저자: StockBookie · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아는 실적 전 횡보 후 상승 가능성, AMD는 박스권 속 실적 대기, 테슬라는 단기 하락 쪽에 무게를 두며 숏 포지션 유지·하락 시 재매수 전략을 제시. [엔비디아] - 일봉상 20·50·200일선 위에서 강세 구조 유지, 전고점 16850 부근에서 횡보 중 - 실적 발표 예정일 8/17 전후로 상승 돌파 또는 완만한 하락(20일선 접근) 두 시나리오 제시 - 실적은 50:50 도박 성격, 계좌의 10% 이상 집중 매수 금지, 분할 진입 권고 - 큰 방향성은 강세 유지, 손절선은 추세 따라 상향 조정(트레일링 스톱) [AMD] - 20·50·200일선 지지, 강세 자리이나 박스권 중간에서 횡보 - 실적 발표 7/25 예정, 저항 1555·1621·1778 제시 - 실적 후 상향 돌파 시 갭업, 하향 시 200일선·갭 메움 구간 지지 확인 필요 [테슬라] - 20일선 아래에서 약세 흐름, 실적 8/2 전후로 변동성 큼 - 단기 하락 구조 우위, 300달러 부근 및 갭 메움 구간 주시 - 뉴스 주도 하락으로 판단, 실적에 따라 400 또는 264 방향 모두 열려 있음 [포지션 전략] - 테슬라 숏 보유 중, 하락 시 숏 청산 후 저점 매수, 반등 시 숏 추가 의사 - 장기 월봉 관점에서 고평가 성장주의 조정을 예상, 500~1000 목표 수익 언급 [시장 전반] - 저거래량 속 지수 완만 상승, 최근 두 달 강세 지속 평가 - 실적 전 과도한 집중 투자 경계
다듬은 글
video sign up at my website let's go into the daily chart 6 17 million on the day 0.52% down 86 cents red we did go up we talked about confirming above the 20 ma the 50 Ma and the 200 ma strong stance went up to the pivot High stalling out right at the all-time high at 16850 so now we're going sideways in a bullish setup let's see if we pop up into earnings or do we just grind grind grind maybe even a little bit of fade in the earnings 8817 are the earnings for NVIDIA if that's correct that's what I uh read on the website and uh let's see what happens guys do we chop around with the light volume marking does it go sideways and start to pop or do we just kind of maybe chop around and maybe slowly Fade Into the 20 ma 20 ma will curl in price possibly setting up higher but everything's going in earnings so let's see what happens to this one in the next couple of weeks does it possibly fade you know but when the go markets go grinding up the last nine days this is grinding up with it guys so that's the bottom line still above the Mas strong stance nothing wrong trail the stops bulls and remember going into earnings make sure you're not loaded to the house because it is a 5050 shot guys do not load the house for us it's no more than 10% total position position of your total portfolio so if you have a $100,000 account you're only going in 10 grand in any position at the most usually we start slower we do quarter positions quarter quarter quarter getting it to our Max position sometimes we just stay with a half position allows us to have a wider stop out on our swing trades but again great stance above the Mas grinding higher with the markets nothing wrong with the stock of the Year let's go into AMD AMD on the other hand guys nice little run up great little pullback chopping around inside this bar held the 20 and the 50 and the 200 ma strong stance good position but still in the middle of this range from the high to the low trend line and just chopping around waiting for earnings guys earnings next week on 725 on AMD I'm I think that's right if that's not right someone let me know but that's what I've uh looked at on the Internet or Yahoo what have you and that's what that's telling me again strong stance going sideways let's see what happens in the next next couple days well it's the 25 so it's I think next Tuesday I think so let's see that's really going to drive this thing up if it does pop guys 15 1555 1621 is going to be good resistance and then all the way up at 1778 17 even number will be okay but that's the numbers up if it gets a trend line breakout above these highs remember we've been hitting hitting hitting hitting it's making a little bit weak so if this flies up we'll probably just Gap up and go but other scenario gaps down and go so we get below these lines good support here Gap fill 200 ma plenty of support just like plenty of resistance so again guys playing this going into earnings just make sure you're not loaded the boat it's 50-50 shot just like the casino guys I'd rather go to the casino get some drinks at least have some fun with my friends so that's it with the AMD strong stance just let's see how it plays out let's see what happens on the Friday close which is the weekly and then we'll take it from there let's look in the Tesla guide so Tesla still chopping around up and down little bit negative on the day nothing crazy but down sideways action below the ma 20 ma starting to curl in the price this one going and earning on 82 so this one's about uh two weeks away again setting up for downside action here but with earnings it could go to 400 earnings it could go down to 264 uh 64 or the 200 ma there's still you know some gaps to fill down here and then ultimately this little double pivot or double bottom right around 240 272 and even the 250 round number that's big too so but earnings guys this thing can rip higher or it can drop lower so I hard to say with this one but without earnings without the light volume markets this down sideways action this is setting up for lower prices you do have a slight micro bll but overall it's slightly bearish below these Mas if it starts to slip look for your 300 even number you have another Gap fill Gap window Gap fill Gap window Gap fill Gap window you got a bunch of gaps and stuff like that so nice move up guys nice fall down of course what was it on news just all all news all news going down so that's what's driving these markets and the light volume grind on all the indexes guys it's been pretty amazing though the last couple months uh these markets grinding I should say even the last couple weeks have been pretty amazing so watch this one guys if you're bullish just go into earnings don't load the house and uh you know let's see what happens guys 50 % up 50% down I don't know what it's going to do but if it does go down we'll cover our short we'll look at areas for it to buy the dip because I will buy the dip on this one guys I almost did here and I I got to wait for lower prices like with everything guys when something runs from 180 to almost 400 you're going to get a pullback period so I'm going to look for good support if this does come down and I'm going to buy that I'm going to cover my short and buy the dip if it pops I will add more to my short up in here I have no problem my positions like I said are gigantic guys I'm looking to make uh 500 to a th000 on these things if they go upside down I'll do it again reason why I would do it because I'm looking at the monthly charts and eventually the markets pull back even even a good couple day pullback couple week pullback these High Flyers will come in that's what we're playing right now good bullish pattern though look at this chop chop chop hits 50 Ma and boom on the monthly but 1 two 3 four five six 7 months up that's talking to me as well 400 might be hit on earnings but that's what everyone's thinking so I'm I'm thinking the opposite where this goes down we go down I'll be buying the dip guys I'll be covering my shorts and going long with you guys I can't wait I want to go long these markets but right now at the highs guys I just can't do it all righ
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