(NVDA) Nvidia -16% 📉On Q3 Earnings | ₿ Crypto Boom Correction

요약 보기

엔비디아 3분기 실적은 매출이 소폭 미달이었고, 4분기 가이던스가 약해 주가가 16% 하락했다. 실적 내용: 엔비디아는 EPS 13센트 상회했으나 매출은 약 6천만 달러 하회했고, 매출 31.8억 달러로 전년 대비 205% 성장했다. 배당: 분기 배당을 15센트에서 16센트로(약 6.7%) 인상했다. 4분기 가이던스: 매출 27.8억 달러(±2%), 비GAAP 매출총이익률 62.5%(±50bp), 운영비용 7.55억 달러, 기타 수지 2,100만 달러. 부문별 성과: 게이밍 +133%, 프로페셔널 비주얼라이제이션 +28%, 데이터센터 +58%, 자동차 +19%, OEM -23%. 원인 분석: 2017년 가상화폐 붐으로 주가가 급등했으나, 가상화폐 채굴 수요 소멸로 가이던스가 하향되었다. 경영진은 채널 재고 조정을 언급했다. AMD도 같은 영향을 받았다고 진행자는 언급. 진행자 입장: 장기 투자 논리는 유지하며 하락한 가격에 M1 Finance로 추가 매수해 평균단가를 낮출 계획이다. 2018년 3분기는 기술주, 대마, 유가 등 전반적으로 부진한 시기였다고 평가. 리스크: 가상화폐 시장 침체가 지속되면 수요 회복이 늦어질 수 있다. 진행자 전망: 엔비디아는 강세장으로 복귀하면 주가가 회복될 것으로 본다(시점은 명시하지 않음).

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. all right well we did not get the earnings we wanted from Nvidia so not a very good earnings report and a very very negative reaction uh to the quarter earnings so uh Nvidia actually trended up most of the day it uh closed the market at uh about $22 and then at Market close once they reported earnings guys right here it fell off uh planet Earth hit $170 and now it has ticked down even more cents and it's currently sitting at $165 40 so uh let's go take a look at the report uh this kind of sucks on the other hand um I said mentioned in my video the other day I'm going to continue to stay along with Nvidia and I'm just going to eat the loss and add to my position in my M1 Finance portfolio um you know I still think this is a great company this has been quarter three of 2018 has been the worst round of earnings I can remember in uh clear memory um I'm not even going to lie to you between all the big um tech companies the MJ companies and just the whole entire stock market as a whole uh Q3 for 2018 has been terrible across the board so um I'm not going to get emotional here and sell off one of my favorite companies or try to move out of the position because I know how great Nvidia is and uh you know this price will recover quite a bit as we get uh get in a little bit more of a bull market but uh yeah my position is not looking very good right now all right so here it is guys Nvidia beat by 13 cents on the top line but they miss Revenue by $60 million okay and uh they're still at a plus 205% year-over-year growth rate and they had a revenue of 3.18 billion so $60 million not a huge mess uh if you compare it to the $ 3.18 billion but a Miss nonetheless and uh there is a couple of things also a couple little articles I'm going to go through we actually got some good news in here if you want to look at like that so right here's the good news guys Nvidia CL declares a 16c dividend so read across to here guys the uh share of the quarterly dividend was a 6.7% increase from the prior dividend of 15 cent so now the forward yield is up 32% now Nvidia has never paid a very big dividend and that's never really been the motivating factor why anybody has gotten invested with them but uh this is a little bit of good news we need to try to focus on the positive things going on right now and uh so we did get a small dividend increase so a while back when I made my Nvidia stock analysis video guys this is one probably one of the first things I talked about in that video is that as the crypto boom comes to an end uh Nvidia will see some downward guidance okay and that has uh certainly come true here so Nvidia plunge 16 .6% on quarter three results uh it just kind of Recaps their EPs and revenue figures but the the downside guidance guys is the absence of the crypto mining uh cryptocurrency mining okay and that has also took a big hit on AMD as well so quarter 4 Revenue has downside revenue of 2.78 billion plus or minus 2% the non Gap gross margin of 62.5 % plus or minus 50 BPS operating expense of 755 million and other income expense of 21 million uh let's take a look at the revenue by market platform I think that's always something I really key into whenever Nvidia reports earnings but their gaming guys up 133% year-over-year professional visualization is up 28% year-over-year their data center is up 58% year-over-year Automotive is up 19% year-over-year and OEM is at a negative uh 23% year-over year so that is really hurting them OEM and IP so uh again like I said the big crypto boom of 2017 is really what you know kind of pushed the stock up so high and now that is coming to an end as uh you know cryptocurrency is just not uh not the hot uh commodity any longer now this little management quote right here guys our near-term is reflect EXs Channel inventory post the cryptocurrency boom which will be corrected I feel the exact same way like I said I'm going to stay long with Nvidia um I'm actually probably when I uh get done uploading this video probably going to go in my M1 finance and buy shares at these levels here and try to lower my cost basis down even more so this is uh this is the part of um investing that can be tough sometimes is standing by a good company when the uh share price is not um in a good place but again just to kind of reiterate my point look across the stock market quarter three of 2018 has almost been historically bad I mean uh nearly uh every industry has been hit on some level from this you know oil is at a 52- we low Tech has gotten wrecked um you know the uh like I said the marijuana industry has has gotten wrecked you know the only stock long-term stock I have that has gained value through this whole thing is Verizon Wireless I have a couple of ETFs that have done pretty well too right here as of lately guys but uh you know add Nvidia to the list of uh you know the companies I love the companies I'm going to stay invested with that got slashed really hard in quarter 3 so you know my long-term thesis still stays intact with Nvidia does not change I just look at this as a cheaper level to buy shares at so anyways guys uh that's all I've got and uh thanks for watching the video