저자: PaulThomas · 외국인
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팔란티어는 Q2 실적 호조(매출 +27%, 미국 상업 매출 +55%, 6·7분기 연속 영업이익·순이익 흑자)와 대형 계약(미 국방부 Maven 최대 4.8억달러, Titan 1.78억달러)을 근거로 제시됨. 시빌 블랙 아래 흐름이 강하고 Ken Griffin·De Shaw의 지분 확대가 언급됨. 2030~2040년 1조달러 시총 도달 가능성과 S&P500 편입 가능성을 논함. 다만 주가가 저항선에 부딪힐 수 있다는 단기 우려도 함께 언급. 면책 고지 포함.
다듬은 글
paler stock is up over 35% in the past 2 weeks but there is rumors that paler could be set for a new all-time high in the coming weeks there is an upcoming Catalyst for paler in the coming weeks that could see the stock rise rapidly Nvidia has been getting all the headlines in recent weeks but one Wall Street billionaire in particular has recently decided to dump Invidia stock and load up on paler stock in this video I'm going to analyze paler stock and what we can expect in the near term this is a mostat video for paler stockholders ERS before we get into the video if you find any value in this can I ask you to smash the like button it literally cost you nothing but it helps me out so much I'm aiming to get 400 likes on this video help me hit that goal subscribe to the channel and hit the Bell notification if you're new so you don't miss out on any new content like this I'm not a financial adviser this is not Financial advice so always do your own due diligence now there's a lot to discuss so let's get straight into it so what is paler Technologies paler is a software company that builds the world's leading platforms for data-driven operations and decision making paler specializes in data analytics its software lets businesses capture and integrate data develop and manage Ai and machine learning models and build applications that incorporate those data sets and models these applications help workers make better decisions and paler develop long-term Partnerships with organizations working together to help them realize the value in their data and transform how they operate the company provides solutions for many Industries such as Automotive cyber Financial compliance law enforcement and Defense Forces among others it serves various private Enterprises public institutions and nonprofit organizations paler is a fully global company and has operations in North America Europe Asia and the Middle East but palente is headquartered in the US so that's a very simple breakdown of what paler is and what they do now paler recently debuted a new product called AIP or artificial intelligence platform which brings support for large language models and generative AI to its existing software with industry analysts having praised palander for its technology developments ranking paler as a leader in the artificial intelligence and machine learning and data science Market in many reports over the past 2 years looking at the recent investors presentation huner reported encouraging fincial results in Q2 paler beat analyst estimates with very encouraging results pretty much exactly what I predicted in my paler earnings preview video and the stock has been on the rise ever since us commercial Revenue grew 55% year-over-year and total revenue grew 27% but only 7% from the previous quarter its customer count climbed 133% from the previous quarter and a whopping 83% year-over-year with the average existing customer spending more in turn Revenue increased to $678 million and palente recorded Gap EPS growth of 500% and an adjusted EPS of 9 now importantly paner recorded their sixth consecutive quarter of Gap operating profitability and their seventh consecutive quarter of Gap profitability this is important and paves the way for a bigger development that I will be speaking about in just a moment in a lot of ways Q 2 2024 was by far paler best quarter to date they have increased their income they have increased their customer base signed 96 New Deals of at least $1 million or more and paler have ended the quarter in a better position than before with no debt and $4 billion in cash and cash equivalents but paler also signed major new deals in recent months such as the deal with Tampa General Hospital a deal with starlab and a partnership with Polaris and this is on top of agreements earlier in the year such as the deal with the US Army to deliver the Titan Next Generation deep sensing capability which is worth over $180 million or the deal with Oracle to provide secure platform and AI solutions that power businesses and governments around the world with guidance set for Q3 of between 697 million and $71 million paler did also raise their full year 2024 guidance yet again estimating 2024 sales of between 2.74 and $2.75 billion and expect to report free cash flow of between 800 of between $800 million and $1 billion this year providing the company with enough room to Target Acquisitions and invest heavily in organic growth now before I speak about what I consider to be one of paler biggest deals to date I did say at the start that a major Wall Street billionaire has decided to dump inidia stock and load up on paler stock and that is none other than Citadel founder King Griffin who recently slashed his position in Nvidia by 80% but bought up over 5.6 million shares of paler worth more than $170 million and we can see here from a 13f file last week another huge increase in ownership from De Shaw and Co looking at the charts we can see the paler is very much on the up and has been for more than a year the stock has been moving consistently in this channel since May 2023 but it appears that we might be facing heavy resistance in the coming weeks so what do you think about this is Ken Griffin right to be loading up on paler this month after all the stock is up about 30% since his purchase but can paler break through the resistance and fly to a new all-time high or will the stock fall back again into the mid-20s let me know your thoughts in the comments below paler bags $480 million deal from Pentagon to inject Battlefield AI into the entire military but this is for the maven smart system to be used across the Department of Defense by 2029 although there's not many details at this stage the the Department of Defense says that it wants paler to have the work done by 2029 now according to paler this deal is for far more than just the MSS prototypes up to 480 million will be awarded over 5 years to make licenses a available across the dod so let's break this down into simple numbers for just a moment assuming that this Revenue would be split evenly across the 5 years that would amount to $96 million per year so although this is a big announcement and it is a big deal it is still quite small considering that they're expecting annual revenue of 2.6 billion this year alone but paler are signing deal after deal after deal and it does add up and paler did recently sign another deal which I'll talk about in just a moment so Maven is arguably the pentagon's highest profile artificial intelligence projects and involves the use of AI models and algorithms to identify Battlefield targets from available information and surveillance visuals such as drone video footage pener said its latest contract is beginning with the $150 million order for the MSS rollout at certain combatant commands and the joint staff with plans to continue deploying it Beyond this this latest contract isn't the only Maven related Project work that paler is doing for the dod right now either and it was awarded a $178 million contract earlier this year for an army vehicle called the Titan ground station now before we look at the possibility of paler becoming a$1 trillion company I'm getting so many comments about what stock to cover next so I'm thinking about doing either a Neo update or a Sofi update and then maybe one or two more videos over the weekend comment below which stock analysis you would like to see most Sofi or Neo and if you have any other suggestions drop them in the comments too so could paler stock be worth $1 trillion by 2040 paler would need to grow its annual revenue massively and unrealistically to achieve 1 trillion by 2030 however it could well be possible to achieve this by 2040 so let's look at some of the details the stock would have to increase by more than 20 fold to reach 1 trillion the company is projected to generate approximately 2.7 billion in Revenue this year hypothetically if paler can grow its Revenue by 20% a year consistently it would generate approximately 50 billion in Revenue by 2040 if we place a 10 times multiple on that and the company would be worth about 500 billion that's an increase in value of more than 10 times but still far less than 1 trillion however if paler can accelerate its annual ual growth rate to 25% it would generate about 96 billion in 2040 Revenue at that point it could well become a trillion dollar stock so the question is can paler grow its annual growth rate by 25% or more for the next decade and although the answer to this is not simple we just need to look at the investors presentation and the recent Financial results to see what is being achieved to date we can see here that they grew Revenue by 27% and they grew their us commercial Revenue by over 55% and Alex carp has been talking about the rule of 40 in his recent earnings call the rule of 40 is a common metric used to measure the performance of a software as a service company measuring the trade-off between profitability and growth the rule of 40 asserts asserts that a successful sa company's growth rate and profit margin should add up to 40% or more which paler has been doing fairly consistently for the past couple of years but to keep this up for the next 15 years is a whole other level but if AI is still in its early days and paler technology becomes foundational platform for both governments and Commercial businesses then it is very possible after all Alex KP did say that he expects Palante here to become the biggest AI company in the world in the coming years but what is more likely and something that is very possible this year is that paler could be included in the SNP 500 the S&P 500 is an index comprised of the 500 biggest companies in the US and getting inducted into the S&P 500 is a big milestone that represents major validation for businesses the eligibility requirements for inclusion into the index are no small feet so how does a company become included in the S&P 500 and if paler is to get into the S&P then why are insiders selling shares now but in terms of market cap in terms of trading volume and public ownership paler fits the bill but one of the most important variables revolves around profitability specifically the sum of the company's trailing 12month earnings must be positive paler recently became profitable and as we can see here palen's earnings have been positive for the past five consecutive quarters well it's highly likely that induction into the S&P 500 Index will put paler on the radar of more institutional investors as such the company's coverage from investment Banks and interest from Hedge May begin to increase and all of this is good for investors now although palente inclusion in the S&P 500 is not guaranteed I would be surprised if it isn't included in the upcoming rebalancing but guys nothing is for certain and I would love to hear your thoughts about this in the comments below and paler become a$1 trillion company and realistically how long do you think that that would take now that the company is finally profitable now this is just my opinion and there is a lot of variables to consider 2014 is a long way away and this is not Financial advice now there is a lot of talk as always about paler on social media but always do your own due diligence remember I'm not a financial adviser but if you enjoyed this analysis then please like And subscribe I hope you make a load of money on this stock follow me on Twitter and I'll catch you in the next
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