저자: Somi · 외국인
요약 보기
암호화폐 전반이 붕괴 중이며 비트코인은 4개월 연속 음봉으로 약세장이 확인됐다는 주장. 바이낸스 매도, CZ 관련 이슈, 고점 이후 약 12개월 뒤 바닥 가능성을 제시하나 확신은 없음. 알트코인은 대부분 90% 이상 하락, 투자자 심리는 극도로 악화. 마이클 세일러·톰 리 등 고레버리지 포지션 손실을 언급. 미 제조업 PMI 선행지표는 약 51.9로 개선 신호 제시. 비트코인 CME 갭과 과거 갭 하락 후 반등 사례를 언급하나 방향은 단정하지 않음.
다듬은 글
. I'm going down with the ship. This is Captain Somi. You and I have been here on this journey. I was about to say wonderful, but it's it's more like wankerful. I did not think I would be having no sleep season because everything is cratering to zero. And I really haven't set plans. So, as you get to see, crypto has been nuking to zero.
Um, it's always Binance dumping. So, Binance has just dumped. They've been dumping a billion dollars every day. Binance just dumped a billion dollars this weekend, causing Bitcoin to crash to 77K. It actually went to as low as 75,000. I think the crypto markets will not recover until CZ is back in jail.
He says Tradfi noticed what CZ did on 1010 and quietly exited their crypto positions. This is why Bitcoin decoupled from gold and equities in October. You do not hate him enough. I don't know, friends. There's a lot of people conflicting stuff. He because you know with humans you got to be careful. We want a boogeyman.
We want one person to be the cause. Like we want to point and say it's winter mute. We want to say it was soy bankman. We want to say this. We want to say that. It's just it's all of the factors put together. You know I don't think it's just one cause but that's just something we have to be mindful of.
Um also f just get just so you obviously know. So the state of this candle is pretty much cooked. Um, this is the the Bitcoin on on the weekly chart as we climbing the wall of worry. Just looks like everything's more just trash. Absolute trash. Um, this is the obviously the monthly candle for BTC. Four red monthly candles in a row.
Can we reclaim? Uh, I don't even want to talk about stuff like that. I mean, you didn't give a You know what I mean? Like it just seems like it's totally just done. Uh, feels like it's bare market confirmed. Hopefully it turns around cuz it's like convinced everybody. Oh, it actually is now bare market confirmed.
Just so you know where we stand, you know, crypto cycles, you measure from the top of Bitcoin, okay? And you walk forward 12 months and that's around the bottoming zone. The problem is Bitcoin made its top in October, but Trump was the euphoria, Trump victory, which was much earlier. Does that mean like we're just if man if that happens friends I swear someone's going to start shooting up a school or something because if that actually happens where it because just so you know why why why is the pain infinite in crypto when you make when crypto makes the bottom all right let's say it is 12 months after this October 2025 if you make the bottom at the end of this year Bitcoin has then starting a year of its range grinding up.
It's starting it slowly working. It takes a whole year and all coins are still cooked. So that would mean you've wasted with me all of last year 2025 plus 2026 plus 2027 will be wasted and then the new Bitcoin haring year. Guess what? It's not going to be soana stuff. It's going to be something else different.
It's going to be a whole new set of narratives. And now you're going to be a massive dinosaur coin. Every coin you have now is a super dinosaur coin. It was new back in 2021. Yeah, that was 2021, man. We're moving into 2026 now. Next year's 2027. Like in 2021, friends, if you bought a coin from 2016, you would think it's like really ancient, really ancient.
Well, that's where we are now. You know, I don't know how this is going to resolve. Um, everybody's waiting for 55K. Maybe it stops here because everyone wants 55. I don't know. I don't know. Um, there's been the biggest CME gap ever. That's what they do. They just come and market hunt everybody. This is a comment from Jim Kramer.
He says, "I'm I'm always surprised that those who have the most to lose by a falling Bitcoin, $80,000 line in the sand, don't defend it over the weekend." He's talking about Michael Sailor. Michael Sailor friends went offside. So he he inserted in a very family-friendly way $55 billion of non-familyfriendly leverage.
You know, stock market ponzi money. We have super sin. I keep the pain inside of me. Yeah, me too. We also have Tom Lee destroyed as well. You know, I have a poll here which I made everyone. I'm just doing, you know, polls for everyone. What's your current crypto sentiment and feeling fine and steady anxiety max fee?
Okay, now most people why you think why is 50% fine and steady is because Polrain has been going down steady with all the other altcoins for like the past 12 months. So they're like, "Oh, we we really we died a long time ago." Like, you know, we've been wrecked for a long time. Who cares? That that's why a lot of people are like, "Oh, it's fine and steady." like you know we're still like getting crushed but we still have about 50% of people saying I have anxiety and max fear I feel like I want to end my life see you know normally let's just have a let's have an honest talk to each other normally how life works is someone's in a very negative mental state and they just want to end it all and then like a Dr.
Phil guy or a mentor comes in and says gives you the speech. Don't worry, [clears throat] life gets better. I know it looks bad now. I know you've had a really bad year. Life gets better. It's about to turn around. Don't worry. Okay, I caution that because we have 300 million people plus in crypto. All right, there's 700 million total, 300 million in altcoins, the other couple hundred million in Bitcoin.
300 million people who have been told for 5 years, don't worry, the bad year is over now, you know, and then another year comes and then another year comes and it gets worse and worse and worse, you know, you have 5 years of that, you know. So, I will take extreme caution. I can't tell you it's going to get better.
I don't want I don't want to say, "Oh, it's definitely going to get better." I don't want to tell myself that. What if you have what if you're clutching onto this one, you know? What if you really aren't? You're clutching on. You need this thing to do. Like people are already broken. They're shredded.
So, I don't know. You know, I don't know what God's plan is for this one. I mean, you've trained 380 million people to backstab, lie, cheat, steal, never trust anybody's word, harm their fellow brothers and sisters. That's what the lesson is here, isn't it? It really is. Hey, dump before everybody else.
Lie to everyone else. cheap still. You know, it is what it is. This is the Pulse Chain price. Uh Pulse Chain is down 96%. Pretty much from that launch. It's down or pretty much let's call the fat flat 90% down from the from sacrifice. But yeah, the we have a destroyed PMI environment. So yeah, we you know, never say never.
We had an entire crypto cycle where the PMI never went up above 50. Yeah, it never went up above 50. 38 months bad in a row. I can show you and I've told you in made videos as well. The Chicago PMI came out 54. That's a front running forward-looking indicator. So they ex the if you plug in the the actual PM PMI from the top five manufacturing states, you know, Michigan, Chartan, uh Philadelphia, New York.
If you plug them in, you get a PMI of 51.9 in the next two months. It's actually the next tick over, right? Not the February this month, February month. It's the one after that. So, I don't know. I just don't know because that's, you know, oh, everything gets better right around the corner. How many times we heard that?
How many times we heard that? Too many times. Shout out to Jack. All part of the game of life, ups and downs, but if you're in crypto, it's all effing down. happens. Good day to you, sir. This is big news as well, friends. Check this out. Do you remember this guy, Garrett? Do you remember the insider?
The Trump insider Trump insider whale, Bitcoin whale, Garrett Jinn shorted Bitcoin into Black Swan day, October 10th, he made $200 million on the crash getting short. So, he knew there was going to be the Tarif thing with China and whatever it was. Okay, he made made 200 million. But today, he was fully liquidated on his Ethereum long.
He lost 250 million. Wa. His lifetime loss is now 128 million. He has $53 left in his hyperlquid account. So what actually happened? This is the actual transactions. Yeah. So what actually happened here, friends? Well, you can know the news ahead of time, but you don't know how the market's going to react.
That's why people who watch the goat trader Nancy Pelosi, Grandma Saggy Boobs, she will know information about a company ahead of time, but it doesn't necessarily mean she makes all the money all the time cuz there are times where the good stuff is priced in. So then when the good news comes out, it drops.
You know, obviously if you have constant streams of insider information, yes, you win over time. But this is an example where probably Garrett got told, "Hey, there's going to be good news." Probably even Trump thought it was going to pump, right? Tom Lee's Ethereum position is now6 billion loss. ETH hit 2,200 pretty much.
Tom Lee bought 4 million ETH total 3.20% of the supply which is huge amount. He couldn't even hold it up, man. You need to buy more. Mr. Tom Lee Tomley. Yeah, we witnessed the dude literally get a lot of leverage, get in and get cracked. Michael Sailor is now pretty much he's pretty much break even on his Bitcoin position, friends.
You know, he's up like a couple of percentages, right? Um inserted 55 billion. He's only like, you know, this is this is just nuts. He's Yes, it it is it is quite the tale to watch somebody insert $55 billion and he can't even go on side. So, why is that? It's because he was getting dumped on by the Bitcoin OG whale scum.
But then if you go speak to somebody else, let's say Richard Hart, they'd be like, "No, don't blame the Bitcoin Wales, you're buying the top of an S-curve. You can't really blame them, you know, like you can, you know, it's them, but you know, you're buying the latest stage adoption stuff, but you're saying it's the the beginning, you know, it is what it is." Like not like anyone can talk cuz altcoins add tech, but they just dropped 99% worse, right?
This is the current state of the crypto industry. Crypto Bitlord. We believe Ripple have failed and are covering it up. If you're interested in an XRP CTO, let me know. We're going to launch a CTO and that's that. That's a community takeover. Do what you want. Be careful. It's going to rug. It's going to die off.
He might be joking. Probably not joking when he says stuff like that. May wealth, what's going on here? Well, I do appreciate you, Mr. Mayor Wealth. Yes, it could be just him trolling and stuff, you know. So there's no real news for why these things went down. It just it is what it is. There was Iran multiple explosions.
USA denying involvement. Crypto turbo nuking hard through a weekend on purpose coordination. The Bitcoin CE gap. It's currently around $6,000 from close. It went as high as 8,000. And this is where I just want to show you something. I actually showed fans. This is where it's juicy for you. I found there are two gap downs we had which were big gap downs and it was inter lows and then it went up.
This was in 2024. This was Japan yen crisis and then this one was Trump tariff. Okay. So what's this going to be? I I don't know. There's no news. We'll just look back at it. I don't know. Oh the second government shutdown or I don't know. It doesn't necessarily mean it works. It doesn't at all. you know, we could go down.
I mean, you know, everyone's been saying everything's a scam in crypto and they've been right. It's been a total waste of time. Um, a very sad experience. And I've even written here. Um, since this industry is cursed, I wouldn't hold my breath expecting anything good to happen. As promised, fans, I I light the candle multiple times a day.
Hasn't been working for a long time. But we I've already told you, right? Uh do you remember we went through this a couple of months ago? It was literally a couple of months ago friends like November last year. I said okay look let's say it is bare market confirmed let's let's mark it out which is what we did we go okay in the past bitcoin goes down the whole industry is cooked for 12 to 14 months after its top that would be Q4 of this year and it's still cooked by December and then okay it'll restart next year and then normally Bitcoin just recovers but you you got some quirks now friends you do you got some quirks you got a Bitcoin dominance starting very high.
Okay, it's starting very high and we have others BTC starting very low which is right here. Others BTC starting low. Okay, so that's not so normally start a bare market your others BTC starts after a rally. Okay, normally now they're saying bare market confirmed here. This is why it's it just something tells me it's not going to play out like this, man.
And also we have an Ethereum ETH BTC which is starting low. Yeah, that never happened before. So look, if we go if we go off patterns, fourth cycle stuff runs early. That's what Bitcoin did. That's what XRP did. XRP ran in 2024, right? It ran early. remember XRP it just broke the high fourth cycle and Bitcoin fourth cycle right Ethereum had third cycle curse you know that's what we might we might friends look back in the future let's say in like 20 years from now let's say crypto finally goes up like 2% okay from here we'll look back and we'll say ah this was the third cycle curse Ethereum's third cycle curse cycle we might look at that and be like it was Ethereum cucked everybody it's just it's it got so destroyed voided on the ETH BTC we're cooked, right?
But now we're starting it like this. So, you know, that's why we have to wrestle. We have to wrestle this. Does that mean can Ethereum recover and just go up only? Oh, man. What if we just recover down here and literally just turbo cooked? It could happen. This could happen. Well, that's it. We come back down and it's another whole year wasted.
Yeah, we don't have much answers. We know that everybody's adding tech if it's such a some there's some there's some scamming going on here. I'm telling you there's some scamming. You wake up every day the amount of technology that's being added in crypto from altcoins. It just keeps increasing infrastructure bridges all this altcoin tech privacy, right?
Bitcoin's adding nothing but Bitcoin has the bid. Yeah. And you just saw gold and silver which is utility store value narrative, right? You know, that's something to think about. You know, you still got Monero through its highest, right? Monero came popped up. Is Monero now going to start its descent into hell?
There's been a couple of things fans that just make no sense, right? Like this is like, you know, Monero went up and we have Tron as well. Tron moving up. Are they going to start their descent going down and everything else that's down 90% now just goes sideways for a year while these things go down?
Guess we'll find out. Like, subscribe, belly button, and all. Catch you in the next one.
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