저자: 미상 · 한국인
요약 보기
나스닥 소폭 하락에도 S&P500·다우는 상승 전환 시도 중이며 골든크로스 형성 임박으로 본다. TQQQ·SOXL 등 3배 레버리지 상품은 장기 하락 후 상승 추세 초입이라 분할매수 적기라고 주장한다. 단, 금리 고점·SVB 등 금융 불안 요인이 남아 있어 현금을 일시에 투입하지 말고 원칙에 따라 나눠 사고 손절 기준을 세울 것을 강조한다.
다듬은 글
Now, let's take a quick look at the market situation. The Nasdaq fell 0.47% yesterday, while the S&P 500 rose slightly. In a way, this can be viewed positively. With the Nasdaq having formed an upward trend, I would say that the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones are showing a "leveling" pattern, attempting to return to an upward trend.
Therefore, just because the Nasdaq has undergone a slight correction, I do n't think we need to take refuge or short positions. Since the market is currently in the process of absorbing some of the supply zones within the upward trend and golden cross, I would advise you to carefully watch whether this level is maintained.
So, for today's title, I talked about TQ and SOXL for the first time in a while. Since I started my YouTube channel last year, I have introduced many of these products, but the reason I am talking about them today is that they are now worth buying. In my opinion, there was no buying timing throughout last year.
Throughout last year, I [collected] information on these two products I told you not to go; I warned that buying infinitely leads to infinite ruin. Right? That is why I have often criticized those who make such irresponsible remarks. However, you should buy when the market is in an uptrend, correct?
Since the uptrend is taking shape and a golden cross is forming, I believe that now is actually the time to buy aggressively. But the point is that risk management is essential. So, as I always tell you, regarding the basics: when a trend in an uptrend is rising and then confirmed to be collapsing like this, we must take measures such as cutting our losses or cashing out to lower our average purchase price when a reversal occurs from the downside.
Therefore, even if we are buying infinitely, buying only on days when the price drops is a good strategy. This is because, since it is an uptrend, if we only bought on days when the price dropped during a downtrend, there is a high probability of experiencing endless declines. However, in the process of an uptrend being established like now, the downside periods are short.
Because the upside periods are long and the downside periods are short, in an uptrend, there is no need for infinite buying or "buying the dip"... I am telling you that this is a market where the things being done can gradually produce tangible results. Now, if we look at the actual products, such as TQ, STUE, and SOXL, as you can see, they are forming an uptrend, and a golden cross is imminent.
The important thing is that although these products have experienced a massive decline as you can see, they are not short products. Because they are not, they can rise along the trend once a downside support zone is established, and they are showing signs of trying to create a trend at the beginning of an uptrend.
So, this is when we need to pay attention. Shouting "buy the dip" when a death cross appears is no longer appropriate for investing. That is why, throughout last year, I advised against buying in downtrend zones, or to realize profits quickly if you do buy. You really needed to focus intensely during those times.
I have witnessed this a lot since I first started my YouTube channel, but what has happened to you now? You all either cut your losses or lost half, half, half, half. Yet, when I tell you to buy, you speak pessimistically—that is the kind of investment I am talking about. What I am saying is that it likely happened.
So, the part we need to pay attention to is that DQ and SOXL are approaching the beginning of an uptrend. Therefore, if this trend continues, it is a good strategy to buy steadily without being too startled by daily fluctuations. In particular, even when a correction occurs in the support zone at the low point, buying with your cash holdings to lower your average purchase price is an appropriate strategy for investing in TQ when a golden cross is about to appear.
As for Skew, it has already formed an uptrend zone. So, you might think, "I entered right now, so I'm the best," but I actually advise against entering at this point. Since the majority of people bought at this time without knowing it might fall, the question I have consistently asked about when we should start buying is that it is when the lows and highs are getting higher.
Therefore, in this current zone where lows and highs are rising, it is time to pay attention little by little. And instead of playing games with daily fluctuations, it is an investment that is literally accumulating. I believe now is the time to start. Since you have such a strong interest in TQ and SOXL, I would like to suggest that those who have already suffered losses are now entering a phase where they can start buying little by little.
So, the overall market is still unstable, isn't it? Why? Because interest rates are high, and there are other issues. Instability in the financial sector, such as with SVB Bank, still persists. Therefore, you likely have a fear that this could collapse at any time. So, how should I explain this? It is about weighting.
The core of the "infinite buying method" or "buying the dip" is this: if you have 10 million won in cash, you do n't invest it all at once, but rather accumulate it at appropriate intervals. So, it is the concept of putting in a small portion of your cash little by little—perhaps once a day or every three days, for instance.
That is why I explained it through the title. Instead of just throwing in all your money and whining if it drops, you are now in a situation where you can accumulate a portion because the bullish trend is being maintained. So, even if it breaks down once and moves forward, as long as you haven't invested all your money, you can still make small purchases.
If you invest based on your own established principles, the point is that even if the final divergence appears and the price rises, it can recover quickly. However, if you have been buying or "buying the dip" in a situation like this— especially if you have been buying in a downtrend or death cross zone—I would literally like you to provide proof of your profits right now.
You should show me how you managed to accumulate money at this stage, right? Those people likely engage in self-deception by splitting their accounts or playing strange games to hide their returns, but please stop doing that. Even if you just pay sufficient attention to buying from now on, you can aim for profits.
If the market collapses, you can cut your losses according to your principles; otherwise, you can divide the range and place purchases in small increments. Therefore, rather than investing just to show off to others, I always try to speak according to my convictions. It is actually better to focus and buy indefinitely starting now.
Now, even in a downtrend zone where there is a gap and we don't know if it will rise, we could still fail to form a regular star and collapse. However, TQ, SOXL, and even the Nasdaq have already formed a positive turn, that is, a golden cross. Therefore, our short-term trend has, in any case, outperformed the long-term trend.
Now, as long as this trend is maintained, it is meaningless to argue right now about whether it will continue or not, because that is a bet. It is human nature to remain silent if the trend goes in the opposite direction, so it is pointless to predict in advance whether it will go up or down. The important thing is that a golden cross has occurred and this phenomenon has taken place.
This means that short-term buying pressure is coming in stronger than the long-term downtrend. We should just watch to see if this trend is maintained. As I mentioned earlier, if you are investing with 3x leverage, you should establish some principles and now is the time to accumulate. Now, while going through this market, you have likely all developed a habit of playing games with the day.
Right? Selling one day, buying the next, selling the next, buying the next, placing a bet on the opposite side, and then placing another bet on the opposite side. The characteristic of such people is that they keep investing only in that way. They keep playing games, buying whatever they want with the money earned in a day.
While that might make money on some days, it is a gamble on others, so repeating this kind of investment is not effective for long-term investing. I don't think it's helpful. In my case, that is why I don't engage in index trading. Instead, I buy individual stocks—specifically those backed by earnings.
Since I have actually made significant profits through short positions both this year and last year, I always disclose those details. I tell you in advance that if you decide to buy, you should buy beforehand. It's not about waiting until the market moves and thinking, " I bought this way to make a profit." Ultimately, you must take responsibility for your own choices.
For example, I do not buy stocks like SOXL or TQ. However, if you are going to buy, you should do it now. So, now is the time to pay attention in a zone where an uptrend has formed. Even if a correction occurs today or tomorrow, ultimately, you need to identify the support zone. First, the support zone could be the trend line.
Second, it could be the 200-day or 50-day moving average. Finally, the most important support line would be the line itself, right? However, because the gap between the lines is too large, usually, based on the lumbar trend or the moving averages... If you are not establishing a lead line or a sell line, you basically check to see if a wave is forming.
For example, if it has formed like this, it is acceptable for it to drop to this level. Then, while checking for support here, you can either make small partial purchases with your cash, or even if it drops to $16, if you have invested only 20% of your capital rather than 1000, since you are investing in an uptrend, you can sufficiently make the remaining 30% at the bottom today to create another positive turnaround at the $18 or $20 level.
So, I am saying that now is the time to establish strategies such as principled buying, staggered buying, and principled responses. This is not a time to simply buy and sell repeatedly out of inertia as you have done before, or to short just because it looks like it will go down. Rather, it is a time for a shift in investment methods.
It is time to remember the advice on "buying the dip" or "infinite buying," which many people have suffered through in the past. That is how I would put it. So, those who talk like this without principles or without analyzing market conditions—you’ve all seen them get crushed right here, haven’t you?
They all crumbled. Consequently, talking without principles is meaningless, and discussing such things without looking at the macroeconomy is pointless. Of course, studying things like power rings and financial crises is important. Because those who only talked about methodologies without studying those things would have all ended up broke by now.
I’m not saying those things aren’t important; rather, while we must look at the macroeconomy together, if we are technically forming a zone right now, then the environment is set for these buying methodologies to be applicable in the current uptrend. I think I can put it this way. So, I hope you take this opportunity to reflect on these aspects and consider, "In what direction should I take my buying strategy?" Since these generational leverage indices are based on indices, I will examine them and discuss whether an uptrend is forming or what the buying and selling timings are.
Okay, that’s all for today’s video. I will get started. If you found this video helpful, please subscribe and like.
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