저자: StockBookie · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아는 실적 발표 전 불확실성이 커서 50:50, AMD는 가격 방향 불명확해 관망, 테슬라는 단기 상승 중이나 저항대에서 조정 가능성 열어둠. [엔비디아] - 당시 주가 약 514달러, 종가 기준 사상 최고치 마감, 시장 주도주로 평가. - 실적 발표(8/10) 전 상승 패턴 유지, 이후 방향은 50:50, 30달러 상승 또는 하락 모두 가능. - 20일선·50일선 위 유지 시 강세 시나리오, 실적 후 시장 급락 시 함께 폭락 가능성 경고. - 포지션 전략: 롱이면 보호, 숏이면 버티기. [AMD] - 최근 실적 발표 후 조정, 채널 하단 부근에서 지지·저항 공방. - 20일선 회복 전까지는 하락 채널 유지 가능성, 지지 붕괴 시 추가 하락 가능성. - 상단 목표는 14.19→14.67→15.55, 이를 넘으면 16.22·16.5·17 언급. - 명확한 패턴이 없어 방향은 5:5로 판단. [테슬라] - 실적 호조 후 상승 지속, 갭 메움 후 종가 기준 강세 유지. - 단기 저항 약 387~400 구간, 시장이 안정되면 400~420 상승 가능성 언급. - 조정 시 273 및 200일선 부근 하락 가능성 제시, 6.18 부근 지지 확인 필요. - 시장 전체 흐름에 연동되는 장세로 판단. [시장·운용 원칙] - 전반적 시장 흐름에 따라 개별 종목 동반 움직임, 시장 매매 관점 강조. - 스윙 포지션은 전체 포트폴리오의 10% 이내로 제한, 장기 보유 방식 언급. - 진행자는 최근 휴가 복귀 후 차트 복귀 중이며, 관련 교육·회원 가입 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
ocom daily chart1 18 million Nvidia 3.07% up or $514 cents green on the day we did close at alltime highs so everyone's excited guys going into ear earnings on the 10th so if it wasn't for earnings guys you have uh bullish pattern little little bit of an inside bar you know slightly bearish pattern but it popped up above this high and closed at intraday high so that's pretty much off the table I want to see more follow through on volume so if this thing kind of Putters out you know just kind of starts going sideways like this then it's just going to wait until earnings and then you know 50/50 shot guys it could go up 30 bucks or drop 30 bucks we'll see what happens but overall Guys Without earning bullish stance above the Mas nothing wrong this was a great pattern going up other than this little downward it's still it's still bullish still above the Mas that's pretty much how everything's uh geared to guys just keep it above the mas and keep it floating on the light volume markets but again earnings on the 10th we'll see what happens then but remember remember this day when this thing was getting killed and the whole Market was coming down and everything was getting burned I think the NASDAQ was down 200 on this day so if this thing happens to come down on earnings look out guys guys the cues will be bombing the markets will be bombing period so nvidia's kind of driving the markets right now it is the leader it is the uhon horse uh the group making new intraday highs so let's see what happens on I think the 10th is on Thursday so right now let's just see where this thing stands does it you know grind up in the earnings or does this kind kind of just stall out because you know it did go from 158 to 172 in the last seven days nice little rise in the earnings but everyone's getting excited everyone's holding their position no idea guys 50/50 shot Nvidia but the volume's been okay great stance just to see what happens if you are long protect it if you're short just hang on for de life AMD so AMD guys had earnings uh a couple weeks ago or a week and a half ago what have you right into this area we talked about the 1555 High pivot this is where we went short before we covered down in here came back great trading vehicle up and down in this channel height of the channel this was ready to break out and could not do it came right back in filled the Gap got below the 20 now we're hovering over this little pivot here the 50 Ma and this big trend line down in this area if this goes sideways for the next week or two this will be setting up for possible lower prices it's it's still hard to say guys we're at the lower end of the range here in this channel so at this point we could go right back up and shoot for the 1555 it's not really giving us a pattern but until we get above the 20 here and come back and confirm term this thing should stay down in here and then consolidate for possible lower prices we have great support down here we have good resistance so it's kind of a 5050 shot if you ask me you know we're back in the lower end range but we're just going to to wait for pattern and see what happens with this volume's been uh okay you know kind of calm down after earnings down in here back to the usual suspect you know about what 57 million on the day so let's see what happens let's see what kind of pattern it comes up bullish you got to get back above the 20 and keep going big area would be the 1419 and get get above this trend line here pretty much the 1419 if we can get above that then we'll comeing up we'll contend with the 1467 double tap here and then we might go to 1555 again and then keep going if we could get above that 1555 this thing will break out to 1622 1650 17 and keep going I still have an area right around 1776 as well $20 too so we'll have to see right now just waiting on pattern little bit over sold here the Bulls will come out but if this thing starts dropping here this is a great buying opportunity down in here with gap Phill if this gives up then we'll probably going to go back down to the $10 or the 990 area and this should be a buying opportunity but we're going to have to line it up with the Spy as a market trade guys if this spy is selling and this comes into a good area and the overall markets are going down this will go lower so right now still above the 50 still above the 200 okay stance let's see what pattern develops in the next week or so and let's see what it happens on the uh Friday close or the weekly close that will tell us a little bit more in AMD let's go into Tesla Tesla had good earnings uh popped up uh continuing uh higher we did fill the Gap today and the 618 we closed right on top of it guys 135 actually a couple pennies above it so let's see if we can shoot for the 750 this is some good resistance right up in here guys even in the Gap fill here too you had two or three big red bars down had a nice retrace up to kill the puts came back in puts got excited they hang on hung on a little bit longer then they jabbed it to them we are back above the ma so it's a strong stance but we're back into the 618 the 750 this is a good area to possibly short Tesla or where some technical guys will start shorten this one if you are long too you know if you were in pain down here you get a $50 move you know you got to think some people are you know you get a $50 move I'm taking profits and saying Thank you very much if it goes up I'll Resort it and do it that way you know there's a couple different ways to play this thing but right now it's just grinding up uh it's down a little bit volume was volume's tapering off from the uh from the uh earnings news but we'll see again guys if the overall markets pull back everything will pull back with it so right now we're kind of waiting for pattern see if we stay above the 50 or does it come right back in you got to get if you're bullish you got to stay up in here go sideways pattern in a bullish setup and then possibly the next move up I'm still thinking you know 387 up in here and possibly 400 if this sets up to go higher and the market stay complacent if the market start to sell and this thing gets a little bit choppy this will be coming down probably testing a 300 I still think we'll hit the 200 ma down in this way so up move 400 410 420 down move you got 273 and uh it's going to be the overall markets guys Market stay buoyant light volume this will continue to grind if the markets start to hit some headwinds this will pull back with the markets as well as everything else so it will be a market trade overall all right guys I'm still getting back into the groove here just came back from a uh vacation in Maui it was great um just trying to get back in uh into the charts into the swing of things and uh if you have kids you know how it goes they're going back to school a lot of stuff going on in my life right now but miss the charts miss making these videos for you guys so far so good on this stuff the AMD worked out this one was retracing came back popped up on earnings and then the Nvidia coming up on the 10th but everything's going pretty good we've been covering trades in our uh swing trade positions we're out about uh 33 or 34 winners out of 120 stocks some are in the money we've covered half we' done trades multiple times everything's going good guys I'm I'm just set trades out there no more than 10% of your total portfolio and let them ride guys long or short short I don't really care but uh I'm just an old schooler guys used to be more aggressive back in the day but right now I just like to set positions especially on the High Flyers let them come in and that's how we do it here at stock bookie.com all right guys again if you want to uh sign up for the free membership go to stockbookie outcom if you want to subscribe to my YouTube channel come down here just subscribe and thanks I really want to thank you for coming by and checking out my videos hopefully I'm helping some of you guys out there if you have any questions or comments send it to me stockbookie gmail.com and we'll go from there again thanks everybody for stopping by God bless see you on the charts
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