a lot of things right and I agree I'm also going to buy GM GM and Ford I just believe uh because of the multiple and where Ford is that you'll be able to make more money off of the stock GM may be a better run company I just believe that you'll be able to make more money off of Ford's stock all right so let's listen to Ford's earnings that Ford is out and philippo has it for us bill Scott this is a beat on the top and the bottom line for the third quarter but there's a lot of news in this Ford report Ford reporting earnings of 30 cents a share better than the estimate of 27 cents a share but those estimates have been moving lower with Revenue coming in at 37.2 billion versus the expectation of 36.25 billion now the news from Ford in terms of what the company has decided to do the actions it is taking a 2.7 billion dollar non-cash charge Ford will be taking because it is winding down it's Argo AI autonomous Vehicle Division that is a joint venture that it had with Volkswagen they were plowing big money over the last couple of years into Argo AI with the hope of developing level four autonomous vehicle technology Ford now says that's not going to happen anytime soon instead it will wind down Argo AI it will concentrate on autonomous vehicle technology level two and level three what is that that's Advanced evidence driver assistance technology in other words things that help in terms of lane change hands-free driving but it's not complete autonomous driving Ford essentially saying that ain't happening anytime soon so we're not going to keep powing money into our go AI a couple of notes on Q3 the operating cash flow 3.8 billion free cash flow 3.6 billion you're seeing strong pricing on the Ford trucks that's coming through on the free cash flow the full year guidance for adjusted ebit is now 11.5 billion and it's also raising its full year free cash flow about three billion dollars higher to 9.5 to 10 billion dollars so that is what we have from Ford again a beat on the top of the bottom line but the real news here is that they're throwing in the tunnel when it comes to developing level four autonomous vehicle technology through Argo AI Scott back to you Phil before I let you run I mean we we heard from General Motors just the other day which was helped by the delivery of previously unfinished Vehicles right because of the parts shortages um Ford getting any similar benefit that General Motors has the by by actually delivering no those Vehicles now no but because remember they warned in September that because of Parts shortages they are not delivering between 40 and 45 000 vehicles in the third quarter that they expected to deliver they plan to deliver those in the fourth quarter they plan to have the part shortages uh rectified and then deliver those Vehicles so we would see that benefit when they report their Q4 results so now with all of this bad uh these bad earnings right so my mind is saying all these bad earnings tomorrow will be a red day it should be all we can do is guess right so what I did also was I did one contract um I I'm I played the uh s q q the sqq betting that the market will fall down right so I didn't just do the sqq I played the option on an sqq the good thing is I and and I may have bought two but and so I'm thinking hey this is good right this is good uh tomorrow's going to be a red day because of all this bad earnings and then as we look at the pre-markets we are up again for tomorrow this has been a crazy week uh look at this and so the implied open on the Dow is already at 1 30 and look at here they imply it open on s p you can see right so in the pre-markets um you can go to pre-markets around six o'clock Eastern time I just kind of check it does not mean that by opening bail it's going to be green a lot of times it could be green as as high as 150 points and then by opening bell something happens and it could be the reversal and the same thing if it's red it could be green but it just kind of gives you a window into where things are right now okay and so um so my sqq play may just be a big dud so that's why it is always good to set a stop loss and in this case I set a stop loss lower than I bought it so I'll probably lose a little money now one of the things I didn't do was get greedy and try to recreate you know the 12 000 I made earlier right I wasn't trying to recreate that because I've learned from my earlier mistakes okay here's another thing that I want you guys to look at and remember when I do plays like this when I did it last week and and I made the two videos people say hey somebody said hey you know why don't you do a live trade or whatever why are you telling us now remember I really the second reason why I did this was to show you guys that this is not a one-trick pony remember the dollar today cooled off right the uh 10-year bond cooled off so the bonds was cooling off and the dollar was cooling off right that generally causes the market to go green right so I shouldn't have did it based on that but because of all of these earnings these bad earnings I thought maybe tomorrow would be red so it goes to show you sometimes you have data that supports both sides and you just gotta make a guess or what I should have did was not make that call at all because I don't do these plays every day I only do it when I see a certain you know when I I'm just about 80 percent that it's gonna happen and I wasn't 80 today so I may lose this money okay so here's another play uh here's something that I did get right that was something I got wrong but we will see by tomorrow morning uh The Meta play I got right so here's another thing that I want to show you guys this is gold royalty ticker symbol g-r-o-y excuse me remember I blocked brought this to you guys uh some weeks ago now as you could see if you look in the right corner it says days p l it went up seven percent today now if you look below you will see the increments that I bought it in right so I didn't just buy it all at once I just kept buying down down down down and every time it dips as you can see you know I bought uh you know 50 shares 100 shares 500 shares and I was just buying it now I'm not telling you to buy like that but remember I'm thinking mark it down gold up well just like everything else that's backwards with this Market every time the market goes up uh this uh ticker symbol g-r-o-y has been going up with the market right and uh so now here I am as you could see I'm at 20 for as you can to the left there open p l I'm at 20 gains right what have we learned this year what did we learn from last year and a year before that take profits take profits take profits now what I'm going to do now is sell it because if you look at a chart of g-r-o-y you will see that it has these these 14 12 10 swings so now I'm going to sell it because proper profit taking is really 20 to 25 not 200 to 2500 percent and so I'm going to sell it if it allows me to stay at five um sorry 20 and then I'm going to re-enter at some point all right and so that's what I wanted to show you my good and bad plays all right and so uh hopefully this information helps you remember anytime I share with you a plate it is not to say hey I did this too late for you no you can play the tqq and the sqq but just like you just saw with me today I'm I may have messed up playing the sqq s meaning short t meaning tall you know I'm I'm making this up S as in is going down you know just think t for tall going up as for down and so I'm just showing you guys little ways of making money now you someone's gonna say Larry hey we're not buying right now we're I'm not I'm just I'm just playing with a little money right in uh ticker symbol g-r-o-y I made about literally seven different purchases and then after a while it becomes you know a sizable amount but as you can see things are just moving crazy in this bear market right leave me a comment uh let me know if this is helping you guys remember remember check out my two links below especially on this one the MooMoo where we're cashing up don't leave a penny in there good people leave as much money as you can to cash up and just be ready there will be a run-up I believe until Christmas I believe that there'll be a Christmas rally like I've been saying but then I believe there's going to be a sell-off uh after that probably as early as q1 of next year when the heart recession hits and then what do we want to have then cash and we're going to use that cash to enter in and buy buy buy all right if you're on a cell phone just click where the title of this video is and you'll see a drop down download those links today and uh fund them okay we'll see you uh later on today live love laugh and learn thank you
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