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결론: 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라 모두 단기 방향성이 불분명하며, 시장 흐름(SPY·IWM 등)에 따라 움직일 가능성이 높다는 중립~약한 하락 경계 관점. 엔비디아: 실적 발표 후 갭다운 후 50일선 부근에서 지지 시도 중. 주간 차트에 탑핑테일과 인사이드바가 있어 확인 전까지 패턴 불명확. 136 부근을 지지로 보고, 저가 매수 또는 단기 반등 노릴 수 있다고 언급. 하락 시 목표는 200일선, 상승 시 20·50일선 회복 후 상승 가능. 월봉 기준 20개월선 약 85달러가 스트레치 구간 목표이며, 하락 시 100달러까지 상승 가능성도 언급. AMD: 실적 후 급락, 두 개의 갭이 메워졌고 200일선 근처에서 지지 확인 중. 주간 차트는 약세 패턴(인사이드바 반복 실패). 1087 지지선, 995 부근 및 약 8달러대까지 하락 가능성 언급. 10달러 또는 9달러 근처 확인 후 매수 신중 권고. 테슬라: 실적 후 상승 후 370 부근 저항 확인, 주간 차트 약세 인사이드바 패턴. 370 상향 돌파 시 387·400 상승 가능, 실패 시 300선 중요 지지, 하락 시 264(50일선), 242 부근까지 열어둠. 시장 전반: SPY·IWM 흐름이 핵심이며 거래량이 적은 상승장은 유지되나 하락 전환 시 개별 종목 동반 하락 우려. 매수 후 저가 매수(buy the dip) 전략에 대한 경계 강조. 리스크: 실적 후 변동성, 거시 뉴스(북한 등)에 따른 급락 가능성. 발언자는 특정 매수·매도 추천 없이 패턴 기반 관찰을 제시.
다듬은 글
hello traders Johnny stock okey okey calraders are you looking for a new broker Cobra trading I've been using Chandan Cobra for about eight years now hands down the best in the business you go online use promo code stock bookie or if you give them a call tell them stock bookie sent you again if you're an active trader you got to give these guys a shot go over trading guys alright so NVIDIA daily chart 37 million five point three three percent down or eight dollars and seventy eight cents read we did have earnings on Thursday Friday we did gap down no great shakes guys we filled the gap trying to hold the fifty ma and we're at the 50% retrace with this trendline as well so let's go into next week let's see if this thing sets up sideways for some lower prices we get some follow-through or for I know buy the dip effect comes in and this thing goes right back up recaptures the 20 and the 50 and continues on its merry way so right now we really don't have a pattern or a setup other than a little bit of a downside action coming from earnings let's see what next week brings with the markets it's going to be an overall market trade guys the market stay buoyant light volume stocks will move up and down if the markets start screaming up on some good volume then I believe everything else will go up if the markets start to slide on heavy volume all these stocks will beheadings lower I still have a call-out for the 200 ma on most of these stocks on the daily that's the target if we head up head down still have a good pivot here at 138 64 but again guys no pattern we bounce up maybe we bounce down possibly or I'm pumped down possibly let's go to the weekly chart though since it was a Friday close let's take a look at that one see what's going on here there's the big trend line that I drew in there from these lows to that to that so we're still holding strong here guys inside bar but a bullish pattern on the weekly the one thing that I'm seeing though on this chart is we have a topping tail here so I'm going to pull this out we know we're into the 50% retrace from the Fibonacci from this side of that hi that's pretty much the 50% retrace I'm going to pull this one down a little bit more but check this out so we have a little topping tail we never closed above it okay we've got--we've resets it retested it got through it but never closed above now we're coming back down this is from 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 weeks ago guys and we haven't taken this one out so keep an eye on this higher prices you need to close above here and get some follow-through and then get some confirmation on the weekly close so let's keep an eye on that and look at the volume on this one on the selling so let's see if we continue to go down 136 is another great level for support that's what I'll be waiting for possible call position or a little short-term bounce for a long position here and then possibly testing down and coming back to the 50 ma we still are above the 2250 and the 200 greatest answer guys getting a little bit stretched so on the weekly I always talk about that so I'm thinking first target will be around the 136 55 and if the markets start to sell off this will go lower market stay on light volume like I continued saying this will probably just chop around chop around and then possibly continue higher if the markets go up I'm going to look at the monthly here real quick guys just to show you on this one this is still the Eiffel Tower 20 ma still around 85 bucks that's usually the target on these stretch plays and if it comes back down here could go further this will continue to curl up I'm thinking $100 if this one comes down though again another stretched chart guys this will come down eventually great bullish pattern here though guys in the pop and another thing monthly chart topping tail as well so keep an eye on NVIDIA guys market stay light volume doing nothing this can continue higher they did have good earnings I guess and but the markets are selling everything's coming lower period alright let's go into the AMD this one had earnings maybe a week and a half ago right in here right right into the 1555 area and boom right back down we had the high channel and we had the high pivot here where we have shorted this one a couple months back right there and we shorted this one here four or five days got out and said thank you very much we have not traded this one since I was waiting for actually higher prices guys a short never got him came right back down so I'll be with by the dippers eventually if this gets down to 989 possibly again like NVIDIA despite the IWM the queue sell-off this can head down lower so it's going to be a market trade at this point guys if the market stay buoyant light volume these can tend the flight because these are by the dip kind of stocks we did get out of this range this channel we did hit the 200 ma and we fill this gap and we held the gap though on the daily guys now we're waiting for pattern if this does not retrace back into this area here then now we're going to look for lower range consolidation above the 200 ma setting up for lower prices Bulls you have to get the rebound here and get back above these mas and this little pivot right here around 1350 9 if you can do that then you have major resistance up here again at 14 16 and this down sloping trendline now coming off these high pivots around 14 13 as well you get above that next area will be 1464 and then right back to this 1555 area guys sell bulls you need to get above the mas setup bullish and then go up bears you are in control right now other than the 200 ma if you can consolidate sideways with a little bit of a retrace and come right back in you will be testing these pivots here at 111 2011 24 10 58 and then like I said $10 area or 989 so this is a savings grace here the 200 ma I'm looking for a gap down over this and continue going down that's what I'm looking for on this usually that's what happens please check this out so you have a gap fill here you have the 50 ma support great support here guys what did these guys do they gapped it lower and they even kept it below this one here too as well so that's a sign telling me that someone needs lower prices they don't want to deal with the support here so what they do during the you know intraday more in the morning action gap it down forget forget about the support guys is gap it down let it go to the next area gap Phil great support down here too guys and you have a gap filled down in here as well so you fill two gaps yesterday almost hit the 200 you got a slight bounce I'm thinking guys gapped down keep this thing running we'll look for pattern and then the next week or so and we'll see how this thing goes no guys would go straight back up or straight down it's not really telling us a little bit oversold so maybe a little bit more of a bounce but again watch the spy that's going to be the key to these trades here guys weekly chart pretty ugly guys you know even this inside barn we've talked about this before we closed above here never confirmed got backed up closed again never confirmed got back up this nice tail boom and right back down now inside bar bearish patterns starting to play out a little bit more let's see if we can get down to the 1087 great support there on the weekly though weekly tend to pierce and go a little bit lower I'm still looking for around the 995 area even this little pivot here at 9:42 if the markets start to dump you know I don't know where this can really you know we work on for 8 bucks or so maybe you know but this pattern here guys great retraced great bearish pattern even this little inside bar never can close above God above coming back right in and we closed below this red bar so we got two inside bars we're playing with this is a week close let's see if we could get here and let's see how this ring reacts on the daily though we're waiting for a pattern see if this thing sets up but I still think just like Nvidia guy's monthly chart a little bit stretched 956 is where the 20ma is if this thing comes screaming down we still have great support at 10:00 but you know we could crack that area this time go to 9:00 and then wherever the 20ma is and possibly get a bounce I still like this area here around 8 boxes little pivot you went up got the retrace chopped and then broke through that's going to be some great support as well so let's give this one some time options X next week let's see what happens with AMD but if you're bullish though guys just be careful wait for a little bit lower prices before you start buying the dip I'd wait for 10 bucks and maybe nine so let's see what happens with that all right guys Tesla so Tesla pops up on earnings one two three four day four days off right to the 7500 in this big area here right around 1 370 guy said where that that's the big area where this thing started breaking down and you have overhead consolidation up in here so big area of resistance this is where you started stalling out pulled back still holding the six one eight and this gap filled down in here so you have to respect that let's see if we can continue sideways above this trendline above the 50 and the 20 bullish stance though but but still inside this bar a little bit better so it's a 50/50 shot guys at bulls you need to break above the 370 105 then I think you go back to 387 and the 400 to continue up again it's going to be a market trade markets are weak this one will start to give it up guys that's just the bottom line so market stay strong with light volume this one could grind higher so right now not telling us too much in the resistance big breakdown area let's see if we can stall out here and continue sideways setting up to go up this 20ma will start to curl in the price then will start to curl into the trendline here coming from these lows as well so if this goes sideways its going to run to the trendline run into the 20 ma and that could possibly push it higher so let's see what it gives us this week with options X whoever needs the higher prices they might push it up if they need lower prices they might possibly push it down eventually though the markets will continue to move lower 200 ma will be the target on all these stocks the Facebook's the Amazons the Nvidia is the Tesla's and Netflix is all those just supported 200 ma is on the daily that will be the target price if these markets move down higher 400s got to be 400 410 420 again let's see what pattern develops here we'll do some more videos this week and this thing falls down that we're looking for lower prices gap Phil here got good trendline if we pull this one up let's see if we pull this take a trendline there to here that's going to be some good support there as well so let's see what happens guys 75061 8 hold and strong here above the MAS and a bullish stance let's see what we get we did have earnings so that's what's holding this thing up let's see what options X brings us and the spy in the IWM and all that this week it will be interesting guys going into this week and all the news going on all the stuff going around America stuff in North Korea who knows just stay buoyant in these markets guys especially if you are long you get some bad news these markets could sell off at any time and the one thing I'm looking at on Tesla guys weekly in sidebar is a beautiful bearish pattern right exact right exactly where you want to go to if this closes above the 370 371 area than that then the most likely higher prices least at 387 if they cannot get above this area and confirm and look at that's right to it guys and right back down so holding the six one eight this is a great bearish pattern if this starts to continue lower we'll see if with what it does around the 20ma and then ultimately though guys 300 right here this area 302 303 75 I'm going to say 300 even number that's the big area to watch for if that starts to crack or set up again in another bearish pattern we are going to be looking for lower prices we have a huge gap fill it to 78 then we have the 50 ma right at 264 14 so guys Tesla great company love the cars and everything I'm just watching the patterns here guys if this bearish pattern plays out we will be going down here and possibly retesting it to 42 area and again just like the daily chart 200ma would be the target and that's it to 29:31 market starts really dump it right back here so I'm not going to go there yet spy video spies okay we had a couple nice little pull backs here but back below the 50 a man the spy so keep an eye on these markets guys don't remote you know to buy the dip mentality it's been working forever they have compete bul conditioned with that just watch out you buy the diff next thing you know we're going 10% lower buy the dip another 5% when you get to just sat out and let them let it play out and then possibly buy the dip one day so big bearish inside bar on the weekly watch out for that guys all right that's it for this video it is Sunday hopefully everyone's having a great weekend thanks again for stopping by and spending time with me and in my charts guys hopefully I'm helping you guys out there and trade and possibly make some money again guys corporate rating if you're looking for a new broker check these guys out and thanks again for stopping by god bless see you in the charts
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