저자: PaulThomasInvesting · 외국인
요약 보기
팔란티어가 S&P500 편입에서 제외됐지만 일시적 조정으로 보고, 최근 계약(탬파 종합병원 5천만 달러, 국방부 1억 5300만 달러 초기 수주)과 매출 성장 가속, 수익성 개선을 근거로 매수 관점을 제시. 다만 주가수익비율(PSR)이 높아 변동성에 대비해 5년 이상 장기 보유가 필요하다고 언급. 내부자 매도와 캐시 우드의 매수도 함께 언급.
다듬은 글
it's been another up and down week for paler stock after initially surging early in the week the stock cooled off again but there has actually been some important developments for paler so what the hell is going on at paler and should we be worried in this video I will explore this and much much more as well as what I consider to be a huge opportunity over the next two weeks now we've got a lot to get through in this video so I will keep this intro short but if you find any value in this video s 500 likes on this video help me achieve this goal subscribe to the channel if you're new want to point out that and try to answer the question later in this video but for now let's get straight into it with first looking at the little issue of being excluded from the S&P 500 paler was left out of the S&P 500 but it still looks a buy as we found out on June 7th paler will not be one of the companies included in the S&P 500 Index in the immediate aftermath paler stock dropped 2% but the stock was up 7.7% for the week before the announcement now obviously shareholders are disappointed that pltr or stock was not included in the S&P 500 however this seems more like a temporary setback than a permanent exclusion now if you follow this channel I made a video 3 weeks ago talking about a huge opportunity to make huge gains leading up to the possible S&P 500 inclusion now obviously I was disappointed that paler was not included in the S&P 500 and I got a lot of comments calling me an idiot for thinking that the stock was going to be included and a lot of stupid comments saying that the stock is going to nose dive now but I do have to wonder did these people even watch that video at all I spoke about a possible double your money opportunity leading up to June 7th but this was not about the stock doubling in price this is about the insane main options opportunities that were available quite literally I was talking about the 22 and $23 call options for June 2st as you can see here looking back at that video from 3 weeks ago these options were 49 cents for the $22 calls and 26 Cents for the $23 calls now for anyone who took this on board did a little due diligence and decided to follow this made far more than double their money even today these options are now worth one 68 for the $22 call and $85 for the $23 calls that is a gain of over 200% on the trade in less than 3 weeks so let me know your thoughts in the comments below did you follow along and make a huge profit here or are you one of the people who left a stupid comment but interestingly the stock is now $23 do you think that paler is going to go up or going to go down from here over the next 2 weeks and I have just loaded up on another set of options trades for the next next 2 weeks June 28 options for another stock that is a multibagger options play drop a comment below to find out more about this now while paler exclusion from the S&P is disappointing they did announce major new contracts a $50 million contract with Tampa General Hospital and an initial 153 million order from the US Department of Defense to make licenses for palente AIP platform available across the dod the award has the potential to grow to $480 million over 5 years three reasons to buy paler stock and one reason to avoid it now this is a very interesting article so there is a link to this in the description below if you want to read it in full but I'm just going to go over the main points so paler has got a lot of attention over the past couple of years and specifically over the past 12 months as the AI boom has really taken off with the likes of Invidia and super micro computer going parabolic but paler has been in the AI business since it was founded more than 20 years ago with palen's multiple Decades of expertise it's becoming a top pick for companies looking to integrate AI models and decision- making into their businesses so this article states that paler is a top AI pick with three reasons why it's a buy but also one major reason to avoid the stock so let's take a look at the positives and the negatives reason to buy number one palen's latest product has been a hit while some of palen's AI tools have been around for a while its latest product AIP has been all the rage this gives clients the tools they need to integrate AI into Everyday workflows by centralizing all data flows into one location AIP helps businesses make decisions on the most upto-date information that they have it also allows large language model integration which is the technology behind generative AI which further arms users to automate and streamline workflows palente management consistently used the word unprecedent Ed when discussing AIP demand and this platform will be a major Revenue driver for years to come which leads on to reason to buy number two and that is that Revenue growth is accelerating so due to the unprecedented demand paler Revenue growth has been accelerating in q1 Revenue grew at a 21% to 634 million the fastest Pace since late 2022 but in Q2 manag is expecting up to 653 million indicating a 22% Revenue growth growth acceleration is something investors love to see and its quicker growth rate helps justify the stock price which leads us to reason number three palente margins so paler became profitable in 2023 when it started producing small profits and since then its profit margins have continued to steadily take up which can be an incredibly powerful combination when Revenue growth is accelerating now Alex carp has talked about this loads of times especially when he's been talking about paler maintaining the rule of 40 and this refers to the sum of Revenue growth year-over-year and adjusted operating margin for each quarter as we can see here paler is not just growing its revenues at all costs the company is maintaining its strong year-over-year Revenue growth but more importantly they're improving their operating margins in the past quarter the adjusted operating margin of 36% and the rule of 40 of 57% is the strongest and best returns in the company's recent history now finally the reason to avoid paler stock and that's that it's fair from cheap now it says here that even if everything about the stock is perfect buying it at the wrong price can be a disaster and this article uses Zoom as an example anyone who bought zoom in late 2020 is down nearly 90% on their initial investment now I don't agree with this example because you could say that about 90% of the market from 2020 onwards hell if you even look at Facebook meta stock dropped over 75% and it didn't start to turn around until late 2020 since then it's been on a run and hit a new all-time high this quarter the same can be said for nearly all major tech stocks another example being Amazon that dropped close to 60% in the same period at 21 time sales hen's price to sales ratio is nearly equal to its growth rate this normally doesn't bode well for a stock as it indicates incredibly high growth expectations but is that enough to completely avoid the stock I don't think so if investors avoided companies like Amazon or Nvidia because they were too expensive then they'd have missed out on the massive winners however however highly priced stocks can be volatile so you'll need to set a longer holding period of around 5 years to make it worth it if you can do that then paler could be a fantastic AI investment at these levels and of course we like to look at the options place where paler is always a good play if you are looking at Future catalysts in the short term and looking at the price action but another big potential downside that I did speak about in recent videos is the fact that insiders are selling in a big way Alex carp has been selling stock and Peter teal recently sold over a quarter of a billion dollars worth of stock but although they've been selling another major investor has been buying over the past 3 months Kathy Wood of AR invest has been loading up on paler stock and in May alone Kathy Wood bought approximately 1.5 million shares so what do you think about this a lot of investors now avoid what Kathy Wood is doing just like how people will do the opposite of what Jim crarer says to do and there's a lot of talk on social media right now about paler and what direction people are expecting the stock to go so always do your own due diligence remember that but if you enjoyed this analysis then please like And subscribe and of course comment down below if you want to know what options trades I am looking at for the rest of Jun in the next video
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