저자: OracleInvestments · 외국인
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테슬라 주가가 공포 구간에서 RSI 과매도(30)와 공포탐욕지수 23을 근거로 매수 신호가 많다고 주장. 발언자는 38주를 추가 매수했고 평단 265달러라고 밝힘. 10월 17일 트위터 관련 법정일과 10월 19일 3분기 실적 발표를 주요 변수로 언급하며 단기 반등을 예상. 다만 130~137달러대 갭 존재를 언급하며 극단적 경기 침체 시 하락 가능성도 인정.
다듬은 글
hello oracles well we've got some Tesla stock buying signals all over the place right now again yesterday we discussed how the RSI is pushing down to that 30 level which usually means oversold which at that point indicates that some buying pressure could be coming back in we also had Arc coming out buying 132 000 shares of Tesla amongst their different portfolios so this again looking back at history Kathy Wood has been pretty decent about timing buys and sells in the market when it comes to Tesla she has been selling near the top and buying near the bottom obviously her portfolio is not doing all her best so thinking about the fact that she's been timing it very well and not doing well tells you how much you need to know about timing the market and how that does for your portfolio so either way that has been a great buying signal in the past now we also have the fear and greed index which right now is Extreme fear range at 23.
so again when we talk about it before be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful so right now it seems like everybody is being extremely fearful these are the times that you want to be greedy so again none of this is financial advice but looking at these signals right now tells me that buying is what we want to be doing in the near term so for me I did my buys yesterday I got myself up to 38 shares I now have 71 of my portfolio and Tesla and think about the fact that I'm 71 while the stock is depressed like this means that when it turns around and we go back up that could easily become 90 because Tesla usually outperforms the market in times like this don't forget yesterday the market was up over two percent and Tesla was down over eight and a half percent so a quick rebound could be very good for Tesla to bring our portfolio sizes up so right now looks like Tesla pre-market is up almost three percent pushing that 250 level again I have a feeling we are going to come up and settle into that low 250 range for Tesla probably kind of sit there and wait to see what's going on again the next big thing for Tesla specifically is the Twitter overhang so we've got that court date coming up on October 17th unless they come up with some sort of deal beforehand Elon cannot sell any more shares until after Q3 earnings they are in a blackout period right now so Elon can't sell so in case they do come up with a deal or once the court case does end if they tell Elon that he has to buy he still cannot sell until after Q3 earnings now don't forget Q3 earnings are on October 19th we will be doing a live stream here on this channel and now looking at other great reasons to buy Tesla stock right now Scott had mentioned in the comments about you know don't forget that we have those 20 000 vehicles in transit which are going to land in Q4 so we already had vehicles that were produced in transit in Q3 that are going to fall into Q4 numbers so again the timing of the quarters kind of screws things up Tesla's just delivering the bottom line is Tesla is delivering all the vehicles that they are producing that's the only thing that matters just because they fall into one bucket rather than another doesn't make a difference so it just makes a difference because it's going to pull the stock price one way or the other again that's another great buying opportunity of well they're still getting delivered just because they weren't delivered last week doesn't mean they're not getting delivered this week so they're getting delivered so awesome for Tesla and a great buying opportunity because going forward these vehicles will be delivered and it's going to give us a great head start into Q4 and another great point that Robert had mentioned was the fact that this is great free advertising for Tesla this is something that Tesla has done very well over the last decade is keeping their name prominent in the headlines so with a massive miss that they had from their record delivery numbers because they missed an arbitrary expectation number of deliveries means that they are now in the headlines again and don't forget no publicity is bad publicity in most cases so Tesla's name is out there whether it's for flood reasons or not think back to what Elon had said about 2018 he's like you know there was a lot of bad publicity coming out about them but their sales kept on going up we're in basically the same situation right now their sales are still going up they hit record deliveries but all the fun is out there in the news so hey keep the name relevant keep people seeing Tesla all over the place people will ask questions about Tesla and the more people ask questions about Tesla the more information and knowledge they will get and unfortunately some will be false but eventually they will find the truth when it comes to Tesla and now when it comes to the truth and acknowledging Tesla we all know that the government out there does not really talk about Tesla they try to ignore Elon and Tesla all together but then you take a step back and you realize who has government contracts well that's right Tesla and SpaceX Tesla's got government contracts for batteries for their military facilities and SpaceX has contracts with the government to be able to send astronauts to space so sure you know what maybe they don't say Tesla maybe they won't talk about Elon very much but they're still getting the contracts they're out there and they're saying they're acknowledging with their actions that Tesla is the best and Tesla needs to be part of what the government is doing because they are proving that they are the best and speaking about things that are being talked about quite a bit I'm hearing quite a bit about chicken genius and what his price targets are there was no Dave Lee was over on Twitter who was questioning his price targets so chicken genius right now has price targets of about 120 to 140 dollars in Tesla previously before the split he had a price target of 420 now we do know that he is interested in byd he's upset about a few things he does play shorts in the stock as well so whether this is an intentional pull down or not I don't know Dave Lee did end up questioning over there and say Hey you know based upon all the numbers and the profitability that Tesla is seeing how are you coming up with your numbers and your price Target Ken has yet to answer I'm not going to get into the drama of all of that but what I did end up doing was diving into the charts a little deeper just to look at those gaps as I told you guys I would do there is actually a gap that goes down to 137 dollars that stems back to November of 2020 which is post split from the first five to one split that we've got so again gapsville 9 out of 10 times we do not have to pull down and fill that I'm actually not even going to mention it again on here unless we do end up pulling under 200 in the stock so at that point I will bring that uh Gap back up but until we hit that point I'm not going to mention it anymore but just so you guys know that Gap is on the radar going further back there's a lot of gaps that go even smaller and and further way way back so again gapsville 9 out of 10 times this does not have to fill but based upon what chicken genius had said and based upon this Gap it's on my radar far on the back burner but for educational purposes I wanted to make sure that you guys were aware of the fact that that exists and now of course that Gap does not stop me from buying what I did yesterday and I do continue to buy going forward and I still think that we have a lot of good green ahead of us right now so looking at that number if we do end up pulling down to that for whatever freak reason if we do pull down to that number it's most likely going to be due to a total economic collapse globally and in that case right there there's a lot of other things to worry about other than Tesla's stock but even at that case we would end up turning around and Tesla would come out the strongest because they have the best financial position but either way based upon all the other numbers that we see right now we are most likely going to be going up before we come back down again looking at the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that we are on we we are now trending back up based upon pre-market this morning so we have possibly created that head so we're just going to kind of see where we trade most likely we'll probably trade a little bit sideways some ups and some Downs for the next week or so is what my guess is going to be and then we'll probably end up shooting back up again probably going into Q3 earnings don't forget we've got CPI and PPI data coming out on the 13th and the 14th of this month so those could definitely weigh on the stock as well because that's going to weigh on the entire macro environment which is what we have discussed in the past when Tesla finally does find that leveling spot based upon whatever fundamental news that they have coming out the macro will end up moving that one way or the other as well and so I looked back at my own history here on this channel and I've been doing this channel for about a year now my channel has been up and running for a long time and if you guys want some great entertainment you can go check out some of my older videos where I was working out I had topless cooking videos hilarious stuff back then pre-beard so you guys can check all that stuff out if you are really looking for some good entertain attainment but I didn't really start to get into the Tesla portion of things until about one year ago and right now we are over 6 600 subscribers thank you guys all so much for that and when I look back I remember a lot of people were asking me back then how many shares I had and I gotta be honest I originally was just afraid to tell people I didn't have a lot of shares I had like three and a half shares of Tesla I was like how could I possibly be taken as a serious YouTuber about Tesla when I've only got three and a half shares granted at the time three and a half shares was still 30 of my portfolio but I'm like I you know I gotta do something and the more I learned about it the more I learned from you guys the more I became invested in the stock and the company and thanks to you guys you know you built up my conviction just like I have helped you guys build up your conviction and give us the education we need to be able to invest wisely in this and you guys helped me realize that everybody is at a different level in a different position I talked to many of you on here all the time on how you thank me because of the fact that I don't have a lot of shares so to me that made a huge difference and that really meant a lot to me so thank you guys for that and now I'm at the point where I am at 38 shares so pre-split that three and a half shares was about 10 shares itself so I have gained 28 shares over the last year in my portfolio which to me is a lot so because of the fact that back then I was only investing 25 per week and then I dropped it and I started making it about ten dollars per day into Tesla and that has grown to where it is now at 25 per day this is the power of dollar cost averaging and this is why in the long term historically dollar cost averaging is the best way to Garner the most amount of wealth and the absolute best time to dollar cost to average is in times like this when we have a suppressed market and a lot of PE compression especially on stocks like a Tesla so when we have this out there your dollar cost averaging the money you put in whether it's five dollars 10 25 a thousand dollars that is going to buy you a lot more shares right now and right now it feels painful again we are in extreme fear phase mentally emotionally you're like I don't want to buy like this is the time a lot of people emotionally like I want to sell because I don't want to see my stock continue to go down anymore can it go down more of course it can you know nobody knows what the future is going to bring but there's a good chance that it's going to come back up and the wisest of people out there have told us that be greedy when others are fearful right now others are fearful so your dollar cost averaging is going to net you the most amount of shares don't forget you don't gain or lose anything in your portfolio until you sell so if you sell right now you have lost that's a fact not to say that you know I'm calling you a loser by any means just saying you know if your portfolio right now is in the red and you sell you have guaranteed you have lost profits simple as that if we pull down further just wait longer in my opinion that's what I am doing so that's why I am waiting to see what's going to happen right now I am read on Tesla my cost basis is 265 dollars so my goal right now is to buy more at these times wisely my I do have seven percent cash right now so I'm trying to build that back up to ten percent but I will still be continuing my dollar cost averaging which will in turn bring my cost basis down even more and then when we turn around and go green that means it's going to be even more green because I have brought my cost basis down that is my strategy it has been working out well for me and historically that is why a lot of the most wealthy people out there say the exact same thing Warren Buffett that's exactly what he did he dollar cost averages that's how he became as successful as he is amongst many other reasons as well but that is why we want to do this thinking about your 401k you're not going to go to your 401k and say oh stop investing right now most people don't even think about their 401K in these times right now they're just doing it maybe if they do some of their own portfolio they're going to do that and pay attention to it there but most of the time people aren't paying attention to their 401ks and those are the times where you're actually going to not Garner the most amount of elf is because the fact that your money is going into your 401k during a time of the market that is suppressed people who are doing it in 2008 and 2009 made out very well in their 401ks because they were still investing money at that time so when it came out and all the stocks turned around their entire 401K also turned around and while I cannot give you guys Financial advice I can give you this advice which is if you are emotionally distraught at the moment and you're kind of upset about the fact that the stock has pulled down as much as it is and you're thinking about potentially selling just take a step back do your own due diligence and research and say why is it that you feel like you want to sell right now is it strictly because the stock price is down or do you think it's because the company is not doing well and if you cannot figure that out maybe it's time to just step away from the market nothing wrong with that at all that's what I have done for myself in the past not looking at your portfolio and doing nothing can sometimes be the best thing that you can possibly do just my advice to you guys on that front so let me know in the comments below how do you guys feel about all these buying opportunities and signals that we have right now I know many of you had told me about all your buys yesterday where do you guys think we are going to go from here do you think we rebound strong do you think we sit flat are you going to continue to buy or are you going to be waiting to see if we get another dip from here or just kind of waiting it out to build up cash reserves again as well f you found value in this video consider sharing it with others I also have a membership program I share all of my price targets production and delivery forecasts and all of my valuation model depending on what level you choose to go with
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