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Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger offer advice to investors

Yahoo Finance · 2023-05-08 · 유튜브 시청 2,775 · Board Views 8 · International

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저자: JoshShafer · 외국인

요약 보기

버크셔 해서웨이 연례 주주총회 요약: 은행 섹터 투자에는 신중한 입장을 보였고, AI와 옥시덴털 인수 관련 발언이 핵심이었다. 은행 섹터: 실리콘밸리은행 사태 때 예금 전액 보호가 없었다면 재앙이었을 것이라고 언급했다. 250,000달러 이상 예금도 정부가 사실상 보호할 것이라는 취지의 발언을 했다. 버크셔의 은행 투자 규모는 한때 약 800억 달러에서 현재 약 400억 달러로 줄었다. 은행주를 적극 추천하지는 않았으며 BofA 보유는 예외다. 지수·섹터 관점: 버크셔는 금융 섹터 전반에 대해 적극적으로 매수하려는 신호를 보이지 않았다. AI: 찰리 멍거는 '구식 지능으로도 충분히 잘 작동한다'며 AI에 크게 관심이 없어 보였다. 버핏은 빌 게이츠로부터 챗GPT와 오픈AI를 소개받았다고 언급했다. AI가 세상을 바꿀 수 있지만 인간의 사고와 행동은 바꾸지 못한다고 보았고, AI 관련 투자를 확대할 계획은 드러나지 않았다. 옥시덴털 페트롤리엄: 버크셔는 지분 약 25%를 보유 중이며 최근 1년간 공격적으로 매입했다. 버핏은 경영권 인수(control)는 하지 않는다고 명확히 밝혔다. 다만 향후 추가 매입 가능성은 열어두었고, 주당 59달러 워런트를 보유하고 있어 최대 50%까지 지분 확대가 가능하다고 언급했다. 이 발언 직후 시간외 거래에서 주가가 소폭 하락했다가 회복했다. 리스크: 은행 섹터의 추가 불안 가능성, AI 관련 기대치와 실제 효과 간 괴리, 옥시덴털 주가의 시장 반응 변동성이 주요 불확실 요인으로 제시되었다. 출연자 전망: 기자는 버크셔가 옥시덴털 주식을 계속 매입할 가능성이 높다고 보았다.

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01. Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett and his longtime business partner Charlie Munger offered their unique takes on the markets and economy at this weekend's annual shareholders meeting the two spent hours weighing in on everything from the banking sector chaos to investment advice to the future of AI we've got Yahoo finance's Josh Shafer here with us to break down some tough takeaways from the meeting there's always a lot of good nuggets to pull out it's hard to choose so give us what your top three are yeah Julie so going into this I think really what people were curious about is what Buffett would say on banks given his history with the banks and I think people were also wondering about that Occidental Petroleum stake and if they'd take full control of that and then it's always interesting to hear what Warren and Charlie say about something futuristic right when you get the nine-year-old famous investors on stage and then they talk about something like AI we're always excited to hear about that but I want to start with banks first because we had been waiting for Buffett to say more on this and one thing that he said was that it would have been catastrophic if it if the positives were not protected in that Silicon Valley Bank collapse that was sort of the big headline there and I think the two broader takeaways of what he said about banking were a he sort of laid out that while not all deposits are technically secured above 250 000 he said who would want to go on TV and not say those deposits are secured and sort of basically saying the government is almost always going to step in to backstop these depositors which I thought was very interesting sort of saying a quiet thing out loud there and then also what you're looking at there is Buffett's overall banking Investments those are down from nearly 80 billion at one point down to about 40 billion now one thing he did not do outside of one of his major Holdings Bank of America he didn't talk up Bank stocks obviously a lot of what this this meeting is is learning what Warren Buffett likes and doesn't like in sectors he's interested in right he is not someone that is looking to go fishing in Regional Bank stocks right now or really the financial sector as a whole and I think that that was a big takeaway and then additionally we got to talk about artificial intelligence artificial intelligence of course uh the commentary any comment Terry that we would receive from these two famed investors would be at least a bit news making Charlie Munger said in Charlie Munger fashion I think old-fashioned intelligence works just fine or works pretty well and I think that that pretty much sums up I think what you could take from these two on artificial intelligence too it's not something that Monger I don't think has really it didn't seem overly interested in it now Buffett for his part did say Bill Gates has actually showed him some of track CPT and open AI which I found pretty interesting and he said of course again in Warren Buffett fashion that AI can change everything in the world except how men think and behave essentially saying there's a human element here and he doesn't think AI can take that over so they're not going to necessarily be pouring all of their money into an AI play either which I don't think anyone was expecting them to tout this weekend but that's also not the proposition of AI as it currently stands either to be fair it's not that it's replacing human thinking it's replacing human repetitive tasks but anyway that's a bigger debate for another moment um the other big outstanding question for Berkshire Hathaway was whether it was going and it's it has been answering the question was whether it was going to buy the shares of Occidental Petroleum it doesn't own and we got at least a short-term answer to that question yeah it was the first time Buffett has directly said this in a little while but he said we're not going to buy control we flat out said that that actually wasn't even quite what the question was but he decided to take it there said there's been a lot of speculation and he said we are not going to buy control of Occidental Petroleum now of course that's of interest because Berkshire Hathaway owns almost 25 percent of Occidental Petroleum and has been precipitously buying over the last year now Warren did say they are still interested in buying Occidental Petroleum shares in the future and may buy more shares in the future in fact they have warrants on Occidental Petroleum at 59 a share Shares are down a little bit in pre-market trading right now and very close to 59 a share so it seems like they can so they can buy up to fifty percent oh they turn back up positive there you go but they had initially fallen in pre-market trading on the news that Berkshire wasn't planning to buy because that's something that Occidental shareholders have really been watching is is there just going to be a straight up takeover bit doesn't seem like that's going to happen but they can buy up to 50 and it seems like they're probably going to keep buying some more they certainly like the stock all right we're going to continue to see how those shares move as we get closer to the start of the trading activity thanks so much Josh breaking down all things Berkshire over the weekend

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