저자: StockologyInsider채널진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
엑스페디아(Expedia) 주가 기술적 분석 영상. 결론: 실적 서프라이즈 후 갭상승으로 주가가 상승했으나, 현재 구간은 방향성 없는 횡보 가능성이 크다는 분석. 실적 및 뉴스: 엑스페디아가 분기 실적 호조를 발표해 약 12달러 갭상승 후 추가로 약 5달러 상승. 조정 EPS는 주당 5.41달러(전년 대비 33% 성장), 매출은 분기 기준 사상 최고인 39.3억 달러로 애널리스트 기대치를 상회. 마이클 버리 언급: 버리의 스칼리온 자산운용이 8월 주당 109달러 수준에 10만 주를 매수해 엑스페디아가 그의 최대 단일 보유 종목이 됨. 주가 급등으로 해당 포지션 수익은 300만 달러 이상으로 언급. 버리는 과거 QQQ와 SPY 인버스 베팅도 언급됨. 차트 분석: 월봉 기준 지지 약 90달러, 저항 약 120달러. 중간 균형선 부근에서는 방향성 없는 등락이 예상됨. 주봉 기준 120달러 부근 공급 구간을 '매수 셋업'으로 보나 과거 저점 하회 이력 때문에 B등급으로 평가. 일봉 기준: 주가가 200일 이동평균선(약 104달러 부근, 균형점) 위에 있어 장기 상승 추세로 해석. 갭 메우기 목표는 하단 구간. 단기 전망: 주가가 5달러 더 상승해 118달러 부근까지 갈 수 있다고 전망. 리스크: 월봉상 중간 구간에서는 횡보 가능성, 120달러 저항 확인 필요, 금리 동결 등 거시 변수 언급. 출연자 전망: 단기 상승(목표 약 118달러) 전망, 확신도는 중간 수준.
다듬은 글
this is the daily chart on Expedia and uh xedia announced earnings last week and they were Stellar as indication by this Gap higher roughly um $12 or so it gapped higher and it was a gap and go so not only did price Gap higher but then it continued to move higher at uh roughly $5 now today's a indecision candle as indicated by this doe candle um just kind of scrolling out to the monthly chart we have support down at the $90 level and we have resistance at the 120 level and this yellow dash line in the middle that just equates to equilibrium meaning down at the $9 the you have an imbalance between buyers and sellers and down at the 120 you have an imbalance between sellers and buyers buers so the extremes is where you're going to find that imbalance which is going to move price in the middle you can expect just choppiness because um no one's really in control um now what I didn't realize was Michael bur um has a stake in Expedia let's get into the article before we look at where can price go to next so Michael bur's third largest stake position stock position soures 18% in a day so early this year then investing world was taken back when legendary investor Michael bur known as for his lucrative big short against the housing market in 2008 made another bearish bet this time targeting the US Stocks um this was when he was uh short the QQQ and the Spy um nevertheless that made headlines um and if he's still in the position well um he was up but might be at break even roughly now because of fed Powell putting a pause on interest rates nevertheless let's continue with the article simultaneously regulatory fance unveiled various other moves made by Bry and his hedge fund scallion assets Management in the stock market notably they increased their Holdings in travel and healthc care companies including including Expedia on Friday November 3rd shares of Expedia stored more than 18% at the market open uh the highest level since early August now notably Finn B reported earlier this month that expedia's stock was well positioned to attract investors attention after recent data pointed towards a Resurgence in travel demand ahead of the winter holidays the UPS swing was mainly driven by an impressive earnings beat the company posted in the third quarter and record Revenue the travel company posted adjusted earnings growth of 33% to $541 per share while Revenue hit a record quarterly high of 3.93 billion the numbers were well ahead of analyst expectations of earnings per share of $5 and revenue of 3.68 billion now the regulatory filings published in mid August revealed that burry and his scallion Asset Management purchased 100,000 expedient shares at the 109 level the move turned expedient to Barry's largest single stock holding that's crazy this means that following today's price surge Barry's profit from his long position in Expedia stands at more than 3 million all right so going back to the charts we haven't looked at the weekly chart so that's where we're going to go now and um what do we see what I see is we have a rallying price two Basin candles and a drop right so you know that is what we're going to call weekly buyers at this 120 level now this level the zone that was created was just reacting to the most recent pivot highs which is reacting to support that was established in May um so this becomes a even though it's a reaction it's a strong level because it's fresh meaning price has never been back to this level since it was formed now it loses points because price when it left the Zone could not take out the lows at 90 so uh this is not an a setup I give this a a b setup um for that reason but it could be backed up and validated again cuz this is a major area of support resistance so um scrolling back down to the Daily one more time and uh let's see what's important to note is that prices are now above this yellow line which is the 200 day moving average and uh typically when you're above it you're in a secular bull market below it you're in a secular bare Market um so it is the Line in the Sand uh which is right at the equilibrium level at 104 so I think prices move higher you have this Gap fill right um that prices is trying to get to uh and that would be at the lower end of the zone so look for price to move up5 more dos again with a Target at the 118 level
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